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Terry Mesmer

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Terry Mesmer last won the day on October 25

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  1. Interesting idea if Barger's arm will not be a cannon in 2027 because of his surgery.
  2. >Dad: The left fielder. I was saying to my kid recently that I did not understand why it was so hard to find a true left fielder who can hit and field and play every day. Jays fans remember Steve Pearce and Chris Colabello playing playing LF. Yankees fans had busted versions of Aaron Hicks and Alex Verdugo and now have a fading Randal Grichuk. Red Sox tried Masataka Yoshida.
  3. Pretty good write up. A contact guy with some power -- sounds like a Jay. My main concern is positional. Where will he play? Can he play good enough defence to be on this team? Be nice to watch him Spring Training.
  4. >defensively, the Orioles will suffer Yep. But very few are saying it.
  5. Thanks for this, Bob. For years I have pointed out that position players tend to decline at 30 and often fall off a cliff after age 32, especially defensively, and most especially outfielders. As you demonstrate, the exceptions are few, But GMs seem to forget steroid testing started over 20 years ago! And fans say they just want sluggers and don't care about the back end of deals -- until they have to live through one (am I right, Tigers fans?). I love Varsho but am leery of signing a CF past the age of 30 (e.g. Springer was supposed to be the solution there but he rarely played centre -- as I predicted). However, I think Varsho can have a great 2026 -- pairing elite defence and 25+ HR could get him MVP votes -- if he stays healthy. He could be great for two maybe three years beyond that but I think $100M is way too much for a guy with a low OBP, questionable arm, contact issues, maybe hamstring issues, plus he is heading into his 30s soon. Varsho is projected to get $9.7M in 2026; your extension proposal would give him four years at a $25M AAV starting this season. I would let arbitration take its course in 2026 and extended Varsho for 2027-2029 at 3Y/$66M (could throw in a $15M option with $4M buyout). That would be 4Y/$75.7M for 2026-2029. If the 2030 option is included, the deal is $81.7M guaranteed over four years -- getting over the $20M/Y mark would probably get the deal done. Thanks again Bob!
  6. According to Baseball Reference, Yankees were 45-44 with a +1 run differential against teams that were .500 or better. Also, Yankees were 5-8 with a -11 run differential against the Blue Jays in the regular season. NYY has a -15 RD against the Jays in this series. In fact, Yankees have scored 17 runs in five games this postseason while the Jays have scored 23 runs in just two games.
  7. Despite the Jays' relative lack of power, I am very encouraged by how they compare with RISP, and especially with how the offence is spread throughout the lineup. It could make up for the Jays not have a true "ace." Maybe that is the subject of another article: 1) The playoffs can see short outings for starters with heavier reliance on relievers, but 2) the Jays do very well against relievers.
  8. Many Jays fans are discounting the previous 120 games of elite team batting and have decided the last seven games are the "real" team. It's silly. Socrates, SABRmetrician: "If then our well-being depended upon this...what would we see as our salvation in life? Would it be the art of measurement or the power of appearance? While the power of appearance often makes us wander all over the place in confusion, often changing our minds with respect to things large and small, the art of measurement in contrast, would make the appearances lose their power by showing us the truth, would give us peace of mind firmly rooted in the truth." (Plato, Protagoras, 356d-e)
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