Don't feel too bad, I traded Alex Gordon for Grandal in my other league. If the knee didn't assplode it would look a lot differently. Although I do appreciate Ryu's 2.7 ERA and 6 K/BB in the 2nd half!
I'm still looking for a CF upgrade. I'm open to moving Shields, Ryu, Medlen, or Acher, or two of them. I'd also listen to offers on Chapman but I'm operating under the assumption that he'll be converted based on the Reds personnel moves.
I quoted a bad % there. I had read an article that put the bust rate of top hitting prospects at 40%, but it's more like 10% for Top 10 guys. Although by this definition, a bust means an org guy.
He inspires some black and white thinking for sure. There's about a 40% chance he busts altogether and maybe a 10-15% chance he's a franchise player. It's quite likely that he's something more akin to Alexei Ramirez or Edgar Renteria, a boring middle ground likelihood that most people tend to disregard.
Not as much as you probably think. A .260-.270 BABIP is sustainable for a pitcher with such filthy stuff. His fastball routinely works 95-97 with nasty movement, whereas Miller's is very straight (this has always been a knock on him).
Younger, twice the WAR in identical IP, better velo, GB%, K%, and Fernandez got better his second time through the league while Miller struggled. Just MO, but I think Fernandez is a Top 5 SP going forward. Monster.
He's my arbitrary BPT/2LS pick 'em.
Mauer >> Salty
Rizzo = Cuddyer
Kipnis >> Prado
Beltre > Donaldson
Lowrie << Hanley
Cutch > Adam Jones
Kemp << Stanton
Choo > Holliday
Fielder >> Rios
It's a pretty even matchup and they're both easily Top 3 offenses. Pitching is a thing though, and 2LS has a vastly superior staff.