Something I've just written up quickly. Shoot me some comments suggestions and such peeps.
The Bulls in the Pen
The 2014 season began with a lot of promise for the Jays, having taken a commanding lead of the AL East division early in the year. However, it ended with the Jays looking from the outside into the post-season. General Manager Alex Anthopoulos publically blamed the bullpen, which was a strength for the team in 2013, as the reason for their downfall.
High expectations were set by fans and media alike but for whatever reason, Anthopolous mostly failed to bolster the bullpen from the free agent crop. The list of big names -- among them David Robertson, Andrew Miller, and Luke Gregerson -- slowly shortened until it became clear the Blue Jays would enter the season using the assets at hand. A-ball rookies Miguel Castro and Roberto Osuna were both handed high leverage roles.
Due to the breakout performance of Liam Hendriks, whom was reacquired in a trade during the offseason from the Roayls, and surprise rookie sensation Roberto Osuna, the Jays rank 7th in the league in WAR for their bullpen.
http://i882.photobucket.com/albums/ac23/jessieg235813/Bpen%20WAR_zpssv00hwzj.png
In terms of Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP), a statistic that estimates a pitcher’s expected run prevention independent of the performance of their defense the Jays pen ranks 5th at 3.40 and due to some luck as well as much improved defensive team behind them, the Pen’s ERA at 3.13 has outperformed their xFIP.
http://i882.photobucket.com/albums/ac23/jessieg235813/xfip%20vs%20era%20team_zpspdiiud4s.png
Lastly, the Swinging Strike. Our own Spencer Estey already broke down why swinging strikes are important. The Jays have had hitters look silly, ranking 9th best in the league.
http://i882.photobucket.com/albums/ac23/jessieg235813/swstr%20vs%20avg%20team_zpsirjar8uk.png
Individually the Blue Jays top 3 relievers Osuna, Hendricks, Cecil and newly acquired reinformcement Marke Lowe, rank low in xFIP all below the league average for qualified relievers at 3.60.
http://i882.photobucket.com/albums/ac23/jessieg235813/BJS%20vs_zpsnfidjlg2.png
Among qualified relievers, the average SwStr% is 12% thus anything higher is ideal. Only Liam Hendriks ranks below average from the group at 10.3%.
http://i882.photobucket.com/albums/ac23/jessieg235813/Swst%20vs%20average%20player_zpshirzckw7.png
While the Blue Jays may have missed out in 2014 in part due to their pen, the Bulls in the Pen they have this year will not be a limiting factor rather a contribution for this team’s push into the post season and more.