Official MiLB/Prospects Thread

[Spanky__99]

Use the projections to your advantage

While it is true that for more accurate “projections”, one should use multiple years of performance (as a player’s “true talent” is more accurately reflected by their career performance than from their “most recent three months”), RoboScout was specifically designed to quickly estimate future performance and only uses current season data. This is because it’s extremely advantageous to find prospects in dynasty leagues before before industry outlets publish their updated lists (or podcasts discuss them).

 

In order to do so, you will need to make decisions with imperfect information. For example, if you waited until Davis Schneider was called up to the major leagues, and then performed well enough to get a rest-of-season projection that was attractive, it was too late. He was likely already rostered for weeks. If we can positively influence the decision-making process despite having only imperfect information, this would be a powerful tool.

 

To make RoboScout as simple as possible— and as simple as possible to maintain—it is solely results-based. It does not know if a hitter is an unathletic designated hitter or an 80-grade defender in center field. RoboScout merely takes the player’s performance and ranks them, at each minor league level, based on their (1) projected major league performance, (2) projected peak major league performance, and (3) expected long-term fantasy value (generalized because of the various league formats).

 

From all of the above, the following RoboScout 100 list was created.

 

Unsurprisingly, there is a lot of overlap with our curated lists which had the benefit of human intervention. For example, all of the usual suspects are here: Jackson Chourio, Samuel Basallo, Junior Caminero, Coby Mayo, Jackson Holliday, and so forth. Sprinkled throughout the list, however, are a few “interesting” (read: odd) names—most of which seem to be hitters who possess an outlier ability to make contact, avoid strike outs and therefore have high expected batting averages in the David Fletcher and Tony Kemp mold.

 

In future articles, we will look at some of these unexpected names—and some of the older players who RoboScout also liked but were not appropriate for a prospect list.

 

Here’s the full list. You can find full scouting reports for every player ranked in our Preseason Top 30s here.

 

RoboScout Top 100 Fantasy Prospects

[Spanky__99]

