BTS
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Everything posted by BTS
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On the slim chance you're not just trolling me: Dickey, since the start of 2010 (when he started as a full-time knuckleballer) has a 3.52 ERA, a 4.13 FIP, and a 4.06 xFIP over almost 1400 innings. He's never had an ERA within even a third of a run of his FIP. We can be reasonably sure that this isn't just luck, because knuckleball pitchers have a history of busting FIP (and he's also an excellent defender, which helps pitchers beat DIPS). Fangraphs WAR is based on FIP. Because of the above, it isn't a good metric for approximating Dickey's value. It's far better to use RA-9 WAR, which looks at actual run prevention, because Dickey's DIPS will undervalue him, and are almost meaningless. He's between 2.6 and 3.4 RA-9 WAR every year since joining the team. He's at 1.3 this year, and will almost certainly finish at around 2. Using the best information we have, he's a 2-win pitcher.
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Congrats, you're posting on the level of Real Accountant, and he is legitimately insane.
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Yes, he will. He's over 1 now, has 2.5 months left, and usually finishes strong. He's a virtual lock to be in the 1.5 to 2.5 range.
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He's still going to provide around 2 wins this year. He'd have to get significantly worse next year to make a 1/8 type of contract bad value.
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There's a decent enough case to be made for letting him walk that you don't have to resort to things that don't really matter for him (xFIP and fWAR). He looks like much the same guy we've seen for years now: good for 200 IP of 4-4.25 ERA ball. If he doesn't decline, the package is worth like 2-3 wins.
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Blue Jays Designate Chris Colabello Off of the 25 Man
BTS replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
f*** you ang -
Blue Jays Designate Chris Colabello Off of the 25 Man
BTS replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
lol, rest in piss -
I think everyone would still hate him. Watching him pitch is like watching Dae-Ho Lee hit. He might be effective, but it's f***ing gross.
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Dominic Smith Mark Zagunis
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abom
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got it
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The option is written into the league constitution, but has not been invoked. Yet.
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I read this as: Russ got hammered and hurt his knee, then lied to the team about how it happened.
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Who the f*** is up?
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o2, I have a niece who's a fat ballerina, and I'm pretty offended at the implication that this is a bad thing. Please apologize.
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I thought he was gonna be a star.
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Spittin OTC
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Boxy would have been all over someone for deliberately delaying the draft for 12 hours.
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A bit concerned about you damaging the integrity of the league, but not upset.
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The 19 owners who aren't you.
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Maybe. But I suspect that at least a couple teams would wager more than Tellez and a shitbag that he doesn't.
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I'll be around.
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Manfred looking at relief pitcher limits in game
BTS replied to King's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
One of the only things I'd like to see is the end of expanded rosters in September. For 5 months + playoffs it's a game played between 25-man rosters, and then in September you have 30-35 guys. At the very least, force teams to identify a 25-man roster before every game and make all others illegible. -
He still has three years of team control at a very affordable rate. Some team is going to convince themselves that he's not finished yet at 29 years old and make a better offer than a couple of fringy guys not even in the top-100 prospects. I think they'd be pretty justified asking for Stroman actually. Both having previous success, both having absolute s*** years. Abreu with the better track record, Stroman cheaper. 4 years of control for Stro, 3 for Abreu. I'm not endorsing that move, but I'm pretty sure that's what the ask would be given the poor state of the team's farm.
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I don't think Toronto has the assets without dipping into Sanchez or Stroman.
