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Dick_Pole

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Everything posted by Dick_Pole

  1. As long as they keep the team colour scheme I'm fine with it.
  2. Connor is on a roll been dropping lots of truth bombs recently. Though I don't see why cities should be held at gunpoint by billionaires to tap into public funds.
  3. Stock comp would be an interesting idea. It wouldn't even be classified as a cash commitment by Rogers for accounting purposes. $22 billion US market cap so they could offer $200 million in stock-based comp that gets granted over time and it would be 1% dilution. Then he has an incentive to be a Rogers spokesman because he wants the stock price up lol. It would honestly be a smart move that if the company figures will add just 1% to the market cap, would be essentially "free". There's lots of ways the corporate finance team could spin this, especially if they were Jays fans.
  4. If Ohtani is using that type of reasoning to make his decision, he will be a free agent for a while. Most teams don't look that good after 2025 commitments run their course. Most teams also don't have nine digits worth of payroll tied up past then either. You could easily flip that around and say the Jays have maximum payroll flexibility, a strong incentive to remain competitive and a proven track record of spending to do so. If Bichette and Guerrero aren't signed here long term, it's 50/50 or better that the Jays don't feel comfortable making those commitments as it is the players not wanting to be here imo. We've transcended past the narrative that the team needs to sign homegrown talent at all costs since the day Vernon Wells was miraculously jettisoned. There's a lot of time between now and spring training 2026 to replenish the farm system with top MLB-level talent. Agreed that for 2024 we shouldn't expect much help from the farm with the possible exception of Tiedemann.
  5. It's like people forget that Gausman was a successful signing in these rants of theirs. Then compare his numbers to Cole and Verlander since the signing and know the Jays DID capture a big fish. How many top pitchers does a fan of one out of 30 teams expect to sign? I guess the complaint is that they didn't pay $300 million for him? I don't get it. It's not like there has been a bumper crop of $300 million FA contracts to say with confidence that the Jays are unlikely to hand one out. Nor would I have been all that happy with the team doling one out on the players that have gotten them. The two teams that lead in that metric - Yankees and Padres - both have seen immediate big problems for their franchises and limited to no playoff success. I'm first in line to demean Atkins for what I think are bad moves and/or poor effort. His performance in free agency hasn't shown me either of those traits.
  6. The average team has a 1/30 chance of getting a certain player or 29/30 of not getting that player. I think the Jays have done a pretty decent job of beating those odds when it comes to acquiring a top free agent they target. The mockery of them always being "in" on someone but failing to acquire them is misplaced.
  7. FWIW Fanduel has the Jays as the 7th most likely destination (and most likely of the AL East teams) for Ohtani at +1300. That's up from 9th a couple of weeks ago. I guess that translates to something like 5% chance if you consider the house cut. Dodgers are +250, so maybe a 25% chance for them. What's also interesting is at the very bottom are the Braves and Cardinals at +7000. Even lower than the +6000 for the 16 teams you'd expect to not be competitive for his services. I'm guessing that these teams or Ohtani have explicitly stated no interest to be lower than all the small market and non-competitive teams.
  8. To make it really fun, they should make every pitch clock reset at a random time interval between 10 and 30 seconds. Allow degenerate gamblers to bet on the number every time.
  9. If the Jays are dumpster diving Canadians, I'd rather Quantrill over Votto. $6M or so plus a marginal prospect isn't that bad for a depth piece starter. Bonus: yet another legacy player
  10. No, connor is definitely right on this one. The whole point of this comp pick was to draft and develop and play and eventually pay your top stars. Do what you're supposed to do as a team. Win. No gaming the system here. Just sucks that Baltimore came along so strong and all their top talent turned out. I mean, the Orioles of 21-22 were no different than the Jays of 18-19 in terms of the level and amount of talent set to graduate to the MLB. Theirs all panned out about as good as they could have hoped while the Jays guys have been serviceable but not great.
