GDT - Jays @ Orioles (Game 1/3)

[Laika]

Yeah, and that’s after looking awful in April. He’s been a massive pickup.

 

At one point I thought Belt might be like... 2-3 weeks from a DFA

[Laika]

Belt has a .394 wOBA since May 1

 

Vlad has a .324 since then and -0.1 fWAR

[Laika]

Given that Kirk is perhaps a big defensive upgrade on Jansen, and Jansen may be a more dangerous hitter than Vlad...

 

The Jays best lineup right now might be Jansen DH, Kirk C, Belt 1B, Vlad on the pine.

 

hhahhaa

[Spanky99]

Mark DeRosa just did a great breakdown on Belt, very good watch. This guy controls the zone, man. Great swing decisions, so much to like as a hitter.

[DigitalRock]

Vlad needs to be moved down the Order, huge win. Belt da man.

[jaysblue]

They are getting pitching back and just made a flurry of roster moves for some new energy/blood. They have Cole and Judge still and they will not be pushovers.

 

Yeah agreed. I don't think people should assume facing the Yankees will be a walk in the park. They could turn things around by time the Jays roll into town like you said - calling up fresh blood, playing better baseball. Wouldn't want to face Cole and Rodon in a series. Jays should be able to win 2 of 3, but don't take those series for granted.

[DigitalRock]

Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has grounded into a MLB-high 70 double plays since 2020.

[Spanky99]

No team in the MLB is a pushover in any short series, that's fool's Gold, lol.

[Laika]

The Brandon Belt home run was so f***ing satisfying, lol

 

That + the Bo play

 

+ Romano beasting in the 10th

 

Very very satisfying end to a game that Schneider tried his best to Yimi into the ground

[jaysblue]

The Brandon Belt home run was so f***ing satisfying, lol

 

That + the Bo play

 

+ Romano beasting in the 10th

 

Very very satisfying end to a game that Schneider tried his best to Yimi into the ground

 

Was one of the most satisfying wins this season IMO.

 

I got up out of my seat after Bo made that throw! Huge play!

[Jonn]

Can’t believe we beat the Orioles last night. Still living off that high.

[max silver]

The Brandon Belt home run was so f***ing satisfying, lol

 

That + the Bo play

 

+ Romano beasting in the 10th

 

Very very satisfying end to a game that Schneider tried his best to Yimi into the ground

 

Yimi takes far too much heat on this forum. Since he stopped tipping his pitches towards the end of May he's been one of the team's best relievers with 1.93 ERA/2.84 FIP/0.7 FWAR over 28 innings. I really don't get the amount of grousing that occurs over a dude that's pitched like a 1.5 WAR reliever over nearly half a season of games, there's non-stop bitching every time he enters a game.

[Stangstag]

Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has grounded into a MLB-high 70 double plays since 2020.

 

Well at least he has the elite production to show for it… wait…

[Stangstag]

Can’t believe we beat the Orioles last night. Still living off that high.

 

Lets f***ing do it again

[Stangstag]

Yimi takes far too much heat on this forum. Since he stopped tipping his pitches towards the end of May he's been one of the team's best relievers with 1.93 ERA/2.84 FIP/0.7 FWAR over 28 innings. I really don't get the amount of grousing that occurs over a dude that's pitched like a 1.5 WAR reliever over nearly half a season of games, there's non-stop bitching every time he enters a game.

 

He’s fine, just isn’t one of the better guys in the pen now that we have some newer acquisitions. Without looking at the numbers, his main issue seems to be that he isn’t striking out many batters

[wilko]

That felt like a playoff game. Not sure why Schneider decided to use the entire pen, but whatever.. they won!

[Stangstag]

That felt like a playoff game. Not sure why Schneider decided to use the entire pen, but whatever.. they won!

 

That was just a taste of what the ALDS is gonna be like. Heart meds needed

[Omar]

He’s fine, just isn’t one of the better guys in the pen now that we have some newer acquisitions. Without looking at the numbers, his main issue seems to be that he isn’t striking out many batters

 

Yeah. Right now Yimi should be used for starting innings or with no one on base.

