Mid 2016 - AL East and win total revised Predictions

[fatcowxlive]

5.5 games out is nothing. Y'all forget that we have a month out of the AL East, meaning other AL East teams are gonna start beating each other on their heads, and we'll gain ground that way. We also easily had the hardest schedule with the least amount of days off in the East up until B-more series so we should improve down the stretch until the All-Star game while other 2 teams should start facing tougher competition

[TheHurl]

5.5 games out is nothing. Y'all forget that we have a month out of the AL East, meaning other AL East teams are gonna start beating each other on their heads, and we'll gain ground that way. We also easily had the hardest schedule with the least amount of days off in the East up until B-more series so we should improve down the stretch until the All-Star game while other 2 teams should start facing tougher competition

 

Is there really a difference between the divisions right now? Central is pretty strong until you get to the Twins.

 

Baltimore (until the final July series against the Jays) and Boston each just have the 1 series against the Rays and Yankees so there really isn't much beating each other up. I'd say the O's have a tough schedule, and Boston has the easiest month (7 against the Angels, 3 Rays, 3 Twins). With that said looking at schedules doesn't mean all that much

[fatcowxlive]

Is there really a difference between the divisions right now? Central is pretty strong until you get to the Twins.

 

Baltimore (until the final July series against the Jays) and Boston each just have the 1 series against the Rays and Yankees so there really isn't much beating each other up. I'd say the O's have a tough schedule, and Boston has the easiest month (7 against the Angels, 3 Rays, 3 Twins). With that said looking at schedules doesn't mean all that much

 

I'm not talking about difficulty, but when you drop a game against Baltimore you just directly effected where you are in the standings compared if we lose outside of the division. Now that we're out of there we have less head to head matchups, which I think is an advantage. I could be mid understanding schedules as well

[HERPDERP]

You guys keep expecting the Orioles to fade cause of their over achieving offense, well why not apply the same to us, and our overachieving pitching?

 

I highly doubt Estrada is this elite. His BABIP is even lower this year, walk rate is up a ton, K rate down a ton. He is due for regression.

 

Same with Happ. Career worst peripherals and his last two starts may be a correction.

 

Sanchez has looked great and I'm happy but this will not last, we know it

 

Stroman is the one guy that can improve if he wasn't so stubborn

 

Dickey is whatever

[Traded_prospect]

I'm not talking about difficulty, but when you drop a game against Baltimore you just directly effected where you are in the standings compared if we lose outside of the division. Now that we're out of there we have less head to head matchups, which I think is an advantage. I could be mid understanding schedules as well

 

Totally agree;

Baltimore has played 44 home games and only 33 on the road (and only 35 vs the East)

Boston has played 41 home games and 37 on the road (35 vs the East)

Toronto has played 36 home games and 44 on the road (42 vs the East)

 

Based on home vs road alone, Toronto should move up the standings versus Baltimore. But that is why they play the games.

[glory]

Why are people expecting the Orioles to regress? Have we not seen this story before (2012 and 2014)? I think their offense and pen carries their s*** starting pitching and then they'll trade for help at the deadline. I think they got the East.

 

Jays win the 1st WC, beat the Royals in the WC game, advance to beat the Rangers in the ALDS, and then beat the O's in the ALCS to advance to the World Series. Beat all our least favorite teams in one shot. It's destiny.

[Jimcanuck]

Sanchez has looked great and I'm happy but this will not last, we know it

 

 

why not

[burlingtonbandit]

You guys keep expecting the Orioles to fade cause of their over achieving offense, well why not apply the same to us, and our overachieving pitching?

 

I highly doubt Estrada is this elite. His BABIP is even lower this year, walk rate is up a ton, K rate down a ton. He is due for regression.

 

Same with Happ. Career worst peripherals and his last two starts may be a correction.

 

Sanchez has looked great and I'm happy but this will not last, we know it

 

Stroman is the one guy that can improve if he wasn't so stubborn

 

Dickey is whatever

 

Estrada's strikeout rate is way up from last year? As are his infield flys which is just as good as a strikeout.

[LGBJ29]

You guys keep expecting the Orioles to fade cause of their over achieving offense, well why not apply the same to us, and our overachieving pitching?

 

I highly doubt Estrada is this elite. His BABIP is even lower this year, walk rate is up a ton, K rate down a ton. He is due for regression.

 

Same with Happ. Career worst peripherals and his last two starts may be a correction.

 

Sanchez has looked great and I'm happy but this will not last, we know it

 

Stroman is the one guy that can improve if he wasn't so stubborn

 

Dickey is whatever

 

Estrada K/9 2015: 6.51

Estrada K/9 2016: 8.34

 

His walk rate is up marginally, not a ton. Which is what comes naturally with more K's

 

Just decided to spew garbage to sound different without even looking at the stat sheet huh?

[jays_fever]

His walk rate is up from 7.6 to 10% per batter, so it is up. No idea where he came up with the strikeouts crap though.

 

His BABIP will regress and he's still going to be a good pitcher.

 

The "Stroman would improve if he wasnt stubborn" is another completely ******** point as well so whatever

[burlingtonbandit]

do people actually think if Stroman threw more 4 seamers and less 2 seamers he's going to suddenly turn into an Ace/#2?

[Atothe]

why not

 

Exactly, He might be due for a slight regression but Sanchez looks like a stud

[Jonn]

do people actually think if Stroman threw more 4 seamers and less 2 seamers he's going to suddenly turn into an Ace/#2?

 

No. It would give hitters a different look though because they are sitting on his 90 MPH 2 seamer and if its up are clobbering it. Its an overal lack of command and his breaking pitches don't have the same bite. They aren't swinging at the ones out of the strike zone anymore.

[Nafro]

91 Wins...that was the point of this thread wasn't it?

[Atothe]

[Spanky99]

why not

 

He's pulling a classic Kilace, pulling his black cloud around hoping for as many bites as possible, you ever notice he never replies to facts.

[KevinGregg]

Jays win the 1st WC, beat the Royals in the WC game, advance to beat the Rangers in the ALDS, and then beat the O's in the ALCS to advance to the World Series. Beat all our least favorite teams in one shot. It's destiny.

 

I would love this so much

[GD]

blah blah blah

 

The dangers of copy/pasting from reddit

[RealAccountant]

Time to call it a season

[Jonn]

Time to call it a season

 

Don't jinx it now metalturd

[RealAccountant]

Moi? What's zid I doooo?

[BigCecil]

http://i.imgur.com/wL2EZGl.png

 

Better pen performance so far, and we are in 1st. OTOH the rotation has been better than a lot expected. We are right there 2 out.

[BigBounceyBlueBalls]

What did I say originally, what did any of you say originally even???