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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Crunched some Jeff Smardzjzjzj numbers in our first Bird Seed news recap re: how much him, Sanchez, and Stroman are roughly worth. http://www.breakingblue.ca/2013/11/24/bird-seed-mccann-peralta-samardzija-nolasco-anthopoulos/
  2. Laika
    I've been hesitant to because I want to standardize our value calculations first. I'm going to need help from the community at large to do so, so I'm currently working on a post to that end. Hopefully after I get that sorted, I/we can go back and examine McCann and Peralta, and anyone else.
  3. Laika
    We could pick our consensus top 20 and then Ace could write them all up, if he wants. And then put them out 2 at a time or whatever. I think Ace should write the meat of all of it since that's his forte, but Chris and I could give some input on their profiles and what that means in terms of their chances of working out, etc. Maybe it would be a pretty good list since we have two angles going on. Ace is like our resident youtube scout, and Chris and I are the stat-filter BR couch analysts or whatever
  4. Laika
    I think you accidentally a word
  5. Laika
    OP is a wimp
  6. Laika
    but what about THIS http://sabr.org/research/does-pitcher-s-height-matter A short pitcher could theoretically cancel out the theoretical optical negatives of being short be theoretically being inherently better at other things, like such as controlling his shorter limbs a bit better and repeating his delivery more effectively, in theory.
  7. Laika
    Fielding Exempt True Chucking Heuristic FETCH!
  8. Laika
    Pretty sure he has like, a Master's degree in modern poetry or something crazy like that. Published poet, sabermetrician.
  9. Laika
    It's extremely difficult to predict what specific players will do in the future. In general, these projection systems are excellent. When it comes to certain specific individual players, however, they can be super wrong. With Bourjos, I'm guessing that Steamer just doesn't give him as much credit for fielding as he's earned while playing in his 350 some odd games so far. So if he's played like a +20 run centre fielder, Steamer probably takes a more cautious view of him and pretends that he's a +8 or something like that.
  10. Laika
    I like a couple of their dudes. Cistullli. Matt Carruth used to write for them too and I liked him, but I think he quit the game entirely. But yeah. Jess Sullivan is one of their best writers and I think he's just some M's blogger that Cameron scooped up one day.
  11. Laika
    Bourjos' Steamer projection seems kind of bunk though. He's been worth 9 wins in basically 2 seasons worth of playing time. He's still pre-prime. 2.6 wins seems pretty light.
  12. Laika
    I think it will end up mostly being a lose-lose trade.
  13. Laika
    Sure, they are on the MLC leaderboards. Just be careful about how you frame the data. For example, David Robertson is one of the higher looking K% guys in MLB according to MLC, and he has a phenomenal curveball.
  14. Laika
    Prince for Kinsler has apparently been agreed to. Wow? True?
  15. Laika
    Actually, it looks like he pretty much breaks even. Based on his last 2 seasons, he's about a -15 run 3B. Based on his career he's a -2 run 1B. The positional adjustment from 3B to 1B is -15 runs, I think. Close enough to call it a wash. His WAR shouldn't change much at all by sliding over.
  16. Laika
    "One person involved in the talks called it a "possibility"." I wonder what the actual quote was... "Well, I guess there is an extremely remote, minute possibility that it could happen, but...." EDIT - and 2 minutes after I post this, there are reports that it's actually happened. LMAO.
  17. Laika
    The official forum was grossly outdated and poorly moderated, so we had a revolution. This place is much better, abandon your old forum account immediately. As per the ARod topic, I think you're basically spot on. It's a witch hunt and he's Melissa Joan Hart. MLB/Selig are making the rules up as they go.
  18. Laika
    For Appy league pitchers with at least 20 IP, he was THIRD out of 127 in looking K%, 54th out of 127 in swinging K%, and his swinging to looking K ratio (KS/KL) was the 7th lowest in the league (out of 127). He lead the league in looking strikeouts, and he had the 11th lowest BB% in the league (min 20 IP). So yeah, a very high relative percentage of his strikeouts were of the looking variety. Pounds teh zoneeeeeee
  19. Laika
    This is certainly a feel good list. Seeing Stroman over guys like Soler and Moran is very, very encouraging. And seeing Sanchez ahead of some of those other names is even more pleasing, even if I don't necessarily agree with taking him over a position player like Austin Hedges who has such amazing D at a premium position.
  20. Laika
    If you've seen him pitch and you don't think he has a real strong swing-and-miss offering, then it's probably a fair criticism. It's probably entirely possible to get swings and misses in rookie ball by simply being smart and sequencing your pitches well. It also looks like he does get a high% of looking strikes, according to MLC, which may or may not mean something.
  21. Laika
    Chase didn't seem exactly pleased by your criticism, haha.
  22. Laika
    It's nice when the incredibly obvious things in baseball actually come to fruition. I think nearly everyone expected JJ to sign with SF, SDP, or PIT on a 1 year deal. Surely another NL team if not one of those three. I like how the JJ camp explicitly reached out to SD and SF.
  23. Laika
    These are all really good suggestions. I'm not a huge fan of the font myself, for one thing. It does some goofy stuff with numbers in particular.
  24. Laika
    "First time post, let me know what you think" thought I was on /r/gonewild....
  25. Laika
    ahem. It's the Prime Minister's Trophy.
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