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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    The K/BB is bad, he's a big time chaser, literally 1st percentile in chase rate. Combine that with 20th percentile whiff rate and the profile has some major holes where I can definitely believe this could be a career year. Pitchers will simply stop throwing him strikes after this season, and he'll continue being vulnerable against LHP. The Little AB the other day was the most obvious K situation ever, just spamming breaking balls low and away and he couldn't help himself. On the bright side, the raw power might be better than expected? He doesn't have top end exit velos but he's been much better at getting to his power. It's the Javier Baez package, CF edition. Take away a grade or grade and half of raw power and maybe add a grade of speed and half a grade of defense give or take.
  2. Orgfiller
    Best ever seems a bit hyperbolic with KK's best seasons as you mentioned, not to mention Andruw Jones' best years in the late 90s. Don't sleep on Franklin Gutierrez's 2009 year either. Byron Buxton had 26 OAA in 2017 apparently. The younger Billy Hamilton also had some pretty insane defensive seasons. Of course that's not even getting into the old timers pre UZR era.
  3. Orgfiller
    Evan Carter's back might be broken so he has a bit of a pass. He's at least put up a better season than last year, although health wise he's still hardly played this year.
  4. Orgfiller
    He's too young and still hits the ball hard to claim he's a finished product at this point. The likelihood of him being a superstar has gone down, but there's still multiple time All-Star potential in there. He's underperforming his xwOBA this year, and the projections view him as a ~115 wRC+ hitter, at age 23. He's already a good player and with potential to unlock some more performance. Needs to get the injuries in check though.
  5. Orgfiller
    Fantastic stuff by the bullpen, just downright filthy, dominant stuff.
  6. Orgfiller
    Doubtful he gets him anyway on an outside breaking ball.
  7. Orgfiller
    Too many lefties were due, Busch in particular.
  8. Orgfiller
    2nd just also seems like a poor position for him since his biggest struggles are ranging to his right side. I feel like he's best suited for 3B next to an excellent SS partner with range like Gimenez? His arm strength has also cratered, but maybe if he spends the entire offseason on a throwing program he can get back to around average? It's easy to see his foot speed and athleticism declining, but surely he hasn't also blown out his arm at age 27 as he's getting beefier and stronger...right? Right?
  9. Orgfiller
    I actually think this has been a thing for a while. You can't change your motion halfway through an AB. So now it's customary for the pitcher to let the ump know with a runner on third.
  10. Orgfiller
    Now that inning was unlucky, lol.
  11. Orgfiller
    It’s not like the Cubs haven’t had their share of warning track flyouts. Our offense has had a couple of those but definitely not hitting the ball nearly as hard.
  12. Orgfiller
    Brutal throw from Kirk on the pitch out.
  13. Orgfiller
    The xBA in this game is .316 for the Cubs and .146 for us. Not sure what game you’re watching. The Cubs have been drilling line drives all game long.
  14. Orgfiller
    Horton is absolutely carving us up. Stuff looks filthy.
  15. Orgfiller
    For the Cubs or for the Jays? It’s been 3 hitters if you mean for the Jays lol.
  16. Orgfiller
    I mean, not saying he should have elite numbers instead, but he's a 23 year old rookie who was a top prospect with big K numbers in the minors. Agree to disagree sure, but I actually do think there's hidden K potential in there between the minor league rate and the fact that he is getting chase and whiffs at the MLB, and I'm sure the Cubs think so as well. Just saying I wouldn't sell him short as the stuff might be better than the numbers have been showing.
  17. Orgfiller
    Actually, Horton is underperforming his whiffs if anything. 60th percentile chase rate with a 66th percetile whiff rate. So he's got sneaky good stuff, it just hasn't been translating into strikeouts. With that said, he should provide a similar look to Ben Brown who we had no issues avoiding the swing and miss against.
  18. Orgfiller
    Kinda nuts that Lauer debuted at 23 back in 2018 and he's still arbitration eligible heading into the 2026 season lol.
  19. Orgfiller
    We're seeing the likes of Sandy Alcantara and Spencer Strider struggle to come back from TJS effectively, with poor command. And those are guys whose raw stuff were miles ahead of Manoah's prior to the injury. Definitely going to be a long road to see if Manoah puts himself back into back of the rotation starting depth at least.
  20. Orgfiller
    A small note, Ben Brown who relieved Assad yesterday, who didn't even pitch that poorly, got zero Ks. Is that notable? Well coming into the game he had a K/9 above 10, and he pitched 4 innings without a single strikeout, and only 4 whiffs in 55 pitches - 4 in 30 swings. Coming into the game his whiff rate was above 27% (it's reduced from what it used to be but not sure how to check what it was). The offense is kind of a pain in the ass to face.
  21. Orgfiller
    Meh, he was lowkey out by a mile, made it look closer than it was with a surprisingly good slide. Don’t like the send, France is very slow and Happ has a good arm.
  22. Orgfiller
    Wouldn't Schneider just platoon with Lukes/Loperfido?
  23. Orgfiller
    Juan Sanchez has to be one of the more generic names you've ever heard. There's 4 Juan Sanchez-es in the minors right now, and the fangraphs search lists 4 others. CPU generated name right there. In fact, he's not even the only Juan Sanchez in our farm system right now! We also have JJ Sanchez, short for Juan Jose Sanchez. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=sanche000jj-
  24. Orgfiller
    Doubt he was ever going to get the call before then anyway but it's certainly something they're aware of for these potential late season call ups you would think.
  25. Orgfiller
    The Springer concussion thing is brutal. Obviously I want them to take their time with it so he's not affected when he's back, but concerning it's taken this long for him to be cleared. This could be the kind of thing that lingers for a while.
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