P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 We worked pretty hard at this and hope you enjoy it. https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/organizational-review-top-50-blue-jays-prospects
Daniel Labude Jays Centre Contributor Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 We worked pretty hard at this and hope you enjoy it. https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/organizational-review-top-50-blue-jays-prospects Awesome!!!!!!
Daniel Labude Jays Centre Contributor Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 Here is my Top 30 1. Vladito 2. Bichette 3. Pearson 4. Jansen 5. Smith 6. Pardinho 7. Biggio 8. SRF 9. Groshans 10. Orelvis 11. Noda 12. Young 13. Alford 14. Spanberger 15. Merryweather 16. Perez 17. Paulino 18. Hiraldo 19. Kloffenstein 20. Luciano 21. Espinal 22. Lopez 23. Thornton 24. Winckowski 25. McKinney 26. Kirk 27. Taylor 28. Zeuch 29. Conine 30. Mc
Daniel Labude Jays Centre Contributor Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 I really liked how you all did the percentiles
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 I really liked how you all did the percentiles It is clearly a better way of illustrating upside and risk than just writing "55 FV - high risk" beside everybody.
Terminator Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 This is really really good. The percentiles are good but I love the write ups too. This article is something worthy to be published on Fangraphs or ESPN or something.
KevinGregg Verified Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 I loved this list. How relevant videos were posted throughout. Blurbs written only for interesting players. Percentile outcomes are obviously way better than future value ratings. Well done guys!!! I will listen to the podcast later today
Terminator Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 I really liked the Martinez/Hiraldo debate. You guys obviously put a lot of time into thinking about that. But we actually have some pro ball data for Hiraldo and he did pretty well in Rookie ball last year as a 17 year old. We don't have any data for Martinez yet. How much credit should Hidalgo get for putting up a solid year like that? Seems like you didn't give him much since he's ranked so much lower than Martinez.
P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Author Posted February 4, 2019 I really liked the Martinez/Hiraldo debate. You guys obviously put a lot of time into thinking about that. But we actually have some pro ball data for Hiraldo and he did pretty well in Rookie ball last year as a 17 year old. We don't have any data for Martinez yet. How much credit should Hidalgo get for putting up a solid year like that? Seems like you didn't give him much since he's ranked so much lower than Martinez. Nick would probably answer this more concisely than I, and he may do so, but I'll go ahead and explain my feelings on this. You make a fair point, although I feel like, collectively, we still like Hiraldo a great deal. He's #22 in a very deep system and he's only 18. We would certainly move him up if his performance continues to dictate such a move. We devalued him a little bit for the slide over to 3B on the defensive spectrum, but we still like the bat's potential quite a bit. The biggest knock against him currently is that he's so far away and has had barely any action outside of the DSL. We won't downgrade him for that horrendous small sample in the GCL, but I want to see him have a good year in 2019 before shoving him up the list. It's more that we're high on Orelvis as opposed to down on Hiraldo.
Daniel Labude Jays Centre Contributor Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 It is clearly a better way of illustrating upside and risk than just writing "55 FV - high risk" beside everybody. Did you all think about including both?
P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Author Posted February 4, 2019 Did you all think about including both? There was some brief discussion about including FV, but we quickly and unanimously agreed that future value just doesn't capture the likely range of outcomes that we wanted to present for each player. If there was enough interest in that, it's something that we could possibly include in the future, but we really like the percentile outcomes system that we used instead. Plus, I don't know of anyone else using the outcomes the way that we did, which makes it sort of unique. I also could be wrong about that, though.
tercet Verified Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 U guys r teh funny! Bash me for saying biggio/bichette/pearson is overrated then state the exact same reason(s) why I say they are overrated in this list. But the top 10 reports seem accurate/legit beside Pearson and Pardinho. Pearson 50% - Random AAA pitcher. He has shown extreme control problems in the AFL, 1.2 IP above SS ball and we have no clue if this is legit or not, but you guys are stuck with OMFGWTFBBQ 100MPH. No reason to have him higher/lower then Patrick Murphy now. Pardinho 50% - Random AAA pitcher, He is 5'7' 5'8'', maybe he grew since I saw him in Dunedin last spring, but the history of short pitchers is no bueno.
P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Author Posted February 4, 2019 I can't parse whether you're complimenting us or not. Either way, thanks for reading the article, tercet!
tercet Verified Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 You guys secretely love me, but gotta troll all my posts 24/7 to be cool, njh is funny he hasn't changed in 10 years, but atleast bts and dinger changed a bit in the last 10 years.
