Frag
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Everything posted by Frag
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Nice retort.
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After running the numbers, with a generous win value (~$7 M per win), the surplus value for next year would be $3.5 M for the Jays using Steamer's projection for 2016. That doesn't take into consideration the fact that Hendriks has 3 more years afterward, as well as other potential roster moves that may be indirectly affected by this trade (eg. the effect the increased salary may have on the team's internal cap; relegating Osuna/Sanchez to bullpen work; etc.). If I regress Hendriks' value from years 2-4, including bumping up his salary after arbitration in 2017, that surplus value goes into the negatives for the Jays. Basically, this trade may be fine in the short run, assuming going to a tougher park/division doesn't significantly affect Chavez's numbers or going to a more pitcher-friendly park/division doesn't affect Hendriks' numbers. However, after year 1, it doesn't look as good. Also, there are concerns about Chavez's durability.
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There's 2 ways to look at this: 1. Examine current and projected values of pieces in trade. 2. Compare actual values a few years from now It's, of course, difficult to assess the indirect effects of the trade on future roster decisions.
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Bluebird Banter not fans of this trade, if the poll means anything, either: http://www.bluebirdbanter.com/2015/11/20/9773102/blue-jays-acquire-jesse-chavez-for-liam-hendriks
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I'm more thinking they undersold on Hendriks
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What a dumb trade by the Jays. 1. Trade one of your top pen arms, a 26 yo with 4 years of control, for a mediocre starter, a 32 yo with 1 year left. 2. That mediocre starter's numbers were likely inflated by playing in a pitcher-friendly park and division. 3. This lowers the odds of Osuna or Sanchez in the rotation next year, reducing their potential value. 4. Jays waste more money on one year of a mediocre starter, money they need for the offseason. I do not like this at all.
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That's Havok
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Holy Draisaitl!
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It's the reason why most NFL coaches punt on 4th down, even when it's most of the time the worst decision to make.
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So... Defencemen - Failed forwards?
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In that case, Subban-Karlsson make one hell of a 1-2 punch for the Atlantic division. After them is... Chara? Rielly? Edit: I'm an idiot. I forgot about Hedman and Ekblad.
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The Atlantic division will likely have the greatest goalie depth (Price/Rask/Bishop/Howard/Luongo), while the Metro (Crosby/Malkin/Ovechkin/Giroux/Tavares/Kessel) and Central (Toews/Kane/Seguin/Benn/Tarasenko/Parise/MacKinnon) divisions will have their forward depth. Trying to think of the best division, D depth wise.
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It's basically any shot in the goalie crease or the slot.
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Yup.
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It's really hard to maintain a good performance as a goaltender. Small distractions could cost you the game. Still, there seems to be some repeatability with regards to high danger SV% as well as rebound control.
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Also, it's funny that 2/3 of the Leafs wins have come against Dallas.
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Called up Sam Bennett.
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What is Detroit smoking?
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It's hard to tell how much of Cleveland's drafting post 2010 was more Antonetti's or Shapiro's responsibility. However, while he was the GM when Kipnis was picked in 2009, the other players who made it? Tony Sipp, Vinnie Pestano, Cody Allen, Jeremy Guthrie, Lonnie Chisenhall, Kevin Kouzmanoff, Josh Tomlin, TJ House, and Zach Putnam. Not very strong. His trades were stronger than his draft record, IMO.
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I hope his drafting improves from his Cleveland days.
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Oh, and thank you Joel Ward for the hat trick.
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Not after the beating your goaltending laid on my team.
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Thank you Mrazek and Dubnyk!
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So, about 9 days ago, 538 (using their CARMELO projection system) projects the Raptors to finish 2nd in the Atlantic with a 44-38 record.
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Still under contract, even after the firing