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saskjayfan

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Everything posted by saskjayfan

  1. saskjayfan
    Fair enough....might not be a really good comp in our system.
  2. saskjayfan
    Manoah is 22 year old who throws a 100 and has 17 minor league innings under his belt. Dunning throws 92 and has 266 innings in the minors and 34 in the majors last year and has missed a year due to tommy John. I'm not sure that's the best comp. It was only 34 innings, but his numbers looked pretty good. Did Dunning throw harder before his surgery? Are his secondary pitches really good? On the face of it, the trade looks really aggressive from the Sox Side. I love aggression, but this is a little much even for me. I don't know their system though. Do they have a lot of higher end pitching prospects close to the majors?
  3. saskjayfan
    So what's the equivalent of Dane Dunning on the Jays? Anthony Kay? Thomas Hatch? A back end starter with upside to be a mid rotation starter. Hard to judge Dunning coming off tommy John and such a short season. This could turn out pretty decent for the Rangers. It's not like they are going any where next year.
  4. saskjayfan
    They could also keep gurriel and the 3 to 4 wins a season he gives you and just sign Bauer for 30 mil a season for 5 years. A 4 win player making 15 mil over the next 3 years is a valuable commodity for a team that doesn’t have unlimited funds.
  5. saskjayfan
    Rogers stock price is down 8% from pre pandemic levels. I love the enthusiasm and I think they will spend. Like you said we'll see how it plays out. I don't think the dream XMAS scenario plays out, but 40 to 50 mil might happen.
  6. saskjayfan
    you said Lindor, Springer, Wong, another starter and 2 relievers! I think it's more likely we get one of Springer, JTR or Lindor(no Wong) and a starter and a reliever or 2.
  7. saskjayfan
    I'm not sure what that actually means, but we had additional expenses in Buffalo and every team got their TV money. If you're expecting the Jays to add 80 to 90 mil from these levels, you might be disappointed. 40 to 50 mil is far more realistic.
  8. saskjayfan
    They are included now and they count against the luxury tax and they have gone up substantially over the last several years. Most of that 15.5 mil is pension liabilities. They were almost half that number in 2015.
  9. saskjayfan
    Yes, but do you think they will go to all time levels in salary following a year where they lost money?
  10. saskjayfan
    Player benefits are 15.5 mil and minor league salaries are roughly 2.5.
  11. saskjayfan
    well if you sign Wong, trade for Lindor and sign Springer and then sign another starter and 2 relievers you're looking at a payroll of 175 to 180ish mil and Lindor's extension the next year would kick in and add 10 to15 mil although we will be rid of Roark. Seems a tad aggressive. It's not my money though. Spend away!
  12. saskjayfan
    I'm don't think he agrees to an extension prior to free agency for less than 300+ mil. I'd really rather target storey if we were going to go after a short stop. The cost to acquire would be far cheaper and the extension would be less dollars and years.
  13. saskjayfan
    So we're not spending a dime on pitching outside of Ray...lol.
  14. saskjayfan
    Fine, I can capitulate. Jansen's exit velocity wasn't great last year though. Part of the premise in trading Jansen was signing JTR and my belief in Kirk. If we didn't have Kirk it would be a different story. Lynn next year would be a couple win upgrade and his cheap contract was a factor. I think the team could be real contenders in the East. Over 4 years sure Jansen will put up 6 to 8 wins as a floor and could make meaningful improvement and be much better than that. Ideally move Jansen in a package for Darvish or Snell first. We're going to need starting pitching next year to compete. I wouldn't have to throw out these utter lunacy trade ideas if the MLB free agent market was actually moving!
  15. saskjayfan
    It's possible I'm over rating Lynn, but I think you might be over rating Jansen. Lynn has a career 3.62 FIP. Jansen might never be a 2 win player. In 2022 he might be considered a back up who plays 50 games if Kirk passes him. Lynn is a solid 2/3 type pitcher for 9 mil. The mets are paying double that for Stroman. One year for a guy who meaningfully upgrades your rotation at a cost of 2ish mil per win. How are we not in a position to trading valuable futures for one year of an older pitcher? If we signed JTR or a Springer, signed a Paxton and a couple relievers a guy like Lynn could be putting you over the top.
  16. saskjayfan
    Lynn was a 6.8 win pitcher in 2019. Jansen was a 1.4 win player in 2019. 4 years of Jansen(who still has upside) might be worth more, but when you have the depth of catching that we have and a young player in Kirk who might be better than Jansen it adds complexity to the conversation. Add that to the opportunity to get the best catcher in baseball, and I'll make that trade in a heart beat. A go for it move for one year. Lynn at 9.3 and Realmuto at 20 gives you to 5 win players to add to the core with just shy of 30 mil committed. You'd still have 30 to 50 mil potentially to play with to add to a pretty stacked team.
  17. saskjayfan
    There's 2 starters I'd target in a trade. I don't see Snell moving. He would cost a fortune in prospect capital. Darvish is one guy I would target and Lynn is the other guy. Lynn at 9.3 mil gives a lot of flexibility financially to do other things. The Rangers might trade Lynn for a guy like Jansen. I'd give up Jansen and a mid level prospect.
  18. saskjayfan
    Austin Martin is a couple weeks younger than Bo and he's older than Vlad. He should be a quick to the majors guy. He had the off site experience. He could be a guy who comes up as early and mid next year. I'd let Vlad start at 3rd knowing we have Groshans and Martin. I'd be all in on Springer and I wouldn't sleep on Realm.uto. If he's coming at a big enough discount, I do my best to trade Jansen. Still our primary need is pitching! We need to go get at least one starter and one or two relievers.
  19. saskjayfan
    Realmuto's average sprint speed last year was 28.2 feet per second. The previous year it was 28.7. Teoscar was the Jays fastest player last year at 28.3 feet per second. Realmuto would be 2nd. Realmuto's percentile ranking was 83.4 in 2020 and 88.6 the previous year. The dude is one of the faster players in the league...crazy fast for a catcher.
  20. saskjayfan
    I feel like JTR may be more in the 5 and 100 or even 4 and 80 range. I just don’t know who’s going to spend on him if he doesn’t go to the Mets. Nats maybe?
  21. saskjayfan
    His fastball averaged 94.6 MPH. That definitely ticked up the end of the previous year where his velocity had dipped to low 90s. He definitely touched 97 this year. He could have a chance as a reliever.
  22. saskjayfan
    This should point to a real opportunity for the Jays on the free agent market. If only the Mets hadn't been sold, we would have had an even bigger opportunity.
  23. saskjayfan
    Can we get some signings going now! Not only did almost every free agent in the NBA sign within 3 days of free agency opening, but now John Wall has been traded for Russell Westbrook. We could go for just a smidge of the NBA off season excitement.
  24. saskjayfan
    Schwarber was indeed non-tendered. He probably gets an offer if there is DH in the NL.
  25. saskjayfan
    Shaw and Cole non-tendered. Now let's fill those roster spots with upgrades!
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