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 I really liked the Martinez/Hiraldo debate. You guys obviously put a lot of time into thinking about that. But we actually have some pro ball data for Hiraldo and he did pretty well in Rookie ball last year as a 17 year old. We don't have any data for Martinez yet. How much credit should Hidalgo get for putting up a solid year like that? Seems like you didn't give him much since he's ranked so much lower than Martinez. What p2f said but also: - The bonuses paid to both weighed heavy on us. I view that as a proxy measurement for what Toronto thinks of the total tool packages. - Hiraldo doesn't smell or look like a SS to me so that was a substantial negative factor (relative to Orelvis).
Boxcar Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 You guys secretely love me, but gotta troll all my posts 24/7 to be cool, njh is funny he hasn't changed in 10 years, but atleast bts and dinger changed a bit in the last 10 years. I think you have misread the situation
Terminator Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 What p2f said but also: - The bonuses paid to both weighed heavy on us. I view that as a proxy measurement for what Toronto thinks of the total tool packages. - Hiraldo doesn't smell or look like a SS to me so that was a substantial negative factor (relative to Orelvis). You guys make good points. I guess a hole in my theory is that Hiraldo performed well in the Dominic Summer League as a 17 year old. Still impressive but he's only a year younger than average for that league. The Gulf Coast League is where he would need to make noise in order for it to truly be impressive. Fangraphs doesn't properly delineate the two leagues on the profile page, they simply refer to both as ® so you have to click on each ® to gain an understanding on which is which.
P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Author Posted February 4, 2019 If anyone here posts on Reddit and would please post the link to the article there, that would be super duper. You will get a thank and much appreciation from yours truly.
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 If anyone here posts on Reddit and would please post the link to the article there, that would be super duper. You will get a thank and much appreciation from yours truly. Someone can try but the mods there will probably make it invisible immediately just like last time.
P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Author Posted February 4, 2019 Someone can try but the mods there will probably make it invisible immediately just like last time. Maybe so, but I figure it's worth a try.
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 Nice job, but that bit about Wall having a low IQ, I recommend revising it
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 Nice job, but that bit about Wall having a low IQ, I recommend revising it I just really like the swing mechanics. http://freegifmaker.me/video/15493205012887017.gif
bones10 Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 U guys r teh funny! Bash me for saying biggio/bichette/pearson is overrated then state the exact same reason(s) why I say they are overrated in this list. But the top 10 reports seem accurate/legit beside Pearson and Pardinho. Pearson 50% - Random AAA pitcher. He has shown extreme control problems in the AFL, 1.2 IP above SS ball and we have no clue if this is legit or not, but you guys are stuck with OMFGWTFBBQ 100MPH. No reason to have him higher/lower then Patrick Murphy now. Pardinho 50% - Random AAA pitcher, He is 5'7' 5'8'', maybe he grew since I saw him in Dunedin last spring, but the history of short pitchers is no bueno. Why are you using musings from the 2006 internet.
Terminator Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 Lol you guys broke the 4th wall on the Reese McGuire write up. Seems like you know he should be higher but just didn't bother with him because he's so unexciting. If you had to objectively rank him somewhere, how high would you put him?
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 Lol you guys broke the 4th wall on the Reese McGuire write up. Seems like you know he should be higher but just didn't bother with him because he's so unexciting. If you had to objectively rank him somewhere, how high would you put him? Probably around 30. I think I'd have to put him above Riley Adams and he would be similar to Sopko. These things are impossible to perfect. You do 10 revisions and then when you look at the final product you realize guys are out of order. It just is what it is. I also think, upon reflection, Palacios could probably rise by ten spots or so and Wall by 5-10 spots.
Terminator Old-Timey Member Posted February 4, 2019 Posted February 4, 2019 Probably around 30. I think I'd have to put him above Riley Adams and he would be similar to Sopko. These things are impossible to perfect. You do 10 revisions and then when you look at the final product you realize guys are out of order. It just is what it is. I also think, upon reflection, Palacios could probably rise by ten spots or so and Wall by 5-10 spots. Wasn't a criticism I'm just working my way through it all and am commenting on things that stand out. I thought it was pretty fitting for him. Seems like McGuire could be one of those Cs that's a black hole in the lineup but he finds himself playing in the big leagues for a decade anyway. Batting left handed and playing mostly against Righties could help keep his wRC+ floating above 80 as well which is going to help him stick around. Hard to rank someone like that.
Deadpool Old-Timey Member Posted February 5, 2019 Posted February 5, 2019 I released an album in 1997 under the name Mc Something good.
P2F Old-Timey Member Posted February 5, 2019 Author Posted February 5, 2019 I released an album in 1997 under the name Mc Something good. That's the strangest coincidence.
JoJo Parker Dunedin Blue Jays - A SS On Tuesday, Parker was just 1-for-5, but the one hit was his first professional home run. Explore JoJo Parker News >
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