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Posted
So what's the most ideal outcome for the O's/Angels series? Angels taking 2/3? Does it depend on how many games we take from the Yanks this wknd?
Posted
So what's the most ideal outcome for the O's/Angels series? Angels taking 2/3? Does it depend on how many games we take from the Yanks this wknd?

 

Umm, wouldn't the most ideal outcome be the A's take 0 of 3? Unless you really want them in the wild card game.

Posted

------- August 7th --------

 

 

Mets vs Rays

 

Rangers vs Mariners

 

O's vs Angels

Posted
Umm, wouldn't the most ideal outcome be the A's take 0 of 3? Unless you really want them in the wild card game.

 

But I don't want the O's to catch us if we s*** the bed in NY.

Posted
f*** the WC

 

I want the division

 

I want the division but more importantly I just want to break the 22 yr drought.

Posted
Mariners up 4-3!!

 

Dude, you are way too concerned about Tex. I'm far more concerned about the O's.

Posted
Think I'd like for the O's to be swept this wknd because they have the M's after which they'll probably sweep. I want some more distance between us.
Posted
Even better... div almost 25%... was 7.3% on July 28 :)

 

 

These percentages are such a joke honestly. How can we really have a 77.3% chance to make the playoffs when we are only 3 games up in the wildcard? It just assumes we are going to continue playing exactly how we have been playing in the last 10 games (9-1).

 

Rather just look at games back/future schedule.

Posted
These percentages are such a joke honestly. How can we really have a 77.3% chance to make the playoffs when we are only 3 games up in the wildcard? It just assumes we are going to continue playing exactly how we have been playing in the last 10 games (9-1).

 

Not really. 2 or 3 games over .500 for the rest of the year should get us to the playoffs.

Posted
These percentages are such a joke honestly. How can we really have a 77.3% chance to make the playoffs when we are only 3 games up in the wildcard? It just assumes we are going to continue playing exactly how we have been playing in the last 10 games (9-1).

 

Except it doesn't. It assumes the Jays will play to their talent level, which is a .545 win percentage over the rest of the season (highest in the AL).

 

They have a 77% playoff chance, and their expected win-loss by the end of the year is 87-75.

 

44eef58455f5599ee3d11e1eecd80535.png

Posted
Except it doesn't. It assumes the Jays will play to their talent level, which is a .545 win percentage over the rest of the season (highest in the AL).

 

They have a 77% playoff chance, and their expected win-loss by the end of the year is 87-75.

 

44eef58455f5599ee3d11e1eecd80535.png

 

I have no idea how they calculate it, but if ^ is true why does our playoff chances fluctuate by so much with 50+ games to go. Them winning or losing a game shouldn't affect their talent level.

Posted
I have no idea how they calculate it, but if ^ is true why does our playoff chances fluctuate by so much with 50+ games to go. Them winning or losing a game shouldn't affect their talent level.

 

It also depends on the outcomes of games of other teams in the playoff race. If the Yanks lose 5 in a row and the Jays win 5 in a row, then it stands that the Jays now have a better odds of reaching the playoffs right?

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