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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    Nice work from Cole.
  2. glory
    Jansen feeling the heat from Kirk's arrival.
  3. glory
    Probably, but other than 3B, the biggest upgrade the team can probably make right now is CF. Grichuk has been a replacement level player now for two seasons (small sample in 2020 but still). Nothing seems to be trending up for him. I'm not sure the Jays can keep sticking him in a starting role and hoping for better results. He'd actually a really good 4th OF, though. Streaky enough to start whenever he's hot (July/August every single year), and can cover multiple OF positions. But yeah, he'll likely complain if he were moved to the bench. If George Springer is possible, then Grichuk can either enjoy the bench or pack his bags.
  4. glory
    If the Jays are willing to use Grichuk as a 4th OF, then JBJ would be a great target. LH, an actual CF, and can be platooned if necessary. If Grichuk would cry about being a bench player, then try to trade him (for nothing because he has no value), and use Davis as the 4th OF in that scenario. I just don't see Grich as a starting CF on a good team, and he doesn't hit enough for RF. Ideal 4th outfielder if both team and player are ok with it, but my hatred of Grich in general makes me prefer Davis as the 4th OF.
  5. glory
    Roark acting like he's part of the playoff team.
  6. glory
    Roark ERA up to 7.01. Nice.
  7. glory
    Not watching the game, but I can't imagine Roark ever inducing weak contact, so I'd be doubtful.
  8. glory
    The Jays were unlikely to score much on Cole anyway, so might as well have the human dumpster fire start tonight, and better pitchers start in the next two. And yes, I never want to see Roark start a game for the Jays in 2021. It better not happen. Depth my ass. He sucks. Move on.
  9. glory
    Rest of the regular season apparently looks like this: Tonight: Roark Wednesday: Ray Thursday: Ryu Friday: Walker Saturday: Shoemaker Sunday: Roark/whoever WC1: Ryu WC2: Walker WC3: Shoemaker
  10. glory
    The 2018 version of Grichuk was fine. Flawed, but fine. The 2019-20 version is trash. I hoped the decrease in K's was a meaningful change, but seems to have sacrificed his power in doing so, which was his biggest strength. Maybe they think someday he'll combine his 2018 power with his 2020 BB:K, but in the mean time aside from his July/August hot streaks he's as frustrating as ever.
  11. glory
    Man, Font really sucks. Can't even mop up.
  12. glory
    Kirk already the best catcher on the team. Wonder if he sees the minor leagues again.
  13. glory
    Buntoyo better not start Villar in the playoffs.
  14. glory
    I know Roark tomorrow is just going to f*** all this fun up, so let's enjoy tonight. Keep the runs flowing.
  15. glory
    Jays need to win a couple of blowouts in this series. Make the Yankees accuse them of cheating again.
  16. glory
    The backup HP ump is a worse backup than Reese McGuire.
  17. glory
    This umpire is missing everything.
  18. glory
    They have an outfield of Davis, Grichuk, and Hernandez, and have every single player in the wrong spot in terms of optimal placement. I guess they want to keep Grichuk and Hernandez in their routine, but the defensive alignment could be better.
  19. glory
    Merryweather placed on the DL with right elbow tendinitis. I was holding out hope for him to start, but given his age and the fact that he has barely pitched in 3 years, just make the dude a reliever going forward.
  20. glory
    The blame for Vlad to 1B is on Shatkins. They tried him at 3B for years, knowing that he was fat and not likely to stick there, then gave him like a week notice before the season started that he’s permanently moving to 1B. They could have tried Vlad at 1B in the minors or slowly worked him into that role. Instead they thrust him in there with no prior experience and expected it to be seamless.
  21. glory
    The problem is you are using pythag to judge the quality of a team and I'm using their actual record over 162 games. Not sure why you think run differential trumps a team's actual record in a season long sample size. My point is, you don't see teams who win in the mid to high 80's go all the way in the current format if they happen to make a wild card spot. There's one exception, the Giants in 2014, and they had a once in a generation playoff performance from a starter they rode hard the whole way. Did you think the 2017 Twins had a real shot at a title that year? If you did, then we clearly disagree on how deep this crapshoot really is. Again, my argument is not that average teams can't win. It's that it's very unlikely to happen most years. We are more likely to see good teams (85-89 wins) beat the great teams (95-100 wins). The more good teams that make it, obviously the crapshoot increases. If you find that to be unfair, then that's fine, but that's different from thinking a 77 win team has the same chance to win the whole damn thing as the good/great teams do.
  22. glory
    Since the 2nd WC was implemented, here are the World Series champions: Giants: 94-68 Red Sox: 97-65 Giants: 88-74 Royals: 95-67 Cubs: 103-58 Astros: 101-61 Red Sox: 108-54 Nationals: 93-69 The lowest win total for any team who made the playoffs during that stretch was 85 by the Twins in 2017, who then got disposed of easily by the Yankees in the WC game. In the year the Giants won with 88 wins, MadBum had to pitch out of his mind for that to happen. The playoffs in baseball being a crapshoot is true, but it's not "every team that makes it has an equal chance". It just means teams with the best record or most talent don't always win. It doesn't mean bad teams are going to come in, get hot, and then steamroll through everyone. I think the round with the most risk in the new format is the WC round. I think we'll see the most upsets in that round. But beyond that? Like I said, over a 10 year span you might see a miracle team win it, but I'd be very surprised if that's the norm, or even close to it.
  23. glory
    Well this season is so short that we can't even take the records of the playoff teams that seriously. The Reds might have been better over 162 games than they've shown in 50+ games. The Marlins almost certainly would have been worse. The Mets probably would have been better. And so on. The AL is likely a fair representation of the good teams and bad teams, with the Jays firmly planted in between. The only thing to do going forward is to build a deeper rotation. That's going to be the way to "fluke" into deeper playoff contention with expanded playoffs. It will be harder to spam relievers with no off days in between games, so starters are going to be very important.
  24. glory
    Ryu can only start 1 game in a 3 game series and 1 game in a 5 game series (unless they start him on short rest, which is asking for trouble). That means Walker and Shoemaker in games 2-3 of the WC series, and Walker-Shoemaker and two of Roark/Anderson/Ray/Stripling in games 2-5 in the ALDS. The Jays are probably facing the Rays in the WC series and if they somehow advance then the winner of the Yankees/Twins in the ALDS. The neutral location might provide some advantage/disadvantage depending on the teams, but I don't think it's enough for a team that lacks rotation depth, has bad defense, and routinely makes stupid mistakes to go through a gauntlet like that. Over a sample size of 10 years with expanded playoffs, will a mediocre team (sub-.500) win the whole thing? Maybe. I just don't think it's as likely as some are predicting, and I think most years a good team (85+ wins) will end up winning it when a great team doesn't.
  25. glory
    I think you guys are overstating how likely it is that a bad team can win the World Series in this format, especially with the change of no off days between games. This will help a team like the Indians who are the 7th seed but have a good deep rotation so they could easily pitch their way into a long run. A team like the Jays or Marlins aren't going to have a hot streak for 3 weeks.
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