[BlueDrip]

Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has grounded into a MLB-high 70 double plays since 2020.

 

feels like that number is too low. I feel like he grounded into 70 dp just this year alone

[max silver]

He’s fine, just isn’t one of the better guys in the pen now that we have some newer acquisitions. Without looking at the numbers, his main issue seems to be that he isn’t striking out many batters

 

I can agree that Garcia might be down the pecking order in the pen a bit after all of the additions this season but that doesn't take away from the fact that he's still a damn good reliever. Having a guy like this available in middle relief is a really strong asset.

 

For the season as a whole Garcia is striking out 10.10 per nine innings. He is definitely striking out fewer batters recently though with only 6.75 k/9 in August.

[Stangstag]

I can agree that Garcia might be down the pecking order in the pen a bit after all of the additions this season but that doesn't take away from the fact that he's still a damn good reliever. Having a guy like this available in middle relief is a really strong asset.

 

For the season as a whole Garcia is striking out 10.10 per nine innings. He is definitely striking out fewer batters recently though with only 6.75 k/9 in August.

 

Right, so the eye test passes. Thanks for checking the numbers. I just think there’s better guys to go to with runners on base in that situation last night.

[max silver]

Right, so the eye test passes. Thanks for checking the numbers. I just think there’s better guys to go to with runners on base in that situation last night.

 

The team doesn't use Swanson in early innings so he's out as an option. That basically leaves Richards, Garcia and Cabrera as remaining options. Cabrera is used more specifically for matchups against lefty batters so that leaves Richards and Garcia.

 

Runners on base:

 

Garcia 9.24 k/9 2.13 BB/9 .389 BABIP 4.33 K/BB LOB 45.5% 3.19 FIP

Richards 12.43 k/9 5.14 BB/9 BABIP .279 LOB 61% 2.98 FIP

 

Richards get a slight nod here with more strikeouts and more runners left on base. Neither guy really stands out dramatically over the other based on having runners on base, but it's a far different situation when there are runners in scoring position.

 

Runners in scoring position:

 

Garcia: 9.42K/9 3.14BB/9 3.00K/BB 1.33 BABIP .333 LOB 10.2% 3.55 FIP

Richards: 14.00K/9 9.00 BB/9 1.56 K/BB BABIP .250 LOB 35.7% 3.49FIP

 

Richards get the nod here again with the great strikeout rate and much better strand rate. He seems a little more likely to compound the issues due to the high walk rate but FIP values are essentially the same.

[Stangstag]

The team doesn't use Swanson in early innings so he's out as an option. That basically leaves Richards, Garcia and Cabrera as remaining options. Cabrera is used more specifically for matchups against lefty batters so that leaves Richards and Garcia.

 

Runners on base:

 

Garcia 9.24 k/9 2.13 BB/9 .389 BABIP 4.33 K/BB LOB 45.5% 3.19 FIP

Richards 12.43 k/9 5.14 BB/9 BABIP .279 LOB 61% 2.98 FIP

 

Richards get a slight nod here with more strikeouts and more runners left on base. Neither guy really stands out dramatically over the other based on having runners on base, but it's a far different situation when there are runners in scoring position.

 

Runners in scoring position:

 

Garcia: 9.42K/9 3.14BB/9 3.00K/BB 1.33 BABIP .333 LOB 10.2% 3.55 FIP

Richards: 14.00K/9 9.00 BB/9 1.56 K/BB BABIP .250 LOB 35.7% 3.49FIP

 

Richards get the nod here again with the great strikeout rate and much better strand rate. He seems a little more likely to compound the issues due to the high walk rate but FIP values are essentially the same.

 

I guess I just don’t really see why Swanson isn’t considered an option in earlier high leverage scenarios. But also seems Richards should be used over Garcia in those spots too. The LOB is a huge difference

[DigitalRock]

No team in the MLB is a pushover in any short series, that's fool's Gold, lol.

 

Yep I cringe whenever I see posts indicating an opponent will be easy.