1 Coby Mayo BAL 3B 22 AA

2 Colt Keith DET 3B 22 AA

3 Xavier Edwards MIA 2B 24 AAA

4 Samuel Basallo BAL C 19 A+

5 Junior Caminero TBR 3B 20 AA

6 Tyler Black MIL 2B/3B 23 AA

7 Emmanuel Rodriguez MIN OF 21 A+

8 Owen Caissie CHC OF 21 AA

9 Jackson Holliday BAL SS 20 A+

10 Jackson Chourio MIL OF 20 AA

11 Jared Jones PIT P 22 AAA

12 Jett Williams NYM SS/OF 20 A+

13 Luis Matos SF OF 22 AA

14 Jasson Dominguez NYY OF 21 AA

15 Moises Ballesteros CHC C 20 A+

16 Samuel Zavala SDP OF 19 A+

17 Jakob Marsee SDP OF 23 A+

18 Jackson Jobe DET P 21 A+

19 Ivan Herrera STL C 24 AAA

20 Kyle Harrison SF P 22 AAA

21 Chayce McDermott BAL P 25 AAA

22 Cole Young SEA SS 20 A+

23 Colt Emerson SEA SS 18 A

24 Sal Stewart CIN 3B 20 A+

25 Chase Hampton NYY P 22 A+

26 Wyatt Langford TEX OF 22 A+

27 Evan Carter TEX OF 21 AA

28 Xavier Isaac TB 1B 20 A+

29 Ethan Salas SD C 18 A

30 Kala’i Rosario MIN OF 21 A+

31 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/SS 22 AA

32 James Wood WSH OF 21 AA

33 Ben Rice NYY C 25 AA

34 Carter Jensen KCR C 20 A+

35 Colton Cowser BAL OF 24 AAA

36 Adael Amador COL SS 21 A+

37 DL Hall MIL P 25 AAA

38 Matt Shaw CHC 2B/SS 22 A+

39 Thayron Liranzo LAD C 20 A

40 Roman Anthony BOS OF 20 A+

41 Justyn-Henry Malloy DET 3B 24 AAA

42 Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC OF 22 AA

43 Jackson Merrill SD SS 21 A+

44 AJ Smith-Shawver ATL P 21 AAA

45 Hao-Yu Lee DET 2B 21 A+

46 Jace Jung DET 2B 23 A+

47 Chase DeLauter CLE OF 22 A+

48 Will Warren NYY P 25 AAA

49 Ignacio Alvarez ATL 3B/SS 21 A+

50 James Triantos CHC SS 21 A+

51 Marco Luciano SF SS 22 AA

52 Lazaro Montes SEA OF 19 A

53 Connor Phillips CIN P 23 AA

54 Cade Horton CHC P 22 A+

55 Luis Lara MIL OF 19 A+

56 Juan Brito CLE 2B 22 AA

57 Everson Pereira NYY OF 23 AA

58 Leo Jimenez TOR SS 23 AA

59 Curtis Mead TBR 3B 23 AAA

60 Javier Vaz KCR 2B 23 A+

61 Dalton Rushing LAD C 23 A+

62 Noah Schultz CHW P 20 A

63 Colson Montgomery CHW SS 22 A+

64 Orelvis Martinez TOR SS 22 AA

65 Carson Williams TB SS 21 A+

66 Nathan Martorella SDP 1B 23 A+

67 Kyle Manzardo CLE 1B 23 AAA

68 Wilyer Abreu BOS OF 25 AAA

69 Edwin Arroyo CIN SS 20 A+

70 Termarr Johnson PIT 2B 20 A+

71 Blaze Jordan BOS 1B/3B 21 A+

72 Jonatan Clase SEA OF 22 A+

73 Andy Pages LAD OF 23 AA

74 Hunter Goodman COL 1B/C 24 AA

75 Tanner Schobel MIN 2B 23 A+

76 Jacob Misiorowski MIL P 22 A

77 Trey Sweeney LAD SS 24 AA

78 Edgar Quero CWS C 21 AA

79 Wes Clarke MIL C/1B 24 AA

80 Justice Bigbie DET 3B 25 AA

81 Ben Brown CHC P 24 AAA

82 Jorbit Vivas NYY 2B 23 AA

83 Justin Crawford PHI OF 20 A+

84 Josue Briceno DET C 19 A

85 Caleb Durbin NYY 2B 24 AA

86 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/SS 23 AAA

87 Gabriel Gonzalez SEA OF 20 A

88 Kevin McGonigle DET SS 19 A

89 Jeferson Quero MIL C 21 AA

90 Abimelec Ortiz TEX 1B 22 A+

91 Ryan Clifford NYM 1B/OF 20 A

92 Chase Meidroth BOS 2B/3B 21 AA

93 Dylan Beavers BAL OF 22 A+

94 Carlos Jorge CIN 2B 20 A+

95 Harry Ford SEA C 21 A+

96 Tyler Hardman NYY 1B 24 AA

97 Joey Ortiz MIL 2B/SS 24 AAA

98 Brock Wilken MIL 3B 21 A+

99 Jordan Lawlar ARI SS 21 AAA

100 Alan Roden TOR OF 24 AA

[Spanky__99]

Pretty cool s*** to wrap your head around, I love it.

[The_DH]

