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intrigid

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Everything posted by intrigid

  1. This is exactly why MLB avoids playoff overlaps like the plague. Everyone would do this and nobody would watch any commercials. It has nothing to do with courting fans into watching 12 hour baseball marathons. It has to do with maximizing TV revenue. Advertisers understand this, and there's no way in hell they'll pay top dollar for overlapping sports events. Same reason why radio stations have been synchronizing their commercials for decades.
  2. On a positive note we have an evening game for game 3 which is kind of nice. A lot of people will be eating turkey in front of the TV this year.
  3. That translates to a 25% chance. That's hardly unreasonable. We're talking about a team that could quite conceivably win 120 games over a full season.
  4. This is correct. And Jim Wolf will be home plate ump for the entire series is what I hear.
  5. Weeks ago I posted that Texas would be the best team for the Jays to face in the ALCS. Texas barely finished with a positive run differential this year, and their 3rd order expected win-loss record says that they should have finished with a worse record than Oakland. That said, I'm nervous as hell about this series, and there's no other team that would make me feel differently.
  6. Well if not every team plays it, then even more reason for the Jays not to.
  7. And I wouldn't retract that. Propaganda comes in many forms and mediums. You won't get mad. That's good. But the only thing that would prevent me from hitting the "mute" button is a stadium full of Canadians rightly drowning it out with a chorus of boos. During the regular season, and correct me if I'm wrong, every home team except Toronto plays the song during the 7th. That's the way it should stay.
  8. OK, not sure how that fits into any of this, but the singing of god bless america during the 7th inning was in direct response to 9/11. I don't see how anyone can dispute this.
  9. Good. They ought to feel disrespected for their 9/11 propaganda.
  10. Yes. This is 100 times more important than the implication on the number of home games. And no, that's not an exaggeration.
  11. People really have no comprehension of how absolutely insignificant and meaningless beating the Royals would be in terms the playoffs. It is so far beyond irrelevant that's it's actually kind of funny. Literally the ONLY scenario in which losing home-field advantage threatens the Jays is if they go to game 7 in the ALCS AND the team they face in the ALCS is the Royals. In every other scenario, they either 1) retain HFA throughout every series anyway, 2) have the same number of home games anyway, or 3) actually end up with MORE home games. That's right. Think about that. If the Royals overtook them, but then the Jays beat them in 5 games in the ALCS, losing home-field advantage would have worked in their favor and resulted in one more home game. And when you realize that HFA does not actually change the expected number of home games for Toronto, you start to realize how absurd this whole thing is. OK, you could argue that a 7 game ALCS vs the Royals is more likely than a 5 game ALCS vs the Royals. But at this point you're not even talking about 1 additional expected home game in the playoffs. You're talking about a tiny fraction of that, maybe 1/10th of one home game. Then when you consider that the visiting team wins 45% of the time, you're talking about on the order of 1/100th of a win. That's right. Home-field advantage is worth one one-hundredth of a win throughout the entire 11 to 19 games of the playoffs. How many wins do you think a couple extra days of rest are worth for David Price and the Jays A lineup?
  12. OK never mind my question. I found the article where gibbons said he wants to give price extended rest for the ALDS so he's shutting him down. Dear god good luck trying to find an actual useful piece of information on this message board amongst all the rabble. This is why I have less than 20 posts in 2 years coming here every day.
  13. Can someone explain something to me? Who has been announced as Friday's starter? If it's TBD, then why are we overlooking the (fairly obvious) possibility that it's Price? Because honestly that makes way more sense than putting him out there today.
  14. Who is taking them lightly? The question was who would the Jays ideally face in round 1. The answer is the Rangers. They are the worst team with a chance at making the playoffs. Of that there is no doubt. If anything, people shouting "Astros" should explain themselves. They're arguably the 2nd best team in the AL. Rangers are 7th or 8th best in the AL.
  15. Rangers are a below .500 team, they've just been lucky.
  16. Also the Blue Jays are the most underachieving team in baseball, while the Royals have been overachieving. Yankees are right where they should be. Jays are more likely to finish with the best record in the AL than they are to finish 2nd in the division.
  17. The Jays are 10 games up in expected W-L, with just under 1/6 of a season remaining, the base case is that they cut that lead in half and finish 2 games back of the Royals. The question is whether they can come up with 2 extra wins above and beyond the base case. Also remember that their expected W-L doesn't fully account for their recent roster upgrades, and the possible return of Stroman. If you factor these in, then the base case might be the Jays finishing 1 back of the Royals. Definitely doable but I'd but their chances at about 30%.
  18. Lol so maybe we'll get Dan and Buck calling the games again?
  19. Was unable to Google an answer to this. Does anyone know who would broadcast playoff games? Buck and Pat? And would it be the same in every level of playoffs? This hasn't even come up in decades and I have no idea what arrangements might have changed since.
  20. Agreed. I can't bring myself to do much more than lurk on this board because it seems like 70% of the posts are just douchebags trying to 1-up each other with their douchiness and take control of the title of King Douchebag.
  21. I dreamed last night that Reyes slid into 3rd and severed his entire left foot. Say what you want about Reyes last night. He will play short again tonight and for that we can be grateful.
  22. Is it really worth giving up 2 top rated prospects for a pitcher that's projected to finish 0-14 this year?
  23. Rasmus is so tense and rigid at the plate. Throw it down and in every time, he'll never hit it.
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