glory
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Everything posted by glory
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Pillar is a useful player and has been great value for the team, but we don't need his 2 War in 2019. I'd rather any one of Alford, Pompey, or Smith get playing time over him next season. Pompey is out of options, so even if he's a 4th OF at best, stick him at CF and see if you get lucky. Use 2019 to its full advantage. Or start Alford and put Pompey off the bench and go from there. Whatever....anything is better than holding on to Pillar and getting the same bat with declining D. Pillar has value if the Jays were contending. That's not happening, so trade him now for the best deal offered. With players like Pollock still unsigned that's probably the hold up, but once more FA's are signed, hopefully that will open the trade market up (Grandal holding up Martin too).
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2015 A: 143 wRC+, 232 PA A+ 153 wRC+, 255 PA 2016 A+: 115 wRC+, 401 PA 2017 AA: 135 wRC+, 289 PA (didn't use numbers from A+, AAA, and MLB that year because the sample was practically nothing) 2018: AAA: 87 wRC+, 417 PA I mean, if you think he was exposed in AAA then fine, we'll see in 2019 if that's true, but given the nature of his injury, he gets a bit of a pass from me for last season. Otherwise, the track record is right there.
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He was awful in April/May 2018, but did get better from June 2018 onwards (though still not great). The track record aside from 2018 is there and he got a late start. He could easily look like a big league CF by some time in 2019.
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Spanberger's Dunedin BB/K with 70 grade power would be damn interesting if he can maintain it (small sample alert). And I'm still an Alford believer.
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He had hamate bone surgery. Doesn't it normally take a year of AB's to get back to normal? Maybe it turns out he isn't very good, but I wouldn't give up on him. 2019 will be a big year for him to see whether he can get back to his top prospect form.
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Kikuchi settled, which now leaves Keuchel and a bunch of lower end types. Stroman’s trade market might expand now.
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The Jays might have made a competitive offer but they needed to trump everyone else’s offer to get him, and that clearly did not happen. The Japanese market is always going to be a hard sell for the Jays. They missed their shot with Darvish. The blind bid system was more advantageous to them.
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It’s not contradictory. If some random team (the Jays) killed everyone in the field money wise then he would have probably signed with the Jays. But if offers are generally around the same area, then location is going to heavily factor more than anything else. Boras wouldn’t let a client bail on a significantly better offer, but chances are he didn’t get one.
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He would have gone where the money was, but I think the Jays would have had to blow everyone out the water for him to choose Toronto over a west coast team. We don't have the New York appeal, and this isn't blind bids anymore like what happened with Darvish. Most Japanese players will probably end up on west coast teams if they have any say in the matter. I'd be interested to know what the Jays offered though.
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Kikuchi is going to the West coast or New York. Always the safest bets with Japanese players, especially when it’s not blind bids anymore.
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I didn’t mention it because I don’t think there’s any chance in hell he will come close to that again, especially in the AL East. He seems like someone who will get torched in this division. As a reliever I think he might be more valuable but the Jays might be more worried about the innings than the value/role. For $1.5m and a nothing prospect, it’s not a bad deal.
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I'd be fine with that type of deal, but holy s*** this team is going to suck even more than everyone expects them to if they trade Stroman and replace him with Richard. Richard was about a 0.5 WAR reliever per season in 2015-16. I think using him out of the pen and hoping for a good half season might net more in a mid season trade than anything he could do as a starter. If anything, starting him might destroy his value, especially in this division.
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Shatkins doesn't want to trade prospects, and pitchers looking to increase their value won't sign with the Jays to play at RC/face the AL East on repeat, so I'm not even sure what the alternative would be. Shoemaker is basically this year's Garcia. Richard seems like a warm body who can eat up (s*****) innings or pitch out of the pen. The trade itself is meaningless (unless this impacts your maple boner) but I'd rather have practically everyone currently on the 40 man roster over him so not a fan from that aspect. Edit: Forgot Drake is there. Easy decision. Richard over Drake is fine.
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Connor Panas going to the Padres. Jays have to dump someone from the 40 too. Probably Drake.
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General 2018 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
glory replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
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SRF, Pannone, Paulino, Thornton, and Waguespack are all on the 40 man roster and have options remaining. Merryweather too whenever he gets healthy. The Jays need someone who can eat up innings (preferably Yusei but most likely someone like Gio) but otherwise I'd expect a s*** ton of innings from the minor leaguers on the 40 man roster. Even if Stro and Sanchez start the season with the Jays, they probably don't finish with them. There is going to be a lot of turnover in the rotation throughout the season.
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I wonder who the Jays end up trading Martin to. I would assume he’s the guy they move for his sake but the list of suitors is dropping.
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Stroman, Sanchez, Borucki, and Shoemaker is not a rotation I'd expect to be 100% healthy all season. The AAA guys (SRF, Pannone, Paulino, Thornton, Waguespack, Merryweather when he's healthy, etc) will get plenty of opportunities next season.
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They'll be pissed about every move Shatkins makes.
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Gio makes the most sense since he can eat up innings and the Jays really need that. The AAA rotation is going to be cluttered though.
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Nicely done Shatkins. This is the type of low risk gamble that can really pay off.
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He might be a guinea pig for the player development staff this year. Shapiro wants to create this big org culture where players are given the best nutrition, mental health, leadership training, etc, etc. This would be a big test for that as he's surely going to suck in the bigs but they'll work on his repertoire at the big league level while helping him with all the other stuff on the side. That's my guess at least. I think he stays all year. Shatkins is ready to punt 2019 so the roster spot probably won't mean much to them. Although that theory will be tested once the pen is tired and they need fresh arms. Having someone there that they can't option or use in high leverage situations is going to hurt them.
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General 2018 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
glory replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Who is left on the pitching market? Keuchel and Kikuchi is all I can think of. Maybe once those two are settled the market for Stroman will become clearer. Morosi is a f***ing hack but Shatkins definitely seems to want to trade Stroman (at least there's a lot of smoke now) so I think it's a real possibility. -
General 2018 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
glory replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
People need to stop citing Morosi as a source. He’s just so bad. -
Yeah, a sabermetric AA sounds like a damn good GM. Of course he gets good after he leaves.