1 Coby Mayo BAL 3B 22 AA

2 Colt Keith DET 3B 22 AA

3 Xavier Edwards MIA 2B 24 AAA

4 Samuel Basallo BAL C 19 A+

5 Junior Caminero TBR 3B 20 AA

6 Tyler Black MIL 2B/3B 23 AA

7 Emmanuel Rodriguez MIN OF 21 A+

8 Owen Caissie CHC OF 21 AA

9 Jackson Holliday BAL SS 20 A+

10 Jackson Chourio MIL OF 20 AA

11 Jared Jones PIT P 22 AAA

12 Jett Williams NYM SS/OF 20 A+

13 Luis Matos SF OF 22 AA

14 Jasson Dominguez NYY OF 21 AA

15 Moises Ballesteros CHC C 20 A+

16 Samuel Zavala SDP OF 19 A+

17 Jakob Marsee SDP OF 23 A+

18 Jackson Jobe DET P 21 A+

19 Ivan Herrera STL C 24 AAA

20 Kyle Harrison SF P 22 AAA

21 Chayce McDermott BAL P 25 AAA

22 Cole Young SEA SS 20 A+

23 Colt Emerson SEA SS 18 A

24 Sal Stewart CIN 3B 20 A+

25 Chase Hampton NYY P 22 A+

26 Wyatt Langford TEX OF 22 A+

27 Evan Carter TEX OF 21 AA

28 Xavier Isaac TB 1B 20 A+

29 Ethan Salas SD C 18 A

30 Kala’i Rosario MIN OF 21 A+

31 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/SS 22 AA

32 James Wood WSH OF 21 AA

33 Ben Rice NYY C 25 AA

34 Carter Jensen KCR C 20 A+

35 Colton Cowser BAL OF 24 AAA

36 Adael Amador COL SS 21 A+

37 DL Hall MIL P 25 AAA

38 Matt Shaw CHC 2B/SS 22 A+

39 Thayron Liranzo LAD C 20 A

40 Roman Anthony BOS OF 20 A+

41 Justyn-Henry Malloy DET 3B 24 AAA

42 Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC OF 22 AA

43 Jackson Merrill SD SS 21 A+

44 AJ Smith-Shawver ATL P 21 AAA

45 Hao-Yu Lee DET 2B 21 A+

46 Jace Jung DET 2B 23 A+

47 Chase DeLauter CLE OF 22 A+

48 Will Warren NYY P 25 AAA

49 Ignacio Alvarez ATL 3B/SS 21 A+

50 James Triantos CHC SS 21 A+

51 Marco Luciano SF SS 22 AA

52 Lazaro Montes SEA OF 19 A

53 Connor Phillips CIN P 23 AA

54 Cade Horton CHC P 22 A+

55 Luis Lara MIL OF 19 A+

56 Juan Brito CLE 2B 22 AA

57 Everson Pereira NYY OF 23 AA

58 Leo Jimenez TOR SS 23 AA

59 Curtis Mead TBR 3B 23 AAA

60 Javier Vaz KCR 2B 23 A+

61 Dalton Rushing LAD C 23 A+

62 Noah Schultz CHW P 20 A

63 Colson Montgomery CHW SS 22 A+

64 Orelvis Martinez TOR SS 22 AA

65 Carson Williams TB SS 21 A+

66 Nathan Martorella SDP 1B 23 A+

67 Kyle Manzardo CLE 1B 23 AAA

68 Wilyer Abreu BOS OF 25 AAA

69 Edwin Arroyo CIN SS 20 A+

70 Termarr Johnson PIT 2B 20 A+

71 Blaze Jordan BOS 1B/3B 21 A+

72 Jonatan Clase SEA OF 22 A+

73 Andy Pages LAD OF 23 AA

74 Hunter Goodman COL 1B/C 24 AA

75 Tanner Schobel MIN 2B 23 A+

76 Jacob Misiorowski MIL P 22 A

77 Trey Sweeney LAD SS 24 AA

78 Edgar Quero CWS C 21 AA

79 Wes Clarke MIL C/1B 24 AA

80 Justice Bigbie DET 3B 25 AA

81 Ben Brown CHC P 24 AAA

82 Jorbit Vivas NYY 2B 23 AA

83 Justin Crawford PHI OF 20 A+

84 Josue Briceno DET C 19 A

85 Caleb Durbin NYY 2B 24 AA

86 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/SS 23 AAA

87 Gabriel Gonzalez SEA OF 20 A

88 Kevin McGonigle DET SS 19 A

89 Jeferson Quero MIL C 21 AA

90 Abimelec Ortiz TEX 1B 22 A+

91 Ryan Clifford NYM 1B/OF 20 A

92 Chase Meidroth BOS 2B/3B 21 AA

93 Dylan Beavers BAL OF 22 A+

94 Carlos Jorge CIN 2B 20 A+

95 Harry Ford SEA C 21 A+

96 Tyler Hardman NYY 1B 24 AA

97 Joey Ortiz MIL 2B/SS 24 AAA

98 Brock Wilken MIL 3B 21 A+

99 Jordan Lawlar ARI SS 21 AAA

100 Alan Roden TOR OF 24 AA

 

Baltimore's future will be something if they all pan out.

