Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

GDT(4/4): Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - Quintana vs. Buehrle - 1:07 PM ET


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 407
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Posted
I didn't say that, I said it's useless to look on past statistics to try and justify why you went with one pitcher over another

 

Yes, why would we ever look at past performance. That would be useless.

Community Moderator
Posted
talk to juiced about a mod needing to approve an account 24 hours before it can post. it'll REALLY, REALLY help with the troll problem.

 

something needs to be done.

Posted
you're actually right here

 

strand rate hovers around 75-80% I think

 

it regresses to the mean generally

 

I understand this, but I don't think it should factor into decision-making. Every batter either gets on or doesn't. What happened before McGowan faced Viciedo had no impact on the outcome. The mean is the mean, but Viciedo could have just as easily popped up. How does 75% strand rate get adjusted when the hitter is under .250 or struggles against righties? The matchup is always more important than watching for regression.

Posted
16-year old calling me dumb. When I was watching baseball when you were a f***ing sperm. I'm sorry this isn't a first place baseball team. I don't care what the current standings say. It won't say first in September unless they get help. Help that both Baltimore and New York will get.

 

^this

Posted
16-year old calling me dumb. When I was watching baseball when you were a f***ing sperm. I'm sorry this isn't a first place baseball team. I don't care what the current standings say. It won't say first in September unless they get help. Help that both Baltimore and New York will get.

 

Harold Reynolds and Mitch Williams are older than you (probably), and they're the amongst the most knowledgeable people in baseball right?

Posted
They're both f***ing idiots. But since when does being first place in June win you anything? This isn't f***ing A-ball. Wake up!

 

first place means they're good enough to lead the division you dummy

Old-Timey Member
Posted
16-year old calling me dumb. When I was watching baseball when you were a f***ing sperm. I'm sorry this isn't a first place baseball team. I don't care what the current standings say. It won't say first in September unless they get help. Help that both Baltimore and New York will get.

 

Congrats, you want a medal for being older than me? Give quantitative evidence that this isn't a first place baseball team beyond this multi week stretch. Pytho, expected run differential, base runs, and ACTUAL REALITY disagree with you.

 

I understand this, but I don't think it should factor into decision-making. Every batter either gets on or doesn't. What happened before McGowan faced Viciedo had no impact on the outcome. The mean is the mean, but Viciedo could have just as easily popped up. How does 75% strand rate get adjusted when the hitter is under .250 or struggles against righties? The matchup is always more important than watching for regression.

 

This is the right line of thinking imo. Identifying the key factors. Sample size, strand rate and other variables needing regression, and regressed platoon splits should be taken into consideration.

Posted
Hey guys, remember when we lost to the lowly Twins early in the season? That Jays team sure did look doomed, because one series is enough to warrant a full blow up.
Old-Timey Member
Posted
Hey guys, remember when we lost to the lowly Twins early in the season? That Jays team sure did look doomed, because one series is enough to warrant a full blow up.

 

yes I do and now we are 3-7 against them and the ChiSox combined. try to make a positive out of that.

Community Moderator
Posted
They're something like 26-34 not including that 19-4 run (in which every possible break went there way).

 

lol

Posted
They're something like 26-34 not including that 19-4 run (in which every possible break went there way).

 

so we discount the 19-4 run because you want to prove they are a bad team?

Posted
They're something like 26-34 not including that 19-4 run (in which every possible break went there way).

 

Yes, let's throw away parts of a sample size. Now I don't know if my math is right, but when the Rays don't lose games they have the best winning percentage in the league OMGzzzz!!!!

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Lets use run differntial at the end of the season when it f***ing matters. This team went 20-4. You want to bring up numbers and want to argue whats sustainable? Are you f***ing kidding me?

 

Because I'm clearly arguing that 20-4 is sustainable.

Posted
Hey guys, remember when we lost to the lowly Twins early in the season? That Jays team sure did look doomed, because one series is enough to warrant a full blow up.

 

The low point for me was game two @ Pittsburgh.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
The Jays Centre Caretaker Fund
The Jays Centre Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Blue Jays community on the internet.

×
×
  • Create New...