I think it's hard to say how much of that is luck vs. talent level though. To use an extreme example, Josh Hader last season was 9th percentile in EV and hard hit%, and 1st percentile in barrel %, he was getting completely crushed when hitters would make contact. Of course the Hader comparison stops there because making contact is nearly impossible against him, but this season he's back to allowing soft contact, but that's resulting in a 4.51 xFIP. So was Hader unlucky last year when hitters made contact, is he getting lucky this year? Font is getting fewer whiffs than last season which is definitely a concern, but he's still getting strikeouts and the stuff looks good. Maybe he's just a hittable gas can who got lucky last year, or maybe he's getting unlucky on good pitches this season? His body of work would suggest it's the former but I don't think we have enough studies into pitcher quality of contact to truly say one way or the other.