[Spanky__99]

Baltimore's future will be something if they all pan out.

 

It's not a secret...

[Spanky__99]

I know a guy that dropped Mayo for a late pick, hahahaha... what a fool.

 

Oh sorry, my bad... Larnach and Mayo for 3 3rd's and a 4th. Dumn.

[Daniel Labude]

I know a guy that dropped Mayo for a late pick, hahahaha... what a fool.

 

Oh sorry, my bad... Larnach and Mayo for 3 3rd's and a 4th. Dumn.

Amazing calculated success Id say

[jaysguy44]

[The Cats Ass]

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/there-is-such-thing-as-a-pitching-prospect-the-top-10-by-projected-era-at-peak/

 

Tiedemann getting some love.

[John_Havok]

 

ftfy

 

[John_Havok]

Tiedeman is starting the spring opener

[Jimcanuck]

Reminds me of Pearson tweets from a few years back

[Laika]

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/there-is-such-thing-as-a-pitching-prospect-the-top-10-by-projected-era-at-peak/

 

Tiedemann getting some love.

 

The following players all have excellent regression-free projections reflecting a strong small sample of minor league performance: Noah Schultz, Henry Lalane, JR Ritchie, Teddy Sharkey, Kumar Rocker, Carson Whisenhunt, Paul Skenes, Noble Meyer, Brandon Barriera, Adam Serwinowski, Drue Hackenberg. Many of them are already highly touted prospects. The lesser-known names are a good bet to make some noise and rise up prospect lists in 2024.

 

Did not expect to see Barriera's name in this article

 

Wonder if people are overreacting to his 2023. Yeah he got fat and stuff, and got hurt, but the numbers were good in his limited innings and pitchers get hurt all the time. Fat Barriera was good in his few chances on the bump...

[Jimcanuck]

Did not expect to see Barriera's name in this article

 

Wonder if people are overreacting to his 2023. Yeah he got fat and stuff, and got hurt, but the numbers were good in his limited innings and pitchers get hurt all the time. Fat Barriera was good in his few chances on the bump...

 

Hopefully he has finished eating his way through his signing bonus.

[Spanky__99]

Reminds me of Pearson tweets from a few years back

 

Or any other SP prospect that's busted, amirite?

[Jimcanuck]

Or any other SP prospect that's busted, amirite?

 

Pretty much, TINSTAAPP

[max silver]

Hopefully he has finished eating his way through his signing bonus.

 

Seems to me like it was a winter bulk gone awry.

[WryNGinger]

There has been a few articles mentioning that Barriera is in better shape this Spring. Has anyone seen any photo evidence of this?

[P2F]

There has been a few articles mentioning that Barriera is in better shape this Spring. Has anyone seen any photo evidence of this?

 

 

Looking pretty svelte and streamlined right here.

[max silver]

 

Looking pretty svelte and streamlined right here.

 

Yeah you can really see the added mass to his legs in particular. His fat photos from last spring showed a ton of added mass in his lower half but it was largely obscured by the extra chunk.

[WryNGinger]

 

Looking pretty svelte and streamlined right here.

 

That's great to see! Thank you.

 

I had really high hopes for him after we drafted him and disappointed his conditioning last year.

[Krylian]

 

Looking pretty svelte and streamlined right here.

 

Now that's more like it!

[Spanky__99]

I'm bored so why not, Catchers...

 

The 2024 season is finally upon us.

