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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    Gregory Soto isn’t that good but what a strange group of players to acquire by the Tigers. Guys who aren’t that young and whose ceiling is no more than utility/platoon guys or below average regulars. You’d think 3 years of an alright reliever with good stuff could net you more than that, at least one lottery prospect in the DSL or something.
  2. Orgfiller
    Team is really cornering the market on fireballer Ju. Fernandez'es who can't command their stuff. Both probably blow major chunks but at the 1% chance that one of them gets it together for half a season and post big numbers they're worthy acquisitions for nothing.
  3. Orgfiller
    Okay, then we’re not getting Bryan Reynolds lol. Orelvis isn’t highly valued at all in the industry and Reynolds projects for 4 WAR and has three cheap years of control, you’re not gonna get him for scraps.
  4. Orgfiller
    Teoscar is widely regarded as being an extremely hard working player. And you can tell based on how much better he’s gotten as a player since he debuted plus the guy is in incredible shape. This idea that he’s not a hard worker or cares less because he smiles a lot and has fun in the dugout is a frankly overdone trope often targeting the Latino players who come from a different baseball culture where it’s okay to display emotions and not act stone faced all the time while playing a game.
  5. Orgfiller
    Those Walker and Taillon contracts are f***ing gross lol.
  6. Orgfiller
    Would he have? He's been bad/injured since 2020 and is 31 now. Feels like he'd be Kikuchi with a lower ceiling and a higher floor (much higher risk for injury though). 1/10 isn't exactly a bargain price for Matt Boyd.
  7. Orgfiller
    Ultra stiff just means he's unathletic. In contrast to say, a "fluid" athlete who moves well and is agile, he's stiff, flat-footed, etc.
  8. Orgfiller
    For what it's worth, from his blurb on "others of note" in the Jays' system from fangraph's prospect list on the Jays at the beginning of 2022: He did kind of emerge as somewhat of a guy in 2022 with good numbers in A and A+. Just like another loveable large first baseman from the DR that we know, his biggest issue appears to be swing path/launch angle. Lots of infield flies and lots of groundballs in A+. K rate not super concerning although it did trend up this season, walk rate not the best. The high BABIPs are a good sign of someone who's drilling the ball down there, I'd be interested to see his max and average exit velos.
  9. Orgfiller
    Big trade just went down. Discuss. AG as always a pleasure to deal with. Strong first offer, counter from my end, and another reasonable counter from his end is all it took.
  10. Orgfiller
    You're not wrong, but Nimmo will certainly be more than just "$6-8 million more" given how much longer of a commitment he'll require to sign, and upside wise if anything Bellinger theoretically provides more, but Nimmo for sure offers that present certainty. It's much more difficult to answer the question of a) 1-year reclamation project at <$15M, could be anywhere from a 1-6 WAR player, projects at ~1.5-2 wins. CF defense + good baserunning more or less guaranteed, offense can swing the whole value 5+ year commitment on guy who will be 30 at the beginning of the season, $100M+ committed, 3-5 WAR depending on health in 2023. Defense is "ok" at CF, likely will decline within a couple of years, health a question mark, baserunning exactly average, offense likely to be excellent for a couple of years.
  11. Orgfiller
    Agreed. I think he'll end up in the $12-14M range, potentially even returning to the Dodgers. The upside he offers is high enough that even a non contender can sign him and flip him immediately at the deadline for a solid package if his first half numbers are in line with the Bellinger of old.
  12. Orgfiller
    Well neither does Edwin Rios. They'd be good bench bats/utility players with the ability to cover as a starter in case of injury at 3B or an OF corner.
  13. Orgfiller
    Will entertain offers on some of my catching options: JT Realmuto, Adley Rustchman, Shea Langeliers. Looking for SP, RP, and prospects (prospect should not be the headliner for JTR or Adley). Will entertain prospect for prospect swap for Langeliers.
  14. Orgfiller
    He's Joey Gallo but literally worse at everything and the power wasn't even above average, max exit velo of 107.9 mph, league average at AAA at 28 years old. Hard pass. Brian Anderson and Jeimer Candelario are two guys who got non tendered that are significantly better and offer either versatility or more upside in general.
  15. Orgfiller
    A top 10 MVP finish is minimum a 4+ WAR season, if you're already signing Bellinger to a discounted rate (at least $6M below his projected arb contract) then the team would take an elite season under $25M for a one year deal any time that's offered.
  16. Orgfiller
    Maybe they should have used him given how their other preferred arms - Munoz, Penn Murfee, Paul Sewald, Robbie Ray?? (lol) - performed in the postseason.
  17. Orgfiller
    Maybe he has the inside scoop on the bust pitching prospect from the Phillies/Rangers and knows a transition to position player is imminent. Unfortunately he's also a righty hitter, but maybe switching to LHH's batter box is what will save his grim MLB career.
  18. Orgfiller
    This was his first start back from the IL since like September 18.
  19. Orgfiller
    Went with Jerami Grant.
  20. Orgfiller
    Sorry everyone, I'm out camping until Tuesday and reception isn't the best. Went with Jacob Poeltl for my missed pick. Apologies, and I accept the reduced window penalty.
  21. Orgfiller
    Not to get involved in this, but the reason the Jays have a lot of guys with Sam Haggerty's skillset is they just simply have a significantly stronger group of position players, which speaks to their depth.
  22. Orgfiller
    I feel like if you look at risk profiles for a prospect, especially hitting wise, Vlad is so low on that chart. Which of these issues would you rather have on a seemingly prodigious hitting talent with one flaw: - Injury prone/a headcase (Fernando Tatis Jr.) - Too contact-oriented/swings a pool noodle (Wander Franco) - Crushes the ball, all the time, but far too often on the ground (Vlad Jr.)
  23. Orgfiller
    Not to mention, Vlad is 20 points higher by wRC+ than his first two seasons (where he was 20 and 21 lol) and his defense now is a lot better/much less negative than it used to be then. The projections see him as a ~150 wRC+ bat moving forward, and despite my own frustrations with him that seems quite attainable for a 23 year old with a career wRC+ of 133 through 500 MLB games. Like that's really all you need to mention, he's 23 years old with over 2000 PAs in the MLB and a career wRC+ of 133. Yes, the position and lack of value added on the bases hurts him, but just about every projection system would have his current track record as a generational hitting talent. And his one flaw is that he hits a lot of grounders? It almost seems like a joke that fixing/improving on that by a bit is all it takes for him to become great. Doesn't strike out much, walks enough (2021 levels would be even better) and has unteachable raw power and contact ability.
  24. Orgfiller
    Even crazier is in a scenario where this would happen you would assume Gimenez would just get most of the value from defense and baserunning, but he's actually quite ahead by wRC+ over JRam.
  25. Orgfiller
    Yeah, and my argument is, does he need to be? Everyone knows he's throwing sliders all the time and yet most of the time (this game notwithstanding) it's effective.
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