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GD

By GD
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Spanky99
Spanky99

7 straight goals... 😅

Rusty_Savage
Rusty_Savage

I am taking my son to Pittsburgh to catch a hockey and baseball game in April. My brother in law used to be the assistant trainer for the local QMJHL here and the trainer there is now the head trainer

Spanky99
Spanky99

Holy f***, Pascal Dupuis has a blood clot in his lung, out 6 months, might end his career, sad news man as a fan.

havok24 Dunedin Blue Jays

havok24

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
That called-off goal was one of the worst calls I've seen this year

 

Tampa just got f***ing jobbed. Absolutely disgusting call.

  • 2 weeks later...
Frag First Round Pick

Frag

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

Okay, so I've been playing around with points per game among forwards and defencemen in the CHL in relation to age. When I ran a regression between PPG and date of birth (it transfers well to Excel), I got the following R^2 values for each:

 

Forwards: 0.16

Defencemen: 0.13 (Makes sense that this is lower since offense isn't as important for defencemen)

 

Afterward, I came up with an expected PPG value calculated using date of birth as the dependent variable in a linear regression formula. With that value, I subtract the player's actual PPG value by his expected PPG (relative to his DOB). Going by this measure, which I'll call age-adjusted PPG, here are the top 10 forwards and defencemen in the CHL:

 

Forwards (age-adjusted PPG):

 

1. Jonathan Drouin (1.85 aPPG)

2. Anthony Mantha (1.53)

3. Connor McDavid (1.48)

4. Sam Reinhart (1.33)

5. Nic Petan (1.30)

6. Nikolaj Ehlers (1.27)

7. Anthony Duclair (1.24)

8. Sam Bennett (1.23)

9. Leon Draisaitl (1.22)

10. Connor Brown (1.16)

 

Defencemen:

 

1. Anthony DeAngelo (1.12) (Ranked right below Brown in overall list)

2. Guillaume Gelinas (0.99)

3. Josh Morrissey (0.92)

4. Shea Theodore (0.84)

5. Derrick Pouliot (0.79)

6. Randy Gazzola (0.72)

7. Aaron Ekblad (0.67)

8. Julius Honka (0.64)

9. Mac Weegar (0.62)

10. Nikolas Brouillard (0.62)

 

Oh, and I did the regressions within each league.

 

Thoughts?

GD MVP

GD

Old-Timey Member
Posted
  • Author
Posted

May I ask where in the high holy f***ing hell you managed to find CHL-wide stats that include PPG AND Age? I've been inputting age in manually and I want to die.

 

My list looks similar to yours (doing something pretty similar) but in a different order. But, I haven't finished doing ages yet. If I found a CHL-wide site with ages and stats I'd be a happy motherf***er.

Frag First Round Pick

Frag

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
May I ask where in the high holy f***ing hell you managed to find CHL-wide stats that include PPG AND Age? I've been inputting age in manually and I want to die.

 

My list looks similar to yours (doing something pretty similar) but in a different order. But, I haven't finished doing ages yet. If I found a CHL-wide site with ages and stats I'd be a happy motherf***er.

 

Hockeydb. I'm using date of birth, which transfers well to excel.

GD MVP

GD

Old-Timey Member
Posted
  • Author
Posted
Hockeydb. I'm using date of birth, which transfers well to excel.

 

I can't find the Canadian Hockey League on hockeydb. Are you going through all the individual leagues?

 

E: Hockeydb is really badly done. I can't even find how to search by league. Maybe I'm dumn.

Frag First Round Pick

Frag

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
I can't find the Canadian Hockey League on hockeydb. Are you going through all the individual leagues?

 

E: Hockeydb is really badly done. I can't even find how to search by league. Maybe I'm dumn.

 

Yup.

letsgobjs College Ball

letsgobjs

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Okay, so I've been playing around with points per game among forwards and defencemen in the CHL in relation to age. When I ran a regression between PPG and date of birth (it transfers well to Excel), I got the following R^2 values for each:

 

Forwards: 0.16

Defencemen: 0.13 (Makes sense that this is lower since offense isn't as important for defencemen)

 

Afterward, I came up with an expected PPG value calculated using date of birth as the dependent variable in a linear regression formula. With that value, I subtract the player's actual PPG value by his expected PPG (relative to his DOB). Going by this measure, which I'll call age-adjusted PPG, here are the top 10 forwards and defencemen in the CHL:

 

Forwards (age-adjusted PPG):

 

