I think there's plenty of talent on the 2017 team that could actually perform better than 2016's. I voted and am arguing for worse simply because conventional expectations seem to suggest a weaker team.
Also a factor for Win total is the strengthening of the division. Boston is stronger, Tampa is stronger, New York could easily overachieve, and Baltimore, as much as we hate them, will still probably play at a 76-79 win pace by homering their way through middling pitching staffs. 76 games against these teams will be some tough waters for the Blue Jays' playoff hopes, despite how well they project.