Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

Recommended Posts

Posted
Gotta love Dinger's charts spouting value out of the wazoo every time a contract like this comes up for a star player. MLBPA needs to hire this man as part of their public relations team.

 

The risk of signing any one player to a contract like this is immense, that's why there is always a huge discount compared to $/WAR. Trout could turn into a pumpkin tomorrow and the Angels doomed themselves to a decade of 75 win seasons. This is unlikely, but not impossible. But that's why this is not a steal of a contract but a fair, risk-adjusted contract.

 

What did you think of the inferior Harper, or Arenado's deals?

 

Trout's a full tier above them?

Posted

Devo, Kenny Lofton, Lance Johnson, Mike Cameron are really quick examples of guys that provided 10+ fWAR from base-running and CF defense alone from age 28 to retirement. In the end I will safely declare that Trout may or may not produce positive value from that contract.

 

I guess I have to be the one to point out that if you lined up these four men with Trout and asked people to pick which one of these five is not like the other, most would pick Trout. No FO is going to publicly state it, but I'm sure their secret models have these extraneous factors built into them.

Community Moderator
Posted
giphy.gif?cid=3640f6095c9247544f316b3941cfb332

 

It's actually pretty awesome that you've started moderating yourself. It means all I really have to do around here is ban jays4life19 and BBBB every once in awhile.

Posted
A-Rod was never quite as consistent but had 62 fWAR through age 27 (64.9 for Trout). But had an additional 2 seasons (1000 PAs). He produced 51.8 fWAR after his age 27 year (including three 9 win seasons between age 28 and 32). Ken Griffey Jr. only produced about 20 fWAR after his age 27 season but so much of his value came from defense and base-running prior to that. Four players have produced 100 fWAR from age 28 to the end of their career. Bonds and Mays the only two since WWII.

 

Devo, Kenny Lofton, Lance Johnson, Mike Cameron are really quick examples of guys that provided 10+ fWAR from base-running and CF defense alone from age 28 to retirement. In the end I will safely declare that Trout may or may not produce positive value from that contract.

 

A-Rod was born late July, Trout early August. It make sense to compare them both through the year they turned 27. I think that would give Trout a 10 WAR advantage, at almost the exact same age (~64-54). Your using the wrong division point, I think. A-Rod was ~ 53 WAR up to Trouts age, ~60 after.

 

A-Rod - Born late July 1975. Trout Born August 1991.

 

1975+27=2002

1991+27=2018

Posted
It's actually pretty awesome that you've started moderating yourself. It means all I really have to do around here is ban jays4life19 and BBBB every once in awhile.

 

Yup cause Banning people who do not agree with You , and do less Harm here then some

Who post here and offer nothing but attacks on other members is Moderating !!!

 

Proof you hide behind your Cowards Shield

And have picked to protect your pals, the Hive

And your Fantasy members !

 

You are Unworthy of the Title you now have and own!

 

Have a Nice Day !!! Go Jays Go !!!

 

You Sir should leave and Go play on the Tampa Bay board or Free way !!! :)

Posted
Some prime deleted content on this page.

 

I had a "Spanky's deleted posts" document I did for a while, but it became too much to keep up. I'll have to wing it now when we enter him into the HOF.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I had a "Spanky's deleted posts" document I did for a while, but it became too much to keep up. I'll have to wing it now when we enter him into the HOF.

 

When is that ceremony anyway? I'd like to book the time off work.

Posted
When is that ceremony anyway? I'd like to book the time off work.

 

I'd expect an entire weekend of festivities would be required to honor Spanky.

Posted
It's actually pretty awesome that you've started moderating yourself. It means all I really have to do around here is ban jays4life19 and BBBB every once in awhile.

 

Oh s*** I thought HOF ceremonies was just a nice way of saying his wake

 

Fine, I'll leave my non-sensical drunk posts from now on. :P

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
The Jays Centre Caretaker Fund
The Jays Centre Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Blue Jays community on the internet.

×
×
  • Create New...