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Scion

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Everything posted by Scion

  1. Scion
    I'd question any program that prioritizes gaining muscle with Vlad. Furthermore, you tend to look bigger and more vascular when you lose weight anyways.
  2. Scion
    I had no idea Leo Jiminez was that deezed...
  3. Scion
    Fair point
  4. Scion
    Granted, but those projections are heavily influenced by his last two seasons of performance post hip surgery. If Chapman has fully recovered from that operation like he claims there is a non-zero percent chance that his true talent level is closer to his 2018 and 2019 seasons.
  5. Scion
    Yeah, that is my fault for even committing. I'm working 4 jobs and going to school full time and should have known better.
  6. Scion
    I'm not debating the pen pre ASB or the injuries to Springer.
  7. Scion
    The thing about past performance is that it's already done. Whether you think Ray's performance is sustainable is irrelevant. He posted a 2.84 ERA with 193.1 IP last year and that is production the Jays will look to replace next year likely through multiple players.
  8. Scion
    Fangraphs WAR really seemed to undervalue Rays run prevention last year due to his HR and strand rate. I personally like Gausman more, but I'm not banking on either pitcher to replicate what Ray did last year. The rest of your post I agree with.
  9. Scion
    Listing the opening day rotation is misleading. Ray missed two starts and Manoah was a mainstay by late May IIRC. We aren't going to see eye to eye on the infield. I think if Biggio and Espinal revert to pumpkins that we are in alot of trouble. The team won't suck, but I don't see them replicating last season much less building on it like I anticipate.
  10. Scion
    Break-even is a pretty optimistic projection considering Ray won the Cy last year and Matz was worth just below 3 wins.
  11. Scion
    You are right a full season of Berrios changes the projections, but if we get second half Ryu that may off-set the net benefit a little bit.
  12. Scion
    Cavan could do that, but I wouldn't be planning my roster with that assumption because he could just as easily replicate last season's performance, and then we are f***ed. I'm also not as high on the pen as you seem to be, I think additional additions are needed there. It's certainly better than the start of last season, but where does it rank in the division? Third at best, and perhaps even lower depending on what you think about the Red Sox relievers.
  13. Scion
    That is my sense as well.
  14. Scion
    Fair enough, but there has to be significant improvement somewhere to make up for Semien's lost WAR. Most of the moves to this point have been either lateral (Gausman) or marginal adds with upside (Kikuchi and Garcia). To keep pace in this division I think the Jays need at least one more significant acquisition, preferably in the infield. Hoping that Biggio and Espinal will be solid everyday contributors is poor roster construction IMO. Matt Chapman is the target I hope the Jays acquire because I'm very skeptical about the teams ability to defend.
  15. Scion
    I can't imagine Villar would be anything more than a depth add. The front office has to know that they need to supplement their core with a legitimate everyday infielder.
  16. Scion
    Adding Villlar means you have three question marks instead of two. It's a better position to be in, but still a s***** position. This only makes sense to me as a depth add to compete for a utility role and not as a stop gap in the infield.
  17. Scion
    I'm hoping the Villar move is with the intention of adding depth in the event that one or both of Biggio/Espinal falter and not a stop gap option for one of the starting infield spots.
  18. Scion
    On the flip side, couldn't that trend also result in 1B and DH types being undervalued by the market?
  19. Scion
    If you don't compete against black athletes I feel very strongly in asserting that you are not the best of all time.
  20. Scion
    It's hard to even do that when players in Ruth's era did not compete against African Americans and international athletes.
  21. Scion
    It's frustrating how common tactics like these are in CBA negotiations. Expect to hear more stories resembling this in the coming months.
  22. Scion
    To be fair, that is a clear attempt at baiting Stroman. Why even tweet that? Just say Marcus is having one of the best seasons by a Jay ever.
  23. Scion
    Semien for me quite easily. He is a better player, has a better track record the past three seasons and is a safer bet because of pitcher attrition rates vs position players.
  24. Scion
    This is false, cropping dog ears for his breed is common to prevent infection among other things. Stroman is a douche, but not for this.
  25. Scion
    People obsess too much over decimal places atop the WAR leader board. The error bars on fWAR are such that any gap in WAR that small is negligible. You can argue that anyone between 6-7 WAR was the best player in baseball this year and have a sound argument.
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