BlueRocky
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“Dusty, you’re gonna write the lineup cards at home.” -
Generally there’s 162 games and 187 of days in a season, inclusive of the days off in between games. If a player spends 172 days on the roster or injured list they earn 1 year of service time, this 172 days can accumulate between two years for example. So technically if they only spend 171 / 187 days on the roster, they haven’t earned their first year of service. Which basically turns 6 years of control into 7 years of control. But this year is a bit different as there’s only 60 games. If the rules are the same, they’re estimating a team can earn that extra year of control if the prospect is held down for 7-ish days in the season. Super-2 works a little bit differently, but that has to do with when a player enters arbitration (they get paid sooner, but same amount of control). Keep in mind there will be a new CBA soon and this could all change. TLDR; Pearson will miss one start and we in theory control him an extra year.
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Anything can happen in a 60 game season, but there’s definitely room for skepticism. I don’t blame Jim here. We are far from being favorites to win the AL East and our 60-game schedule is quite tough, even with all the opposing ace pitchers having surgeries this year. If the kids have a hot start though, we definitely have a shot.
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They have no long term payroll commitments aside from Grichuk, and Tulo will soon be off the ledger. I’ll support it if they want to offer Giles an extension. This won’t impact their ability to keep the kids as they won’t start entering free agency until 2026. And honestly, how big of a haul can you get at the August trade deadline for a month of Ken Giles?
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He’s 6-3, 210 lbs and dominated A+ at 18 years old. I watched a couple of his games last year, he doesn't blow people away with his stuff, but understand a lot of young pitchers don’t settle into their velos that early. Pitchers his age typically just graduated from HS and throw 88-90. He’s got an easy delivery and mixes in 5 pitches: 4-seamer that touches mid-90s, a 2-seamer with good movement that sits 90-93, a good slider that sometimes categorizes as a cutter, a curveball, and a changeup. The pitchability is uncanny for an 18 year old that dominated in A/A+ last season. He’s already flashed impressive control on his FB, but the secondaries are still developing and none are truly wipeout offerings just yet. But keep in mind he’s been pitching to experienced hitters 4 years older. SWR should’ve spent time in both A+ and AA this year, I hope the cancelled milb season doesn’t stunt his development.
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His rank is similar to Max Meyer, the #3 overall pick, which is pretty crazy. And we got SWR and Kay for 1.5 years of Stroman. And the bulk of that club control was lost to COVID. Looking back now, that trade was a huge win for the Blue Jays. Groshans is already rank 31... and they expect him to rise quickly if he stays healthy. Right now, they already put him in the range of Bobby Witt jr (26), Alec Bohm (30), Alex Kirilloff (33), Andrew Vaughn (32), and Joey Bart (34).
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Cheers
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It sucks as there’s no freebies, but in a way they very much get to decide their own fate with all these division games.
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Yeah 12 guys from the draft got slotted on first the update. I think it’s typically 5 to 8 guys only, it does speak to the strength of this class. Even the guys at the back half of that top 100 have serious upside like Veen and Hassell. I still can’t get over the O’s taking Kjerstad and not spending that money in later picks. It didn’t make sense on draft night, it makes even less sense now in hindsight. In the perspective of rankings, it’s like they gave up drafting Julio Rodriguez to save money on Taylor Trammell, and then not even spending that money later in the draft. They believe their models and projections heavily outsmarts the industry’s talent evaluators and projections. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not complaining. It’s a huge stroke of luck for the Blue Jays.
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Draft prospect report and tools: If there’s a name you want me to post just let me know.
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He needs to work on his... Bongo skills... for 7 days.
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That extra $4 on Owen Caissie’s contract..
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Expanded playoffs for 2020 would’ve made the season very interesting. If we follow the old system, we’re targeting a 34 win season just to maybe sniff a wild card spot. A team can get really hot and essentially run away with the division lead. The Dodgers were 60-29 by July 4th last year. Ironically they had a rough start too and were 8-8 by April 13.
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For the Taxi-squad catcher, I wonder if they’ll give that opportunity to Alejandro Kirk. Also if there’s expanded playoffs and guaranteed service times, Nate Pearson needs to be up here on day 1.
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OK let me get this straight.. 30-man rosters to start the season, gradually changed to 26-man rosters. 3-Man taxi squads (One mandatory catcher) to follow on all road trips. Proposed 40 of 60 games played in own division (Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, Orioles) 20 of 60 games played in inter-league with geographical counter part (Mets, Phillies, Marlins?) July 1st - report for camp (ST) July 23/24 - Opening Day Universal DH for 2020? Expanded playoffs for 2020?
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And if anyone is wondering about Martin’s exit velos:
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Zac Veen was rumored near draft time he’s willing to sign for 5M, and did so with the Rockies. It would’ve been a nice under-slot deal at #5 had Martin not been available. Would’ve changed the dynamic of the whole draft having an extra 1-2 M to spend, as a lot of guys in rd 2-5 ended up with over-slot deals. But ultimately you can’t pass on an impact talent like Austin Martin.
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2020 Draft Picks: #11 - Spencer Torkelson #16 - Austin Martin #39 - Asa Lacy #56 - Emerson Hancock #59 - Nick Gonzales #61 - Max Meyer #75 - Zac Veen #80 - Garrett Mitchell #83 - Reid Detmers #84 - Austin Hendrick #98 - Robert Hassell #99 - Heston Kjerstad Blue Jays: #7 - Nate Pearson #16 - Austin Martin #31 - Jordan Groshans #67 - Simeon Woods-Richardson
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I’ve seen them play with that rule down in double-A. Essentially the first batter will sac bunt the runner to third, then your team has a chance to sac fly him home to break the tie. If that fails you have another chance to bring him home with the final out. I’ve seen multiple innings of these exchanges occur as both teams fail to cash-in the runner. Mix in three-batter minimums on pitchers plus a live pitch-clock and you have Rob Manfred’s wet dream.
