Orgfiller

Peyton Williams is an absolute unit. Listed at 6’5 255 lbs, 7th rounder from the 2022 draft.

I don’t think this Lindow guy is making the Phils’ opening day roster.

Hiura is strictly a RHP platoon, he doesn’t have typical splits. So really he’d be PH for like Espinal or Merrifield who started against a lefty. Career splits: vs RHP: 122 wRC+ vs LHP: 65 wRC+ He’s a lefty platoon masher in a right hander’s body.

That’s textbook relay, beauty.

Belt might actually clog up the bases for Kirk with the way he’s running.

I think some people are also under the potentially misguided impression that this is who Manoah is and there's no future room for growth. This is a guy who from the time he was drafted looked out of place in the minors and has found easy success his first one and a half seasons. Going into season 3 there's no reason to believe he could hit a next level in his K rate and limit free runners via HBP. He's only 25, and while comparing someone to future HOFs isn't the best idea, guys like Verlander and Scherzer both followed similar trajectories as dominant in the minors, good but not ace level early success, before reaching another level 3-4 years into their careers to become the dominant aces they would settle in as.

I'm pretty sure most of the posters are being tongue-in-cheek by making flippant remarks similar to those who were not a a fan of the WBC due to the "increased" risk of injury by having them play meaningful games outside of ST, as if injuries such as the Hoskins one don't happen in ST all the time.

I do think the sample size thing is actually quite important, like when Ryan Goins was the second coming of Phil Rizzuto in his first MLB experience, only to settle in as "merely" very good. Wasn't Bo Bichette an average ish defender at some point last season, before becoming a complete liability? Obviously Espinal's versatility is a huge asset, no question he can play the 3 main infield positions quite well. I feel like it was unnecessary and a disservice to him to then go out on a limb and compare him to one of the best IF defenders in baseball, period. I'm sure if Chapman's bat was a lot scrubbier he probably could act as an elite utility guy all over the infield too lol.

I don't think either of your arguments are poor, but I really don't think it's that close. Chapman's added reps is a huge boost for his case not because he accumulates the advanced stats, but rather because he's able to maintain his elite defensive performance over a longer sample. Chapman has some absolutely nutty defensive numbers from earlier in his career (66 DRS, 31 OAA his first 3 years, with 2017 only being half a season). He also has much better physical tools to go along with the instincts that make both such good defenders. Chapman speed + defense + arm strength: Espinal speed + defense + arm strength: I feel like if we can agree both have similar defensive "chops" (instincts, footwork, hands, etc.) then it's safe to say Chapman with his superior physical tools would be just as good a defender at 2B with the ability to play SS quite adequately. We saw him play there plenty on some of the shifts employed and he fared just fine. Espinal's arm strength really pushes down his defense once you move him from 2B to SS/3B that needs longer throws IMO. Chapman's arm would be wasted at 2B so perhaps he would suffer in the opposite fashion.

I had no idea who Jimmy Burnette was, but a lefty reliever currently sitting 94-95, had elite K numbers in A+ and AA at 23 years old last year, albeit with a concerning walk rate. Could be another lefty option that's not too far from getting a look at the big league level.

We just saw him pitch in the game against Detroit. 96 with a good breaking ball for the strike out. Granted, Detroit isn't exactly throwing their best out there either.

Fangraphs had him at 88-91 topping out at 93 last year. If this is his new “sitting” velo then that probably makes him a legit top 100 prospect. Big if though.

Danner’s breaking ball looks sharp. Good fastball too.

This is a stupid cliche but Barger really plays with a lot of confidence and swagger.

This rule has existed for years

I don't think this is necessarily true. One thing to remember is Orelvis was 20 and played a full year at AA, ahead/on track with most top prospects even if the results left something to be desired (30 HR in AA as a 20 year old is pretty nuts still). Barger obviously had a much better year, but he also started as a 22 year old in A+ and only played 55 games in AA+AAA. If Orelvis continues to track like a legitimate prospect, then he should be in AAA by mid-late season and essentially ready to be given a good look at the MLB level in 2024. Orelvis could merely be "above average" in AA and parts of AAA this season and still be on a much stronger developmental track than Barger is right now. An average platoon of the two by the end of 2023, let alone 2024, is not at all out of the question.

Is LOCATION+ some combination of in-zone rate + swinging strike rate or how else is it determined? STUFF+ seems a little more intuitive as you can probably just deduce it based on velo and movement relative to average/replacement level, with fastball taking precedent and a secondary offering being most strongly weighed.

Imagine mentioning a full season from Kyle Stowers who projects for 0.5 WAR and Kyle Bradish who projects for 1.1 WAR as the reason the Orioles will be a better team this year lmao. That’s like saying wait until we get a full season of Mitch White and Otto Lopez to really make us scary. DL Hall is projected to be a reliever across the board, between his injury history and wildness.

Well then maybe they shouldn’t be so cheap if they want to do anything and not waste cheap years of their young talent. The Jays have money coming off the books following 2023 and clearly they have the pockets and are willing to spend. Also, is there really any sustainable pitching model? The Rays have a bunch of promising guys earning peanuts but literally more than half of them got injured anyway and their pitching ended up being mediocre anyway. The Dodgers have a pitching factory but they’ll pay to retain their own talent and will splurge every now and then to acquire a top pitcher. Literally what is the point of getting Kyle Gibson and Cole Irving?

Which would be great if they also had at least 1 SP as good as any of the Jays’ top 4. Would even two of the Orioles pitchers make the Jays rotation?

The whole cavalry = Grayson Rodriguez? The Orioles have a great farm but that’s not due to their strong pitching depth past Rodriguez.

2B Termarr Johnson - PIT 2 1B Kyle Manzardo - TB 10 SP Tink Hence - STL 16 C Ethan Salas - SD 70 SP Luis Morales - OAK 90 SP Frank Mozzicato - KC 110 Pretty stacked draft at the top for me. Temarr Johnson perhaps a bit of a bold pick but I got good word on him and I know he was firmly in that 2022 draft class top 3 with everyone having different preferences with how to rank them. Manzardo apparently everyone wanted, and Hence looks like a stud. To cap it off I got the top IFA prospect (for whatever that's worth) and a couple of lottery ticket pitchers with boom or bust upside that will probably be dropped by the next draft. It didn't come cheap though, as Buehler and Conforto were shipped out in order to acquire two of those top picks. I think I'd comfortably trade Conforto for Tink Hence with the benefit of hindsight, the jury will be out for a bit on Johnson + injured pitchers for Walker Buehler.

I think this would be even worse for pitcher participation. Innings limits would play a huge factor, teams would be very strict about workloads for everyone. The nice thing about the WBC during Spring Training is those guys would need to do the work anyway, a tournament following the season would mean additional workload on these guys.

Someone needs to revert the previous pick, L54 just got auto drafted Mike Zunino. Unless he’s full already which I don’t believe is the case.

Will move any/some combination of Shea Langeliers, Sam Huff, Kris Bubic, Brandon Belt, Joey Votto for an upcoming pick.