Assuming no more significant transactions.
In my opinion:
-Bautista, Reyes, Lawrie and Encarncion have to be healthy all year.
-Lawrie has to take a step forward.
-Bautista, Reyes and Encarncion need to play as good as they did last year over the span of a full season
-Rasmus has to show he is for real
-Bullpen has to be above average.
-Dickey has to pitch like he did in the 2nd half last year
-Marky B needs to pitch like his career avg
-Morrow needs to pitch close to how he did two years ago.
-Stroman and Hutch need to be league average
-Timely injuries to Red Sox, Yankees and Rays.
Is this too much to ask for?