  11. People operating in here like the other 29 GMs aren't aware of the relative abundance of pitchers available to hitters right now. "Just trade a pitcher for a position player and backfill pitching through FA" isn't a strategy that's going to work. Except with a small handful of teams that badly need 3-4 pitchers (and it's debatable whether those teams will go the tank route instead) or some time right before spring training where most players are signed and it becomes more obvious that holes need to be filled through trades. Just like the Stroman trade, just like Varsho trade, Atkins is running his beacon of intentions at full blast. Just waiting for the league to fleece him. This is the difference between a guy like him and AA. AA was always out there hustling and kicking the tires, so you never really knew what he was going to do or what his intentions are.
  12. So who looks stupid in this? The player or the GM who acquired him two years into a 100 year $5 billion contract? Cashman is like one of those CEOs of a former blue chip company that gets exposed for being a fraud and the stock price tanks, and desperately clings to power and blames everyone and everything else. Then anyone who called him a genius or at least competent backtracks or pretends it never happened. Yankees aren't going anywhere until he's gone. He's still operating like it's 1998. How anybody can take a look at the Yankees and say "Yup, they'll turn it around" is beyond me. The Yankees could up their payroll to $500 million next year and sign all the biggest FA names and the team will still crater. I really hope Judge and Cole fall off a cliff in 2024 to join the rest of the team in overpaid mediocrity. Cashman will be known as the man who destroyed the Yankees legacy as "America's team".
  13. And most importantly, they won holding their opponents to only 16 points in the 4th quarter
  14. I have not learned my lesson. Took the under 229 plus Barnes and Poetl rebound prop bets. Hopefully Siakam doesn't suck up a whole bunch of them tonight. Celtics game I easily won the under and got my ass beat betting Raptors +9. Not touching -8.5 tonight because who knows what team shows up.
  15. Also, Flynn got some actual minutes and was kind of useful. Nice to see him able to contribute with a coach who doesn't have him on his shitlist. Never understood why the FO drafted Flynn apparently because he was mature and fit into the culture only to be a bench warmer for two years.
  16. At least Barnes killed it on the rebounds, offsetting my other terrible bets. Love Fanduel's ability to bet 14+ rebounds at +750 odds. I wonder if this is the point where I should take my easy under victories at the start of the year and not press my luck that this team really isn't as bad on offense as I thought.
  17. Got the under 225 and prop bets on Barnes and Poetl's rebound totals today. Hopefully I don't jinx them by posting them here.
  18. I think this is just polite lip service, but if this is a real consideration, there is a lot to be worried as a Jays fan. 1. A cheap marketing ploy to mask a mediocre offseason with the casuals is already in the works. 2. The idea that going into spring training that the Jays have room for someone who has been a black hole for 2 years on the roster. I said this before, but Votto is the type of guy you pick up at the deadline, presumably for a bag of balls from whatever non-contending team he's playing on, only if you think he can help at that time and there is no other cheap nor possible option. I gave the Jays signing Dave Parker late in 1991 as an example of this. I think the veteran presence thing late in the season in limited quantities as a depth piece does have merit if it fills a hole created throughout the season due to injury or underperformance. Going into Spring Training with Votto penciled in the roster...is not good.
  19. There are multiple ways to prove the Mariners are run by buffoons.
  20. Clearly this means he sucked at Seattle and any new ballpark will see him raise is stats at home. Could have easily predicted that. Dumbass Seattle. Don't they know the formula for hitting success is Seattle ---> Toronto NEVER the other way around.
  21. Could have used Teoscar's 5 RBI in game two this time around though.
  22. Raptors blowout loss next game confirmed. You guys really can't control yourselves can you? Hours ago the consensus was that the Raptors had a horrible offense. One late game breakout against a fringe at best play-in contender and it's all sunshine and roses.
  23. I'd like Joey Votto on the team in the same way I liked Dave Parker on the team back in 1991. Limited to pinch hitting late in the year and only if the Jays need an extra bat. Hopefully with a 130 OPS+ over that limited span.
  24. It's not the s***** service and expensive prices that turn people off from Rogers. It's that the Jays will be signing Bauer that will push people over the edge. Not one person will leave Rogers if the Jays sign Bauer, mostly because they have no choice. But yeah I know that they likely won't pursue him for this reason.
  25. I understood the intent of your comment perfectly the first time, Jim. It was just lame.
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