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Everything posted by AMS528
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Astros (Garcia) vs Blue Jays (TBD): 9/9/25, 7:07pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
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Astros (Garcia) vs Blue Jays (TBD): 9/9/25, 7:07pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
Great win. You've gotta love Vlad showing the hustle, setting the example for how hard you need to be going. -
Trey YesavageArjun Nimmala Not the best year, but I have faith in him. JoJo ParkerJohnny KingRicky TiedemannGage StaniferYohendrick PinangoJuan Sanchez I don't think it's possible for a 17 year old to have a better debut. RJ Schreck All he has done for the last two years is hit at every level. Charles McAdoo I might be one of the highest people on McAdoo but I think he's got legit power, and his performance after his first two horrific months of the season has been great. Even with the lousy two months, his numbers are well above average in AA. He's got good projections, I feel good about this, I think he's got a shot like Barger did. Josh KasevichOrelvis MartinezJake BlossVictor AriasJonatan ClaseJake CookFernando PerezSam ShawBlaine BullardTim Piasentin It's nice that even after making some deals (losing Khal, Rojas and Juaron Watts-Brown), the minors have had a good enough turnaround that you can still feel reasonably good about it. Not like the last two or three years, and that's great. There's no one I listed in my top ten where I thought to myself, I can't believe I'm having to rank this guy.
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Every time Manoah goes out there and doesn't s*** the bed, it's a good day given the injuries and how little overall he's pitched in that time. Just needs to keep it building.
- 14 replies
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- alek manoah
- trey yesavage
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Charles McAdoo has been very very good after a horrific first two months. His numbers are still solidly above average overall in AA, but if you just look at the last three months (and considering the offensive environment in the Eastern League), he's really hit it well. His numbers from the last three months. With 14 HRs in 69 games. 280 .350 .508 .858
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Sometimes people don't look at the article posts (although you should), so I'm reposting this here as well about Manoah's rehab start. Did not hit anyone. Threw 75 pitches. Velocity was apparently started with velocity as 92-93 but dipped down to 90 as the game went on. Looked better at the end of it with 9 straight batters out. Gave up a solo shot in the first. Here's him getting a strikeout on his slider. https://x.com/Worden_Zach/status/1958236630390812957 He's obviously not ready to help the team or anything, but this was a much more positive looking outing than he's had generally during his rehab. Hopefully he's able to build on it. -
4.2 IP - 3H 4K - 2BB - 1ER Did not hit anyone. Threw 75 pitches. Velocity was apparently started with velocity as 92-93 but dipped down to 90 as the game went on. Looked better at the end of it with 9 straight batters out. Gave up a solo shot in the first. Here's him getting a strikeout on his slider. https://x.com/Worden_Zach/status/1958236630390812957 He's obviously not ready to help the team or anything, but this was a much more positive looking outing than he's had generally during his rehab. Hopefully he's able to build on it.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Schneider being legit again would go a long way in accomplishing this. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Yes that would. The other thing we would have to measure about Santander replacing Bo's offensive production is that we're comparing three things there. Santander's production subbing in for Bo's. But that's partially dependent on Bo's replacement and the comparison then is also the production we received while Santander didn't play. Chunks of those ABs in the field went to Schneider/Barger/Lukes/Loperfido while Springer has taken a lot of those DH ABs. Like the collective hitting numbers that went to Santander's missed playtime has probably been net exceptional, well above average at least. When we're talking the overall production from Bo being replaced, it won't just line up to Santander subbing in that production. Because the Jays depth has been so good, unless the replacements (say it's Gimenez and Clement mostly) hit above average in the way Santander's replacements did, you're not going to be succesfully replacing the collective offense. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Vladdy's xBA is wild. It's .326 which is miles ahead of second which is Bo at .307. Removing Bo the next is Marte at .304. The difference between Vlad and Marte of .022 is the same as the difference between Marte (3rd) and Rooker (38th). I like to post these things to soothe people who might be worried about Vladdy's production over the next few years. There's practically no one else in the league who makes solid contact with the baseball on such a regular basis. I like to believe that there's a very solid floor of performance that exists for him. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I just don't know if we can rely on the idea of Santander providing that production. I hope he does, but he's lost a year, heading into his 30s which is a bad time to have that happen. It's a good thing his AAV is low, helps if he can't make it back to being productive. -
