Yeah I was surprised as well. I have been following his stats this season because he always looks horrible at the plate but sure enough, he's hitting it and hitting it hard.
After hearing how Jansen projected to be one of the best catchers in the league, Alfrod being a five tool player in CF, and Vladdy pushing JD out, nothing as worked as projected or expected. Now I understand there were a lot of circumstances that were considered as well, especially in JD's case, but I have become jaded. As much as I believe in Groshans and Martin, at this point you should makes changes to fill the position and let the prospects push the player out.
I liked the strategy when signing Ryu. Pearson projected to come up this year and be the no. 1, but things aren't going as expected and having Ryu right now absorbs a bulk of risk on the pitching staff.
I would love the Jays to get someone like Seager or make a play for Justin Turner this off-season. He wouldn't be a long term commitment, and I think a 3-year deal would be palatable for both sides. He should be good for 1 1/2, maybe 2 of those 3 years and can be pushed into a bench role in the final year. That allows Groshans or Martin to come up around 22/23 and still have an impact role and run with the position by 2024.
I don't know if its a focus on improving his launch angle, and it has improved from 16.3 to 21.5 from last year to this, but he isn't hitting the ball hard at all. His EV has come down from last year, and against FB is at 84.5 which is in the lower percentile of the league. He is getting fooled on breaking and offspeed pitches, with a xWOBA of .196 and .157 respectively. He is wiffing on both at a 40% clip as well. He can hit the FB and isn't being fooled by that, but unless he learns how to hit the others with more power and consistency he won't do much.
You're right, he is walking enough and has respectable walk numbers even last year, and his framing is good that he should be in the majors. I don't think he should be your no. 1. I am excited to see Kirk for sure and hope he can carry things. I do think the Jays should work on trading McGuire and hope Kirk becomes your no. 1 with Jansen as the no. 2, and fill the backup with stop gaps like who ever we have on the taxi squad.