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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. I'm very curious to see what Ray ends up signing for. I have a feeling that the Gausman signing is going to look quite a bit more favorable by comparison. Add in the extra draft pick gained by Ray leaving and it's win-win.
  2. You won't find many of them around here.
  3. I see a pitcher with an elite combination of velocity and spin rate who has potential to be a massive contributor with the right tweaks. Even if he continues as a more or less average reliever that's a worthwhile gamble to take. It's really a low risk high reward signing similar to the Yates deal last offseason, except Garcia is less likely to miss the entire season than was the case with Yates.
  4. The Mets have supposedly offer Scherzer a 3 year $120 million contract. It would be amazing to see him turn that down in favor of returning to the Dodgers for less.
  5. It appears as though the Astros helped him to make some tweaks which directly led to improved results. I heard that he picked up a two seamer with the Astros which was a difference maker for him. He dropped his walk rate and increased his k rate a bunch during his time in Houston, so if those improvements carry forward he could be a real asset out of the pen. It's a bit of a gamble obviously but his salary isn't nearly large enough to really have any concerns in my view, and there with the premium stuff that he features there is potential for more.
  6. I looked into his numbers a bit recently and the thing that jumped out was that his fastball was extremely hittable. That doesn't explain how he's worse on the road though as you would expect that his breaking stuff would be more effective away from the thin air in Colorado.
  7. If he can replicate what he did with the Astros he will provide plenty of value, over a full season that would make him around a 1 win reliever.
  8. Jesus to me that makes the Matz deal look like a bargain in comparison. Rangers look desperate to spend money this offseason, I fully hope it blows up in their faces.
  9. This is just icing on the cake.
  10. This is a very tidy little piece of business. Over the last few days adding Garcia and now Gausman leaves less holes to fill. I'd still like to see another impact infielder brought in as well as another potential reclamation project starter brought in as well to replace Matz now that a top of the rotation starter has been acquired. Add one more leverage arm to the bullpen after that and the team will be stacked.
  11. Great deal, Gausman was one of my top pitching targets last offseason so it's nice to see the front office ultimately end up getting their man. While I'm disappointed to see Semien go this helps to reduce the sting of that a little bit.
  12. I think the biggest think was a tweak of pitch mix. He shelved the slider in favor of going fastball splitter. His velocity also ticked up as well.
  13. The team itself is pretty bad right now and likely will be in the immediate future as well.
  14. I hope so too, but I am fully prepared to be disappointed. As each available free agent comes off of the board I find myself getting antsy just like I do every offseason. Gausman at 5 years/$100 million is almost certainly a much better value than what Ray will end up earning.
  15. I wonder if Marcus was able to get the $200 million deal he was after. I sure as s*** wouldn't pay that for him but he's good enough that he might actually provide close to that value over the length of his contract.
  16. f*** I was really hoping the Jays were able to bring him back as he was arguably their best player on a team with a loaded offence.
  17. I would be perfectly happy with either, but I would be tempted to go with Gausman. He has a little longer track record at the current level of performance and wouldn't require giving up a draft pick, whereas Ray leaving would bring back a compensation pick which ultimately increases the draft budget for the team and allows for more creativity.
  18. There are not hundreds of relievers with major league experience and available in free agency. The rush to sign a guy like this is due to the limited supply and the obvious need in the bullpen. There is zero guarantee there isn't a lockout in February, and if all of the preferred players are gone by the time the ability to sign players returns then all that's left is scraps. There will be cheap relievers brought in as depth later on, this signing does nothing to prevent that.
  19. He's just blind to the fact that he's a total asshat on social media. He'd be so much better off if he toned down the self cheerleading and bravado even by half.
  20. I'll be very surprised if Garcia is the only bullpen addition this offseason. Hopefully he's not the higher profile addition if more signings are to come. His high leverage numbers are not great (4.37 FIP in 21.2 innings, but LOB is absurdly low at 36.3% so you would think his overall numbers should be bound to improve), medium leverage is actually worse (6.26 FIP in only 11.1 innings), and he excelled in low leverage situations (2.36 FIP in 24.2 innings). Hopefully he can improve his high leverage numbers, his contract suddenly doesn't look so good if he's pitching mostly in low leverage situations.
  21. Yimi Garcia has great stuff as he combines a 96 MPH fastball with 95th percentile spin rate. It appears as though he produces the high spin legitimately as he suffered no real decline after the sticky stuff crackdown. With Houston he was worth 0.3 WAR in 21 innings. It appears as though they likely helped him make some adjustments as his strikeout rate increased quite a bit and his walk rate dropped as well. Extrapolate over an entire season and there's a good possibility he's worth over a full win out of the pen. That's a very useful addition to a bullpen in serious need of reinforcements.
  22. Eventually the projection systems are going to start recognizing Teoscar as the offensive monster he's turned into. Over his last 1049 plate appearances he's produced an OPS of .891.
  23. I'd say it would come down to only one of these two starters given the remaining holes) in the infield at this point.
  24. That's a super reasonable deal, zero reason to have any issues with this signing.
  25. Gausman was excellent in 2020 as well so he has a longer track record of his current performance level vs Ray.
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