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crmr

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Everything posted by crmr

  1. Not too high on Giolito, think Washington did well to trade him (seems as though they were desperately trying to). Eaton is a nice piece overall, should help them out
  2. I would have more trust in that narrative if he weren't going to be 34 at the start of next year. You're comparing him to guys significantly closer to their peaks.
  3. I've always found it interesting when people get stuck on one year with half a season's worth of games. He's played somewhat close to a full year over the past 2, which gives about a full year of data to settle babip/iso noise, and he was about a 2.4 war player who is continuing to age. You could include his 2014 if you wish, but that seems to be a complete aberration in most of his metrics.
  4. I respect your opinion but that's extremely optimistic
  5. Great post, I kind of hope it's true. But, if we can get a full year of 2 war ball from him then that's good for 6 million/year. Seems close to the best we can hope for, but I think it explains the optimism on this forum as that's pretty good I'm concerned with his age though, what kind of decline to players get each year in their 33 to 34 and 34 to 35 season? Does anybody know?
  6. Very interesting, and great to hear. I actually just checked his career and he has a wRC+ of 100, with a very respectable line of 244/322. Also, he seems to be a net positive defender at 1b. Actually it looks like he could be a 2 war player (if he stays healthy), that would be great!
  7. Oh ok, thanks. I just thought because of his recent volatility in war (and war/game) that he might be a fairly uncertain player
  8. Thanks. That was mostly my point. It just seems risky to have him mostly penciled in when we don't know what he's going to do. I like him as a platoon, I just think him being a full time guy isn't the best, since he's never really proven he can get it done and extrapolating based on 1 low babip (which an earlier poster wrote off) and 2 high babip seasons is risky. It's the context of the signing I don't like, not so much the signing itself
  9. Oh ok, sorry. I just thought with a 25% k-rate and 331 babip in his best season vs RHP in 2014 and his otherwise solid (but not great) career made him more of a platoon
  10. I don't know, why has he always done that?
  11. Really don't like this signing. If he were a platoon LF who played 100 games, great. But it's looking like he'll be a regular. Hopefully there are more moves to come. This one barely helps the team make-up any of the losses from the past season. We need to be a team that maximizes WAR, not be like Tampa Bay and maximize something meaningless such as $/war. At the end of the day, it's important to recognize when you're a big market, mid market and small market GM, and so far Atkins is having trouble understanding that.
  12. That thread seemed aggressive I thought, I wanted to make one for a bit more relaxed discussion on the sabermetrics/value side of the deal
  13. Hey guys, old poster coming back. Just thought I'd share my thoughts on the Upton trade I think it's a great deal. Upton was worth $12 mil last year and another $12 this year. At a 1.5 year deal for $5 mil that's probably one of the best contracts in baseball. Really shocking San Diego would do this trade. The deal also provides insurance two both Saunders and Bautista leaving after next season, so we at least have part of our OF dealt with for now. We gave up a guy who might (best case) be a 3rd starter in 6 years, so the value of that is limited. Really liking this for us
  14. Great deal. Upton was worth $12 mil last year and another $12 this year. At a 1.5 year deal for $5 mil that's probably one of the best contracts in baseball. Really liking this for them
  15. Great deal. Upton was worth $12 mil last year and another $12 this year. At a 1.5 year deal for $5 mil that's probably one of the best contracts in baseball. Really liking this for them
  16. Great deal. Upton was worth $12 mil last year and another $12 this year. At a 1.5 year deal for $5 mil that's probably one of the best contracts in baseball. Really liking this for them
  17. funny enough, for the long term health of the franchise it's probably best if they aren't very good next year so they can command big hauls for EE and Jose and build around that. Can probably get a close to MLB ready player for each of them along with some guys lower in the minors
  18. The only thing is under your setup you're paying for declining players (4 of them) and given contract length you would be paying more than 100 million for the wins since they'll have to extend JD for a big amount. The fact is this team is set to compete in 2016, could be solid in 2017 but to be a true contender post 2017 (even in it) they would probably need to make some really unwise decisions.
  19. But he'll get 0 credit for it, and will get all the criticism for the years to come
  20. Nice to hear JP support what the blue jays are doing in signing many pieces rather than just one. Hard to know all the details behind the scenes during his time here, but as someone mentioned before, most of the facts support what he's saying
  21. The reality is the team will be good next year, decent in 2017 depending what they do and likely terrible for a couple years after that. And, despite what this fourm thinks (or at least some on it), that has nothing to do with Shapiro or Atkins
  22. I agree, if you can get him really cheap he's a worthwhile BP target
  23. I always laugh when people only look at peripherals. While it's a good way to evaluate a pitcher, there's always guys like Morrow who observably struggle despite great peripherals because they get hit really hard, and peripherals assume all hits are luck.
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