 

To get you ready, we present Baseball America’s 2024 prospect position rankings. Every player who entered the season with prospect eligibility was eligible for our position rankings.

 

Below is the 2024 prospect position ranking for catchers, and if you click on the team name next to the prospect, you’ll see the organization’s top 30 prospects along with detailed scouting reports for each prospect.

 

Rank Player Org HT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Ethan Salas Padres 60 60 45 70 60 70 Very High 57.5

 

2. Samuel Basallo Orioles 55 70 40 45 70 65 High 55

 

3. Jeferson Quero Brewers 50 50 40 70 60 55 High 45

 

4. Dalton Rushing Dodgers 45 65 45 45 55 55 High 45

 

5. Harry Ford Mariners 50 50 60 45 55 55 High 45

 

6. Kyle Teel Red Sox 55 45 50 55 55 55 High 45

 

7. Austin Wells Yankees 45 55 30 40 40 55 High 45

 

8. Tyler Soderstrom Athletics 50 60 40 45 55 55 High 45

 

9. Edgar Quero White Sox 55 45 30 45 50 55 High 45

 

10. Moises Ballesteros Cubs 60 50 20 40 55 55 High 45

[Spanky__99]

1B...

 

Rank Player Org HIT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Heston Kjerstad Orioles 50 60 45 45 55 50 Medium 45

 

2. Xavier Isaac Rays 55 65 40 50 50 55 High 45

 

3. Nolan Schanuel Angels 60 50 40 50 50 50 Medium 45

 

4. Kyle Manzardo Guardians 50 55 20 50 50 55 High 45

 

5. Ryan Clifford Mets 55 55 30 50 70 55 High 45

 

6. Tyler Locklear Mariners 45 65 40 45 50 50 High 40

 

7. Ivan Melendez D-backs 40 60 35 50 55 50 High 40

 

8. Deyvison De Los Santos Guardians 40 60 50 40 50 50 Very High 37.5

 

9. Blaze Jordan Red Sox 45 55 40 40 60 45 High 35

 

10. Abimelec Ortiz Rangers 40 55 30 40 40 45 High 35

[Spanky__99]

2B...

 

Rank Player Org HIT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Termarr Johnson Pirates 55 50 50 50 50 55 High 45

 

2. Jace Jung Tigers 45 60 40 45 50 50 Medium 45

 

3. Thomas Saggese Rangers 55 50 45 45 45 50 Medium 45

 

4. Ronny Mauricio Mets 40 55 55 50 60 50 Medium 45

 

5. Justin Foscue Rangers 60 50 30 40 40 50 Medium 45

 

6. Connor Norby Orioles 55 50 50 45 40 50 Medium 45

 

7. Luisangel Acuña Mets 50 40 60 60 60 50 Medium 45

 

8. Carlos Jorge Reds 60 40 60 50 50 55 High 45

 

9. Nick Yorke Red Sox 55 45 40 50 45 50 High 40

 

10. Michael Arroyo Mariners 55 45 40 45 55 55 Extreme 40

[Spanky__99]

3B...

 

Rank Player Org HIT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Junior Caminero Rays 55 80 55 50 60 70 High 60

 

2. Noelvi Marte Reds 55 60 45 55 60 55 Medium 50

 

3. Coby Mayo Orioles 50 70 45 50 70 60 High 50

 

4. Colt Keith Tigers 60 60 45 40 50 55 Medium 50

 

5. Michael Busch Cubs 55 60 45 40 40 55 High 45

 

6. Brady House Nationals 50 60 50 55 60 55 High 45

 

7. Curtis Mead Rays 60 55 40 50 30 50 Medium 45

 

8. Tyler Black Brewers 60 45 60 40 45 50 Medium 45

 

9. Brayden Taylor Rays 60 50 50 50 50 55 High 45

 

10. Bryan Ramos White Sox 55 55 45 50 55 55 High 45

[Spanky__99]

SS...

