I just don't see them making this deal if they don't think he can get through (like when they added Forrest Wall, they did it because they didn't feel they needed to add him...teams seem to know this stuff about other teams). Or there is a lot of wheeling and dealing going on this is to protect another player they don't want to lose. I think it's a bad looking deal regardless but having to add him to the 40 would make it that much worse (unless they truly believe he's a bullpen star and there were many teams pursuing him)