Orgfiller
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Everything posted by Orgfiller
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He looks unhittable. I’d be genuinely disappointed if he doesn’t get the chance to get through the 7th barring some trouble on the bases.
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And then you run the risk that a homerun makes it a 3-1 game. It’s not like Gleyber Torres and Riley Greene coming up, again for a third look against Kirby, are good matchups for him.
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Can’t believe I’m agreeing with AJ Pierzynski that this was objectively the right move by the numbers.
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Not with zero outs and the tying run on second. s***** for them that Speier blew it immediately but that’s absolutely the right call to make in an elimination game. Carpenter rakes against RHP and it’s third time through the lineup.
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Kerry Carpenter is SO bad against lefties that he only has 197 career PAs against them in the regular season. Even his own team doesn’t want him to face them. Just a perfect swing in an unlikely spot.
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I don’t think pulling Kirby was necessarily the wrong move with Carpenter coming up for a third look. You’d expect the lefty to not s*** the bed completely against him, who sucks against lefties.
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Kerry f***ing Carpenter. Holy f***
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Javy Baez has had an incredible series.
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Skubal is so good. Complete dominance. A shame he’s down in the game.
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The guy with the two homeruns in game 1? -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
Orgfiller replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Nance over Scherzer for me. Scherzer looked so bad in September, he's gonna be nuke city in the postseason. Bassitt 100% if he's healthy and we'll need a 4th starter. Bo is obvious depending on health. -
Have you seen what we've done to Yankees starting pitching? If Gausman, who's done well all year and has had successful starts against the Yankees is a concern, imagine how the Yankees feel about theirs. People are acting like all the familiarity is on the Yankees' side, but we're seeing all the arms from the Yankees' pen each game and the starters we've faced a bunch too.
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Tigers have blown this game open. 7-3 off a Javy Baez HR. 7 runs in the last 1.2 innings.
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The Tigers have mounted a comeback from down 3-0 to now take a 4-3 lead in the bottom of the 6th. M's bullpen absolutely s***ing the bed.
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Does that really matter? Outside of an absolute blow out - which Lauer has already pitched in and not looked great - would you really want Lauer going 5-6 innings? 3 decent innings is all we realistically need from him.
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Makes it especially important for Varland to give us two clean innings today. Get through Goldy against RHP once and then limit how many times he faces a lefty.
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Honestly I think the swing showed he was all in on FB. Whether he was tipped of it or not, we've seen Judge willing to trade a risk in a whiff for a potential big swing, and that's exactly what happened. I'm willing to say he read the situation well and was swinging at fastball anywhere near the strikezone, and was extra loaded up for it. Maybe he had the confidence that if Varland instead went with knuckle curve but missed that he'd be good enough to foul it off or off-balance drive one into the outfield.
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Dominguez is a potential walk machine. This is fine in high leverage where you really only need him to get a couple of big outs, but not to start a game where you might need the opener to cover 2 innings.
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I'm sure SSS is part of it, but he's upped his changeup usage quite significantly since earlier in his career. 13% changeup usage with 13% cutter usage, both of which are pitches meant to neutralize the opposite handedness. I figure his breaking ball command hasn't quite been where he's wanted it to be for RHH, so maybe that's why he's been hit a little harder by them.
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He’s old, might be washed at this point. Injuries starting to pile up, command’s gone to s***.
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Vlad xBA rankings since 2021: 2021 - 99th percentile 2022 - 95th percentile 2023 - 96th percentile 2024 - 100th percentile 2025 - 100th percentile In all those years, his K rate was never lower than 81st percentile, and it's trended into the 90th+ percentile since 2023. Vlad objectively has an 80 grade hit tool by the usual definition. 65 is an outrageous claim.
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Some people might argue that Luis Arraez has an 80 grade hit tool. Hell, fangraphs gave Willians Astudillo an 80 grade hit tool, which IMO was absurd, mostly because he just had a knack for putting bat to ball and never striking out. I do think quality of contact has to come into play, you can't just be an 80 grade hit tool guy if all you do is hit soft grounders and bloops all over the place. Vlad objectively combines both an elite amount of contact with hard hit balls, with a pretty healthy spray chart that makes him difficult to shift in any particular way. His issue, if you want to call it that, is he's probably a 75-80 raw power guy with "only" 55/60 game power. The Miguel Cabrera, Manny Ramirez, Frank Thomas examples provided more like 70-75 game power, with guys like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Barry Bonds, peak steroids Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa providing that 80 grade version, with varying levels of hit tool output.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
Orgfiller replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Turns out they both suck and this lineup is too good. -
Yankees are blooping and hitting seeing eye singles all over the place.
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Massive inning ending double play executed by the Padres defense.
