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Dr. Dinger

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Everything posted by Dr. Dinger

  1. Dr. Dinger
    Did anyone actually think we were getting something good for a month of JAy Happ?
  2. Dr. Dinger
    Yes, they’re going to continuously weigh him and give the public updates to fat shame their franchise cornerstone.
  3. Dr. Dinger
    Teoscar's plate discipline appears to have improved significantly so far this year. BB% is up from a league-average 7.8% to a well-above average 14.3%, and he has trimmed his K rate from a horrible 31.% down to a perfectly-acceptable 21.4%. Obviously it's still very early, but K and BB rates are some of the first numbers to actually stabilize, so there's some reason for hope here. If he can maintain his approach, the power will follow.
  4. Dr. Dinger
    From BP Josh Winckowski, RHP, Lansing Lugnuts (Toronto Blue Jays Low-A) The Jays spent $125,000 on Winckowski in the 15th round of the 2016 draft, and he made his full-season debut after showing well in the Northwest League last summer. Already a big guy at a listed 6-foot-4 and 202 pounds, there is projection left in the frame. That added growth should help the fastball tick up in the future, as it currently sits 91-93. Winckowski struggled in the cold rain to command his slider (87-89), but had good feel for a change that he used to generate awkward swings. The changeup has the look of a solid secondary with moderate velocity separation (84-86) and late fade. He mixed in a few inconsistent curveballs in this outing, with a handful flashing 12-6 shape and a little movement. There are some pieces here, and Winckowski is an intriguing arm. I look forward to seeing the secondaries in a more favorable pitching climate. – Nathan Graham
  5. Dr. Dinger
    I’m surprised JD Davis wasn’t owned, he seems like Boxy’s statscouting wetdream undervalued corner bat.
  6. Dr. Dinger
    You know, if the Brewers were ever going to try Hader as a starter, building up his innings with all these 2 inning saves wouldn't be the worst way. He might get to 100 IP this year if he doesn't break.
  7. Dr. Dinger
    I think it will certainly be on that road trip, if not in Minny.
  8. Dr. Dinger
    Y'all are cynical AF
  9. Dr. Dinger
    Post your prediction on the date of the call-up, as well as the time of day the story will break (tiebreaker). I'm going to say he gets called up on Sunday April 14 to join the team in Minnesota for his debut on Monday April 15. Story breaks at 2 pm on April 12 so Bucko can announce it during the broadcast.
  10. Dr. Dinger
    Will Vlad get called up this week? I'm itching to pull the trigger.
  11. Dr. Dinger
    I’m just glad to see my offense starting to wake up after a putrid start. Sucks that I probably lost Andujar for season already. This matchup feels like its been going on forever.
  12. Dr. Dinger
    Jon Heyman is a VERY stupid man. Not for this, just in general.
  13. Dr. Dinger
    I want players who get on base a ton AND hit for a ton of power! Let's get more of those.
  14. Dr. Dinger
    It sounds like your problem is that this lineup doesn't have enough offensive stars, but you think the problem is that Grichuk isn't an offensive star. Nobody, including the front office, thinks Grichuk is going to be the best hitter on a competitive team.
  15. Dr. Dinger
    I wish I'd thought of that front-loading stuff during the pod last night, I would have sounded so smort.
  16. Dr. Dinger
    For his career he's 2.9 WAR per 600 PAs. He just needs to stay healthy and he could put up 10+ WAR quite easily over this contract.
  17. Dr. Dinger
    FWIW, Grichuk's career DRS in CF is +12 over 1500 innings (about 1 full season) vs +9 in LF over 850 innings and +3 in RF over 1500 innings. There might even be some reason to think that CF is his best defensive position. Pillar's DRS for the last few seasons: 2015 +15 2016 +21 2017 +15 2018 -2
  18. Dr. Dinger
    Your rephrasing still misses the point. There are different ways to create runs and focusing on just one component misses the forest for the trees. My oak tree may be skinny while my pine tree may be thick, while yours are equally girthy. However, if we both produce the same quantity of O2, then it makes no difference. If you want to say "THIS TEAM NEEDS TO CREATE MORE RUNS!"... or more O2, then I agree with you. However focusing on OBP or BB rate specifically is to incorrectly frame the problem.
  19. Dr. Dinger
    This makes no difference to me TBH. All that matters is whether the contract -- taken on the whole -- produces surplus value. If Grichuk goes off for 6 WAR in 2020 but is a -1 WAR player in 2023, I won't give the slightest s*** about whether he's getting paid what he's 'worth' in that specific season. If he accrues 7 WAR in the first 3 seasons and then 0 in the next two, it's still a win. Clearly this front office thinks he has the upside to be at least a 3 WAR player for 2-3 seasons, given their propensity for mining value contracts.
  20. Dr. Dinger
    They should, and do, value holistic offensive stats like wOBA or wRC+, which factor in both the ability to get on base and hit for power, among other skills. There's no reason why they should focus specifically on OBP. If a guy slashes .366/.526 or .393/.496 but his wRC+ is 135 either way, it makes no difference whether he's more on-base oriented or power oriented. Given the same number of PAs he will create the same number of runs. It could very well be that this front office finds that OBP>SLG guys are paid more per RC than SLG>OBP guys, so they lean towards the latter strictly as a means of creating value.
  21. Dr. Dinger
    Part of this is -- I think -- that the longer we do this pod, the better we get at not talking over each other and not pooping out of our mouths, hence less editing for John to do.
  22. Dr. Dinger
    He didn't actually quit, he just ghosted.
  23. Dr. Dinger
    And basically the Jays need about 6.5 WAR over these 5 seasons to break even on the deal, anything more is surplus value. For a guy who has posted 3 seasons of 2+ WAR already, I think that's very doable. They're also only paying him like 1ish WAR player on those final 3 years. I think there's room in this contract for surplus value, but I also think that if you want to quibble about paying a bit too much, you certainly can't quibble about when the Jays are paying it. There just aren't a lot of other options in 2019 to spend the extra pocket money on, so rather than asking for additional payroll later, you front-load now.
  24. Dr. Dinger
    It's interesting how the Jays saved $2M on Morales, and people think "big deal, what are they going to do with $2M this year?" The Jays saved $5M on Pillar, and people think the same thing. Well, the Jays bumped Grichuk's salary by $2M this year, and give him a $5M signing bonus, and in exchange, by front-loading his deal, they are getting his 3 free agent years for $9.3M per season. Just a cool example of using financial flexibility and front-loading a contract in a year where you have a bit of surplus salary in order to get a core player cheaper down the line in competitive years, where payroll may be stretched thin.
  25. Dr. Dinger
    Beautiful HAIR... terrible haircut.
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