So wait, you are saying an experienced GM who had just come from the Dodgers at that time, acquired players that had a 90-95% probability of failing and because it actually worked out it was just total luck.
You need to break from the robotic data in data out does not compute cycle you are always on. You are using their wRC+ numbers for the year. What about that month prior to the deadline. What about the situations they were in vice what they would be in Atlanta, what was their platoon split if AA's plan was a strong side platoon when they were playing everyday with their former team. What about run prevention (Duval) vs offensive output when combined with the run differential of the Braves at the time.
Both AA and Theo Epstein have said as they matured and gained experience, it is not all about the straight analytics. There is a balance.
I really don't see astute guys like AA making deadline moves, if their internal assessment of success had a 90% chance of failure.