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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    I don't recall anyone else who has left recently who had anything bad to say on the way out the door.
  2. max silver
    For a dude that just produced a 1.5 WAR season he sure seems to be throwing a lot of shade in the direction of the team/front office recently.
  3. max silver
    It's not hard to see why Teoscar creates the perception of being a butcher as he makes plenty of boneheaded misplays in the outfield. At the same time his physical tools (good speed and plus throwing arm) allow him to make great plays as well on plays where he makes proper reads.
  4. max silver
    I simply think if what you have described is true that the team's approach would be far more sensible than hacking away at whatever came your way. That perfectly describes much of what ailed Vlad the last few seasons as he was expanding the strike zone and making soft contact on pitches that he couldn't do damage with instead of simply taking the walks that were presented to him. I think it would be a terrible team approach to want for the players to do the same kind of thing on a regular basis. The team wouldn't have wanted players to watch pitches down the middle for strike 3, that's an individual pitch recognition issue and not some sort of team mandated approach.
  5. max silver
    I think Teoscar takes way more flak for his defensive play than is really warranted at this point of his career. I'm not claiming he is a great defender by any means but the level of scorn thrown his way would lead you to believe he's a Soto/Schwarber level of butcher and this simply isn't the case. His last 3 seasons defensive numbers are as follows: 2021 -2 DRS/-1 OAA 2022 -2 DRS/-4 OAA 2023 1 DRS/0 OAA The 2022 numbers were at least partially explained by the fact he was playing much of the second half with two bad feet as the result of fouling several pitches off of his feet and playing through the pain. He's typically been around slightly below average in a corner outfield spot in recent seasons and not someone you need to avoid spending any time in the field.
  6. max silver
    I think the value contracts are going to come about if the team misses out on their primary targets.
  7. max silver
    So Whit's approach seemed to be expanding the strike zone and hacking away while hoping the contact scored the runner while potentially producing an out (maybe even greatly increasing the likelihood of this happening). The team's approach was to wait for a pitch you can hit hard, and if you didn't receive it take your walk passing the baton to the next guy up. Are you siding with Whit here? It seems to me that the approach the team was prescribing would lead to far more opportunities to plate runs vs what Whit wanted to do.
  8. max silver
    Yeah no doubt. Teoscar has long been facing the question of his k rate eventually sapping him of most of his offensive utility. His numbers were down markedly last season but his home/away splits are at least encouraging.
  9. max silver
    I suspect there is still a wide range of likely Chapman offensive scenarios. He could be the shitbag hitter that ended 2023 on a really bad note, or he could be streaky and end up around 110 wRC+ or so, or he could make some tweaks to his approach and pull the ball more on his fly balls and have a tremendous offensive season. I think the rookie version of Orelvis is going to be in tough to replace what Chapman offers when you factor in the entire package Chapman brings to the table. Orelvis held his own in AAA but far from mastered it as he only produced a 105 wRC+. I think the best course of action would see Orevlis being given a chance to first master AAA pitching so that he's more prepared for the challenges he's going to see in MLB.
  10. max silver
    Yeah I hear you for sure, but at the same time it's the kind of thing that makes him valuable to the Blue Jays. I just tend to think the club will be in tough to replace the value he provided for similar money.
  11. max silver
    Even at his very best Teoscar is still a budget version of Judge so I don't know if these guys are really good comparables. Judge just eclipses everyone else in baseball when it comes to the Statcast quality of contact metrics whereas Teoscar is more in the 80-90th percentile range.
  12. max silver
    Kikuchi provided results closer to a middle of the rotation arm compared to the number 5 starter money he was paid through free agency. He out WAR'd a player (Bassitt) who was paid double what Kikuchi earned through free agency. I don't think the Blue Jays can replace this value for similar dollars through free agency, Maybe if Manoah can get back to at least being a middle of the rotation arm that would cushion the blow if the team doesn't fully replace what Kikuchi offered.
  13. max silver
    Yeah it's just impossible to know what to expect of him in the future. I think some of the offense is going to stick and he won't totally revert to being a shitbag at the plate. I think the low end is likely in the 110 wRC+ range but the high end 99th percentile projection is pretty tantalizing.
  14. max silver
    That's a pretty risky addition on the pitching end though as Paxton seems just as likely to miss the entire season as he is to provide enough 100 innings to the team. Kikuchi for all his warts has been really durable, and removing him in place of a high risk pitcher like Paxton is greatly increasing the probability that the team is going to need to dip into it's pitching depth.
  15. max silver
    I think Gruber is likely fantasizing about feeding Ross Atkins a s*** sandwich as we speak. Oh s*** can't just throw out insults with no baseball content. So I recently compared Bellinger to Altuve on the Statcast xWOBA differential chart. I noticed Altuve has basically ran a large differential between his xWOBA and actual WOBA level for much of his career so I'm curious if this could be something to potentially expect from Bellinger. Sort of like pitchers who typically beat their FIP levels year to year due to factors not accounted for by the performance indicator, there could be players who have the ability to outperform their expected stats due to the system not accounting for their batted ball distribution.
  16. max silver
    I think Teoscar is going to be in tough to produce like late career Cruz as Teo strikes out too damn much. I have a hard time seeing that improve a great degree in the future with a guy who's already 31.
  17. max silver
    His "good year" saw him manage all of a 2.1 FWAR. His 106 wRC+ was the worst since his rookie season. It's crazy to think but he actually had a positive defensive contribution after Fangraph positional adjustment. I'd much rather have Teo personally as I think the offensive upside is much higher of the two. It's just a matter of whether he's going to cost more as he's a single season removed from producing a 130 wRC+.
  18. max silver
    Yeah every post. Lol
  19. max silver
    Is this Yelich or someone else?
  20. max silver
    Are we still allowed to toss out insults as long as there is still baseball related discussion contained in the post? I'm uh asking for Spanky.
  21. max silver
    Yeah it's very fair to question what kind of shape he will be in several years into the future as he seems to have yo yoed up and down in the past. He's still likely the most gifted hitter the organization has produced so it's not an easy question to answer with regards to a future extension. If he shows up in great shape the next two season with 150 wRC+ type of production to match I'd still do the extension in hopes that he has the personal pride to maintain this type of conditioning. Even having said that I don't know how much a factor his conditioning has been with regards to his offensive performance in recent seasons.
  22. max silver
    But why?
  23. max silver
    This idiot must be a glutton for punishment if he keeps coming back for more.
  24. max silver
    Don't kid yourself you'd still find a reason to complain. You aren't happy that Vlad shares pictures of him in the gym because according to your infinite wisdom only people that don't regularly work out do this. Now the guy very well may actually be in the best shape of his entire life and you still aren't happy. FFS.
  25. max silver
    I don't think Vlad has ever shared photos of himself in this kind of shape. This is also his first offseason exclusively training in Florida as well.
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