Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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I'll break it down for you: The puck went into the net.
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Or, you know, massively overrated by CORSI.
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yeah your dum
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Yea, as far as gambling goes, a feel like there are many, many worse ways to spend $5.
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ban angrioter plz
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Apparently I'm not a very good BR scout. Definitely whiffed on 4 of my 6 initial MiLB draft picks. At least Stroman in the last round kind of made up for some of the failure, and I think my farm is probably middle of the pack at least after our second draft.
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Kunitz, Vlasic, and Hamhuis all in the top 20... one would think that you were a Stevie Y apologist.
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He doesn't have amazing velocity like Darvish, but he doesn't throw soft. He has a nasty splitter and he has really good command of all his s***. The obvious semi-racist comp is Hiroki Kuroda. So yeah, 3-4 wins is what I'm expecting. I've only read a couple of articles trying to guess what he'll do. This one by Jeff Sullivan, and this slightly more bullish one from a bit of a niche site.
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Jimenez has real value to the Jays at $14M AAV. Tanaka is the sexy option but probably not the most efficient. f***, you might be able to get Garza AND Jimemez for less than the cost of Tanaka... who knows.
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To me, that looks like a really, really expensive way of adding maybe 4 or 5 wins. I think 6 is optimistic (they might WAR 6 in total, but that's not a 6 win upgrade. Goins/Izuturis might project for 0.4 or something and the #5 spot might project for 1 or 0.5 or so).
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guy owes me MONEY
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Using 2014 free agents, I wonder what the cheapest way to make the Blue Jays a 90+ Steamer team would be... Ellis was a popular cheap add but he's really only like, a ~1 win upgrade on Goins or Izturis (I think).
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But seriously, sane projections have the Jays around 85 wins right now. That's not the playoffs. But those are mean projections, and if I'm remembering my SABR101 class correctly, it's not exactly unlikely for teams to fall anywhere within +/- 6 or 7 wins of their projections. So the Jays right now, depending on reasonable randomness, should win between 79ish and 91ish games, with the most likely result being 85. So they have a chance to make the playoffs right now! Not a great chance, but a chance. Kind of like thehurl's chances of getting laid on any given Friday. So adding one pitcher that represents a decent upgrade would of course increase their playoff odds. It's not like a team has to cross some magical line where the projection systems project 90+ wins, and all of those teams make the playoffs. That's not the correct way of thinking about things. The Blue Jays should definitely be adding wins right now, even if they can't find a way to add a huge amount.
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Well, if it was Kershaw....
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Wait, didn't we already vote on this? IIRC in the summer we had a vote about whether or not to implement an NA slot, and then after that vote passed, we had a vote about whether to implement 1 or 2 slots. If I'm remembering correctly, then this issue can't even be tabled at this point in time.
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s*** maybe you have a virus!!!!
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I can only keep three of these pitchers, and I know at least the top ~5 or so would be definite roster upgrades to a few teams out there. Grant Balfour Matt Harrison Eric Stults Zach McAllister Bud Norris Jesse Crain Joel Peralta Neal Cotts Felipe Paulino Jason Hammel Ordered by approximate cost. Nobody is overly expensive (e.g., a late 3rd rounder would probably be enough for Bud Norris). The bottom five names would be close to free. Help me trim the fat.
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My trusty sources say that the Jays have a hard-on for Tanaka. 50%.
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I would probably vote in favor of a 2nd NA slot, but I don't really care. An extra NA slot only really helps teams stash players for a short period of time. You can stash a prospect there through the summer draft cut-down date, but as soon as February rolls around you need to trim your big league squad down to 20 anyway. As some of us have been finding out, oftentimes the prospects that you plop into an NA slot are hard to justify keeping in your final 20, at least if you have a decent organization. e.g., I just traded Jimmy Nelson for a peanut and I have Jackie Bradley Jr who is basically on the cusp of my top 20 right now. If you call up a prospect too early and he gets sent down for an extended period of time, you still suffer the consequences of the premature call-up when February rolls around. I think the impact of adding the second slot is miniscule, so the question really becomes, what's the point? Change for the sake of change? Does the added roster flexibility even matter?
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White chocolates unite!
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Seriously, that guy f***ing gets it.
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He's pretty much on his own planet right now. Peaking just in time for the Olympics. Although, a lot of it is probably just 2nd assist noise. Apparently 2nd assists for defensemen should be regressed like 100% to the mean - in other words, picking them up isn't a talent. Not sure if true though, I just heard that from some nerd.
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RTTM is a beautiful thing for an anti-fan
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It's kind of fun to re-acquaint yourself with the system, haha. It's definitely a deep system. Very "flat" though - hard to rank guys after the top tier. I think I need to slide Jacob Brentz into my list somewhere. Project lefty that throws mid/high 90's, change and breaking ball flash plus at times...