1. Jonathan Drouin (1.85 aPPG)

2. Anthony Mantha (1.53)

3. Connor McDavid (1.48)

4. Sam Reinhart (1.33)

5. Nic Petan (1.30)

6. Nikolaj Ehlers (1.27)

7. Anthony Duclair (1.24)

8. Sam Bennett (1.23)

9. Leon Draisaitl (1.22)

10. Connor Brown (1.16)

 

Defencemen:

 

1. Anthony DeAngelo (1.12) (Ranked right below Brown in overall list)

2. Guillaume Gelinas (0.99)

3. Josh Morrissey (0.92)

4. Shea Theodore (0.84)

5. Derrick Pouliot (0.79)

6. Randy Gazzola (0.72)

7. Aaron Ekblad (0.67)

8. Julius Honka (0.64)

9. Mac Weegar (0.62)

10. Nikolas Brouillard (0.62)

 

Oh, and I did the regressions within each league.

 

Thoughts?

 

Do you think Brown will be any good? He just came out of nowhere this season.

Frag First Round Pick

Frag

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Do you think Brown will be any good? He just came out of nowhere this season.

 

In terms of production at his age, it's very similar to Lonny Bohonos. So, I don't know, really.

GD MVP

GD

Old-Timey Member
Posted
  • Author
Posted (edited)

 

So I have to go through every single team? That's manageable, I guess.

 

E: I was so wrong. This is next-level tedious.

Edited by GD
eastcoastjaysfan Dunedin Blue Jays

eastcoastjaysfan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Okay, so I've been playing around with points per game among forwards and defencemen in the CHL in relation to age. When I ran a regression between PPG and date of birth (it transfers well to Excel), I got the following R^2 values for each:

 

Forwards: 0.16

Defencemen: 0.13 (Makes sense that this is lower since offense isn't as important for defencemen)

 

Afterward, I came up with an expected PPG value calculated using date of birth as the dependent variable in a linear regression formula. With that value, I subtract the player's actual PPG value by his expected PPG (relative to his DOB). Going by this measure, which I'll call age-adjusted PPG, here are the top 10 forwards and defencemen in the CHL:

 

Forwards (age-adjusted PPG):

 

1. Jonathan Drouin (1.85 aPPG)

2. Anthony Mantha (1.53)

3. Connor McDavid (1.48)

4. Sam Reinhart (1.33)

5. Nic Petan (1.30)

6. Nikolaj Ehlers (1.27)

7. Anthony Duclair (1.24)

8. Sam Bennett (1.23)

9. Leon Draisaitl (1.22)

10. Connor Brown (1.16)

 

Defencemen:

 

1. Anthony DeAngelo (1.12) (Ranked right below Brown in overall list)

2. Guillaume Gelinas (0.99)

3. Josh Morrissey (0.92)

4. Shea Theodore (0.84)

5. Derrick Pouliot (0.79)

6. Randy Gazzola (0.72)

7. Aaron Ekblad (0.67)

8. Julius Honka (0.64)

9. Mac Weegar (0.62)

10. Nikolas Brouillard (0.62)

 

Oh, and I did the regressions within each league.

 

Thoughts?

 

I can't put into words how special it was watching Drouin and MacKinnon together last year in HFX. Really looking forward to seeing what Drouin can bring to Tampa. His handles are sick.

Frag First Round Pick

Frag

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Some similar work (Frag has probably seen it):

 

http://www.behindthenet.ca/projecting_to_nhl.php

 

We need some non goal based metrics for junior level players to do a better job here.

 

I have seen it. I felt it didn't have enough of what I was looking for.

 

The QMJHL is beginning to count shots and "dangerous shots", though that's offense only. Also, the SHL includes aTOI, which is something I wish the CHL looked into. We have a long way to go before we see something like BtN for junior leagues, and that's no easy task.

The Cats Ass Buffalo Bisons

The Cats Ass

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Is that who you want to win? I can't f***ing stand Philly besides Giroux, Rangers/Avs and Kings! The team I thought would win the Cup is already eliminated.

 

Who was that?

havok24 Dunedin Blue Jays

havok24

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Sharks choke again! 3-0 series lead... blown!

 

I can't believe it. There goes my Bruins/Sharks SCF prediction.

letsgobjs College Ball

letsgobjs

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
So apparently the n word was trending on twitter in Boston last night after the hockey game. With this being the second time it's happened it really makes the city look bad.
letsgobjs College Ball

letsgobjs

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Pittsburgh was lucky to get the win, the rangers severely out chanced them. The fenwick chart looks like an average leafs game.
letsgobjs College Ball

letsgobjs

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
The Leafs just extended Carlyle for 2 more years........*sighs*

 

GTFO....Nonis!

 

Yet they're firing all the assistant coaches

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