 

Rank Player Org HIT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Jackson Holliday Orioles 70 55 60 55 50 70 Medium 65

 

2. Jordan Lawlar D-backs 60 55 70 55 60 60 Medium 55

 

3. Marcelo Mayer Red Sox 55 60 40 60 60 60 High 50

 

4. Colson Montgomery White Sox 55 60 45 55 55 60 High 50

 

5. Jackson Merrill Padres 60 55 50 55 55 60 High 50

 

6. Matt Shaw Cubs 55 55 50 45 45 55 High 45

 

7. Brooks Lee Twins 60 50 50 50 50 55 Medium 50

 

8. Adael Amador Rockies 70 50 55 50 45 60 High 50

 

9. Carson Williams Rays 40 60 55 65 70 60 High 50

 

10. Masyn Winn Cardinals 55 45 60 55 80 55 Medium 50

 

11. Cole Young Mariners 60 45 50 55 50 55 High 45

 

12. Colt Emerson Mariners 60 50 45 50 55 55 High 45

 

13. Sebastian Walcott Rangers 50 60 55 45 60 60 Extreme 45

 

14. Marco Luciano Giants 50 60 40 50 60 55 High 45

 

15. Roderick Arias Yankees 55 60 55 60 70 60 Extreme 45

 

16. Jacob Wilson Athletics 60 40 50 55 55 55 High 45

 

17. Brayan Rocchio Guardians 50 50 55 60 50 55 High 45

 

18. Orelvis Martinez Blue Jays 45 60 45 45 60 55 High 45

 

19. Leodalis De Vries Padres 60 50 55 50 50 60 Extreme

 

20. Tommy Troy D-backs 55 55 50 50 50 55 High 45

 

21. Joey Ortiz Orioles 50 45 50 70 55 50 Medium 45

 

22. Jacob Gonzalez White Sox 55 50 30 50 55 55 High 45

 

23. Jefferson Rojas Cubs 55 55 50 50 55 55 Extreme 40

 

24. Starlyn Caba Phillies 60 40 60 60 55 55 Extreme 40

 

25. Colin Houck Mets 55 55 55 55 55 55 Extreme 40

[Spanky__99]

CF...

 

Rank Player Org HIT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Jackson Chourio Brewers 60 70 70 60 45 70 High 60

 

2. Evan Carter Rangers 65 50 80 60 50 65 Medium 60

 

3. Dylan Crews Nationals 65 65 55 55 60 65 High 55

 

4. Jasson Dominguez Yankees 55 60 60 50 60 60 High 50

 

5. Pete Crow-Armstrong Cubs 55 45 60 80 55 55 Medium 50

 

6. Max Clark Tigers 60 50 70 60 70 60 High 50

 

7. Roman Anthony Red Sox 50 60 50 55 55 60 High 50

 

8. Jett Williams Mets 60 50 60 50 55 55 High 45

 

9. Justin Crawford Phillies 50 40 70 55 50 55 High 45

 

10. Victor Scott II Cardinals 55 40 80 70 50 55 High 45

[Spanky__99]

Corner OF...

 

Rank Player Org HIT POW RUN FLD ARM BA Grade Risk adj

 

1. Wyatt Langford Rangers 60 70 50 45 45 70 High 60

 

2. James Wood Nationals 50 65 55 50 55 65 High 55

 

3. Walker Jenkins Twins 60 65 55 55 60 60 High 50

 

4. Chase DeLauter Guardians 50 60 55 50 60 60 High 50

 

5. Spencer Jones Yankees 40 60 55 50 50 60 Very High 47.5

 

6. Colton Cowser Orioles 55 55 55 50 55 50 Medium 45

 

7. Owen Caissie Cubs 40 60 55 55 60 55 High 45

 

8. Emmanuel Rodriguez Twins 50 65 55 50 60 55 High 45

 

9. Bryce Eldridge Giants 50 60 30 50 55 60 Extreme 45

 

10. Everson Pereira Yankees 45 55 60 55 55 55 High 45

[Jimcanuck]

70 grade on Langford power, even higher than Wood..... interesting

 

Caissie at 7, kid has put in the work, very raw when drafted