Cubs (Brown) vs Blue Jays (Berrios): 8/12/25, 7:07pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
It's one of those skills where depending on the game can be awesome, or very frustrating. Awesome when you can chase a pitcher just cause you got them to waste so many pitches by fouling them off etc. Frustrating when it goes bad because everyone put the ball in play for an out after 2 pitches. It's been significantly more good than bad this year though. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
DRS must have loved the splits from Vladdy yesterday. He's up to 4.3 bWAR. Good for 8th among position players in the AL. Actually I don't even know if DRS takes into account 1B receiving ability. Do any of the defensive metrics consider it? -
Cubs (Brown) vs Blue Jays (Berrios): 8/12/25, 7:07pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
Ah sucks Vladdy couldn't get that one. It was would have been a real nice catch. -
Blue Jays (Gausman) vs Rockies (Freeland): 8/6/25, 3:10pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
I don't really get this. If he started hot and then had some slower. 790 OPS months would that have been better? I think it's just something that would have mentally made people feel better but in reality it's irrelevant. Also his statcast page is unimpeachable. It is as good as it gets and I don't know how "a couple of hot weeks" comes into that. He's hit the ball very well all year long, and he has also done great in terms of contact, getting on base and not chasing bad pitches regularly, also all year long. If anything it's that the results are now matching the process and contact quality. Hot streak is what Heineman and Loperfido are doing. He's up to 3.5 fWAR. Probably 4 BWAR. I think he ends with a 5 WAR season which is nothing to complain about. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I think I saw it change beginning of last month, but for a 1B, comparing him to the other qualified guys this year he's basically right in the middle really, tied for 10th out of the 21 qualified guys this year. Will gladly take that. Also DRS absolutely loves him which is why his bWAR is much higher. -
Blue Jays (Gausman) vs Rockies (Freeland): 8/6/25, 3:10pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
Vlad and Bo have to do some heavy lifting today. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Having stared at Vlads statcast page all year, it's now at the point where even the launch angle is league average and every single other thing is very good to elite. His process numbers are elite, what happens when the ball hits the bat is elite. The results are the only thing somewhat lagging, and I really don't think there's anything besides bad luck to blame it on. Edit: Jesus sorry no idea why the image is so large. -
3/5 with 2 HRs and a double yesterday. Literally right on time.
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I had to read it twice as well. C'mon people have some sense here.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
AMS528 replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Vlad definitely deserves credit for improving the baserunning and fielding this year. He's giving himself a better floor, and now that he's shown a bit more power the last couple of weeks, he's tracking for a 4.5 WAR season. He gets hot and it's a 5 WAR season, he is only ok the rest of the way maybe it's a 4 WAR season. Like others have said nothing to complain about here. Especially if he hits 5 WAR. -
I hope I'm being overly generous with the 10 year timeline. People have some awareness of it now, but 10 years would be a long time for the damage to add up.
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There has been a real increase in the number of guys under investigation for this across a few sports. I feel like a decade down the line we're going to be looking at the combination of having sports gambling legalized and also easily accessed one press bets off of the apps as a pretty damaging combination. There needs to be some kind of friction there, so it's only the truly degen gamblers who go to far, as opposed to like 10-15% of young men that's been reported.
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Blue Jays (Berrios) vs Tigers (Montero): 7/25/25, 7:10pm
AMS528 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Game Thread Archive
In a decade basically. We'll see how this season goes but 2015 was probably more fun once the team got going cause it was ridiculously loaded and hitter heavy, and the addition of Tulo and Price. A good enough reason to make a reasonably big add this year. -
Yeah people forget how wild that deal was because Happ had a second go around with us where he was a stud. But we traded him away first before that happened. Kevin Comer must have looked so bad, because we had just handed him a huge bonus from what I remember and immediately gave up on him. Also we had just an endless amount of pitching prospects to trade back then. AA's strength for sure (and even in Atlanta generally).

