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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    Okay? We're just going to ignore projections now because the team is in a rough stretch?
  2. Orgfiller
    Fangraphs has us projected at 40% odds to make the playoffs right now.
  3. Orgfiller
    @Brock Beauchamp
  4. Orgfiller
    I believe Will Wagner has officially graduated prospect eligibility. He's at 131 career ABs which means he has exceeded rookie status.
  5. Orgfiller
    The Padres are kind of the posterboys of what a team with a bunch of potential/actual albatross contracts looks like. Cronenworth is signed until 2030 and he's been trending down since 2022. Relatively cheap at least. Yu Darvish is signed until 2028 for inexplicable reasons. He's 38, declining, and hasn't pitched since the first half of last season. $18M AAV Joe Musgrove has two more years after 2025 at $20M per. Pitched a combined 200 IP the first two seasons, recovering from TJS. Bogaerts signed for 8 more years at huge money as you mentioned. Machado, who is still pretty good, is signed until 2033. He's settled in as a ~3.5 WAR player which is good for now but is likely to decline in the coming years. $31.8M AAV
  6. Orgfiller
    I agree with you, although even those guys at the end that you mentioned are unlikely to be anywhere near the worst contracts in the sport. Even if all of them are complete negatives, their total hit isn't even that bad. Combined they probably make less than Anthony Rendon's contract. Or Stephen Strasburg's. True horrendous contracts are guys that were paid star level contracts for their performance in their 20s, with the contract mostly in their early to late 30s - Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, Xander Bogaerts. Or pitchers, the most likely to be albatrosses due to injury. Robbie Ray is in a 5/115 deal, he had one okay season in the first year of the contract, missed practically two straight years with TJS, and might suck now.
  7. Orgfiller
    The Twins have the fifth worst offense in the majors thus far. This seems less like a vote of confidence and more that they desperately need some offense at the top.
  8. Orgfiller
    I mean, the team is 8th in position player fWAR, and still a roughly average offense despite Bo and Vlad displaying no power and significantly underperforming their xStats and Santander being a black hole in the 3 spot. It's not like it hasn't been working thus far, and I don't think it's that they heavily value contact ability necessarily, or rather devalue power, but there's a problem in how they bring it out in some players. Popkins seems to be the type of guy to target damage and it hasn't really paid off obviously, hopefully we see results emerge as the season goes along. It's easy to say that their target as a team is to be the 2015 Royals and I just think they've been trying to find wins where they can get them. Gimenez and Varsho are guys who they might find undervalued, but it doesn't mean they think these prototypes for a player are the blueprint for a winning team.
  9. Orgfiller
    I think you're underestimating how much power the top 3 can produce, and how badly we've been missing it. Santander still projects for 30 HR RoS and that's with him scuffling badly to begin the year. Bo, despite his relative lack of power, has a .526 xSLG compared to his true .390 SLG mark, he's been underperforming his expected stats pretty significantly, particularly in the power department. His Statcast page looks great. Vlad's in the same boat, almost exactly matching Bo's xSLG - SLG discrepancy, his xWOBA would make him a top 5 hitter.
  10. Orgfiller
    Yesavage's delivery really invokes Mike Fiers to me: https://www.mlb.com/video/fiers-bassitt-blanks-the-rangers?q=Mike Fiers&cp=CMS_FIRST&qt=FREETEXT&p=1 (bonus random RP appearance from Chris Bassitt pumping 97) Now image Mike Fiers but he sits 94-95. We should see Yesavage climb the minor league ladder quickly, he's too advanced for this level. Same is true for Khal Stephen.
  11. Orgfiller
    All jokes aside from the "must-win" trope, this is a game we gotta put on the books. Blanco has been struggling out of the gate, and this is a much different lineup than the one that faced him in Houston last season. As long as Bassitt continues his good stretch of pitching this is one that has to go our way.
  12. Orgfiller
    Good AB by Roden, would’ve been nice to see him rewarded on that opposite field swing. Alas, Brown is too good and he took a close pitch.
  13. Orgfiller
    98 from Gausman for the K is fantastic to see.
  14. Orgfiller
    Springer looks incredible at the plate.
  15. Orgfiller
    Yeah he looks electric.
  16. Orgfiller
    The A's are promoting Nick Kurtz, the number 4 pick from last year's draft and a consensus top ~25-50 prospect. The interesting part is that as 1B only guy, this presents a weird positional logjam for them with Tyler Soderstrom starting off the year as a top 10 hitter in the league. Kurtz is 1B/DH only. Soderstrom is a former catcher who's rarely played there the last couple of seasons, and had been 1B only this year. Brent Rooker is Yordan Alvarez esque as a top of the order offensive force who ideally should not see the field as a defender, but now likely will? Shea Langeliers has generally graded as a rather poor if not awful defensive catcher with big pop. JJ Bleday and Lawrence Butler have emerged as legit outfielders, the latter being a player that they're committed to building around. The A's are going to have a pretty weird defense, but that lineup is going to rake.
  17. Orgfiller
    Lucas optioned, Josh Walker recalled.
  18. Orgfiller
    Is this your thing where you become insufferable for a week to prove a point about the other insufferable posters? The Jays just went 3-3 the last week, and one of those games could have easily gone their way with some more timely hitting. Let's not add to the pile of annoying posters that come with the gloom and doom as the team sits firmly in second place in the ALE.
  19. Orgfiller
    I think he's done. Injuries did a number on him, the stuff backed up, and the command went completely out the window. If even the Cleveland pitching factory is giving up on him there's little chance left for him save for toiling around the minors for a bit and rebuilding himself from scratch. Not even sure he gets claimed on waivers. The Stuff+ models grades his Location+ as 58 which is like, unfathomably bad. He must be hanging every pitch or missing badly nowhere near the zone.
  20. Orgfiller
    Handling the pressure is why Gausman is being paid the big bucks. He can and should be able to give us a good start here when we need it.
  21. Orgfiller
    Lucas has now given us the full Jekyll and Hyde performance with two excellent starts followed by two awful ones. His next one will be crucial for him to determine if he can stick. The one silver lining in this Saturday start is the strikeouts were still there. If he blows up again I could see Jake Bloss getting the call with Lucas being optioned.
  22. Orgfiller
    There's not much depth in the 40-man remaining due to the injuries. The last 40-man pitchers we have in AAA are Bloss, Macko (injured) and Josh Walker who doesn't provide much length. Schultz is likely sticking around until one of the injured RPs come back.
  23. Orgfiller
    Welcome to the board, Leo!
  24. Orgfiller
    This seemed inevitable. Little defensive utility, not fast, and it seemed like the same issues at the plate persisted. If he can't catch up to the fastball and he can't hit lefties there's no room for him on the roster.
  25. Orgfiller
    This is all valid and all, but with Kirk on base things get a bit more dicey. Will he even make it to third on the tag attempt? Will he score by staying put on second on a single into the outfield? Will he score on a wild pitch to the backstop if he had successfully tagged? With Kirk the best outcome is likely just the safe option in just about any scenario I think.
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