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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. I can't find the article now, but I'm like 95% sure it was reported that the $5M Toronto owed Upton would be on the 2016 books, rather than 2017. I've been treating him like league a league min player, but I'm not sure his salary even matters at all for 2017 budget purposes.
  2. You're right, my numbers were wrong for the 5-10 ranked teams in 2016. I'm curious as to how you got 121 though. What did you use for Melvin Upton?
  3. Are they including near-minimum salaries for guys like Osuna, Sanchez, Biagini, Travis, Pillar, and Pompey? If not, that would be the difference.
  4. It's at about 117 right now for the current team, including projected arb salaries.
  5. Yelich is better than Stroman, not a pitcher, and controllable for six more years at very cheap rates. I don't see the motivation at all on Miami's end. They need pitching, yes, but they don't exactly have a surplus of outfielders, so opening a hole in the OF to fill one in the rotation doesn't really make them better.
  6. He said we won't be in the top 5, but should be in the next 5. Opening day, that range was about 126 to 166. The lower end of that results in a sub-0.500 season, and the upper end a playoff contender I think.
  7. Ban this piece of s***.
  8. I'm hoping the Indians win so we can get on with the offseason.
  9. I don't think they'll pay the money for Votto, or Stroman for Inciarte, so close to 0.
  10. Yup. There's a big difference between 135 and 165, and I could see it being anywhere in there.
  11. Well, the Dodgers have Seager, Pederson, Urias, De Leon, Maeda, and Kershaw as a young-ish core, which is quite a lot better than Toronto's. And the Mariners and Tigers are examples of the type of team I hope that this is for 2-3 years until they've assembled a sustainable core. Turning this roster will be delicate, and very difficult if payroll isn't well past 150M.
  12. They've already added some nice pieces to the prospect pool: Zeuch, Bichette, McGuire, and Ramirez in and nobody of any consequence out. There may not be any stars there, but that's some nice improvements to the prospect depth in a year where they also made the ALCS.
  13. I think they should keep doing what they've done for the last year: keep adding wins where you can without borrowing from the future. The team is going to have to find a new group of cheap core players, but I think this management team can do it without piling up losing seasons.
  14. You can do this with a lot of teams. Red Sox: 37 year old Ziegler, 41 year old Uehara, 36 year old Hanigan, 41 year old Ortiz I think that, the 'oldest team in baseball' argument aside, it's a legitimate point that the players the team relies on are old. The list of players on the team who you can reasonably project close to 2 wins, are younger than 32 in 2017, and who have more than two years of team control: Travis (26) Pillar (28) Osuna (22) Sanchez (24) Stroman (26) With nothing on the way from the minors in the next two years unless you really like Tellez and Pompey. I think there's definitely a very concerning lack of young talent on the team and in the upper minors.
  15. Literally everyone knows drinking and driving is dangerous, including people who do it. Lack of education isn't the reason for the behaviour, and neither is being a selfish scummy bag of selfish scum.
  16. To be clear, I'm not condoning drinking and driving. I'm advocating empathy in lieu of lynching when someone makes an understandable mistake.
  17. You guys are all still 15 to me.
  18. This might surprise you, but I actually wouldn't make a value judgement on someone who got in an argument with their spouse and took their car out for a spin while over the limit. It's objectively unproductive, but it's also an understandable response to a serious stress. I don't think you really understand how much your actions are dictated by your genetics and experience, and how much a stressful event can cause you make irrational choices.
  19. I didn't want to go there, but yeah. Someone who isn't even drinking age who was raised not to touch alcohol calling a guy scummy and selfish for having drinks and taking his boat on the ocean is just too much.
  20. No, but it should prevent you from getting on your soapbox and making value judgments about how someone reacted to a situation that you can't possibly relate to.
  21. Yeah, I'd probably do it. But I think the value is still a few million $ in favour of LA. I don't know if the difference is Barnes, but it should be something.
  22. There is absolutely nothing selfish or scummy about Fernandez responding to a serious argument with the mother of his child by having drinks and taking his boat out. It obviously wasn't the best way to blow off steam, but the self-righteous indignation is just too much. You have no idea what he was feeling at the time, and the outrage is completely unproductive. Especially from someone who, frankly, can't relate because they're 18 years old and were raised in a very conservative environment. It comes off the same as a 300-pound shut-in condemning Tiger Woods for cheating on his wife.
  23. Yeah, I actually like Ethier a bit. I still think you'd project him at around a win, and cross your fingers that he's healthy and gives you 2. Would you do Smoak for Ethier straight up?
  24. Ethier + Barnes for Smoak is really the only framework I can see working. Smoak is an 8.4 M sunk cost. Ethier is owed 20.5M for one year and will probably project at like 1 win in a platoon role, so he's worth like -12M. A straight swap of the two has the Dodgers picking up like 4-5 in projected surplus value, so Barnes evens that out.
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