John_Havok
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Everything posted by John_Havok
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All Skubal has to do is prove he's worth more than the midpoint of 19 and 32 of 25.5. Starting from a point of back-to-back Cy Young awards it feels like he might have a case
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Id laugh if Colorado offered any of these guys close to their asking price just to see the resulting decline. They don't want a specific dollar figure only, they want that specific dollar figure from one of a very select group of teams. -
Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
John_Havok replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Varsho was projected at 9.7 Clement at 4.3 Heineman at 1 All 3 fot higher figures. A nice bonus for getting them to the WS. Just Lauer left to go. Projected at 4.4. If the pattern holds he should be locked in at 4.6-4.7ish -
This is the core of my argument Jim. The financial capacity disparity allows the rich teams to use and take advantage of the benefits of the deferral system (as it is) more than the those without the financial resources. It's excellent that the Dodgers, Jays and large spending teams use the system as it's designed. It's a shame the lower spending teams cannot since it was them the system was designed to assist.
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This doesn't change the reality that the Pirates cant take those same financial risks with multiple players. 1 player... sure, but even then they could never do a near 500 million dollar present value deal like the Dodgers did with Ohtani, let alone the next 5 players they also deferred money for. To say that every team has the exact same resources available to defer money, and take the financial risks associated with deferrals is just not accurate. That's where the deferral system favours the Dodgers. Their downside risk is virtually 0.
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yes. all true. However, the Dodgers know they have 700+ million in revenue every year, allowing them to be certain they can defer pretty much anything they want The Pirates cannot do that.
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Large spending teams have the ability to defer far more money than low spending teams for the same reason they can spend far more money than low spending teams, they just have way more money. It's not the actual deferral process that needs addressing, it's how many deferred contracts you can have on your roster that needs to be limited, as well as the overall % of the contract that can be deferred. That's where the big spenders have their advantage. To paralell the NHL ( I know, sacriligous... ) there are limits to how many contracts you can have on your books that you retain salary on and how much of a percentage you can retain overall.
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which mouth breathing moron asked this in the mlbtraderumour chat? 1:18 Berrios, Schneider, and Adam Macko for Mason Miller. Who says no? Steve Adams 1:18 If that were all it took to get Miller, he'd be a Blue Jay 1:19 Actually, no, he'd be with another club, because another team would happily blow that package out of the water. It's a nonstarter. Berrios has negative trade value. Schneider is a bench piece. Macko might be like a fourth or fifth piece in an actual Miller package, but this doesn't even get the ball rolling.
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The Cardinals have acquired left-hander Justin Bruihl from the Guardians in exchange for cash considerations, according to announcements from both clubs. Bruihl had been designated for assignment by Cleveland last month.
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The signing bonus tax loophole is a big one that allowed the Jaya to give what they did to Vlad and have roughly equivalent taxes despite him playing for Toronto rather than a state with no state tax. Deferrals on the other hand needs to be addressed. Big spending teams can exploit it far better than any lower spending team which is precisely the team it was designed to help. It's helping big spending teams more, which was not the intent.
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All of the big 4 leagues in North America are doing quite well right now. What the main differences are is how they generate their money. NFL is massively driven by their media deals. Something like 65+% of their total revenue is from broadcasting and media rights, and like 15% on ticket revenue, with the rest in the merch, sponsors etc. Contrast that with the NHL and MLB where it's still largely driven by attendance as their main revenue source, with broadcasting rights as a fast-growing source, but still not quite the top. Makes sense when ya think of how few games there are in the NFL and how many fewer tickets can be sold to games vs MLB
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Not at all. I think if you look at the history of all big FA deals, very few players actually provide surplus value in a $-per-WAR sense over the course of the deal. But, everyone knows that. The "worth" comes from the flags that fly forever, and the hopefully positive view of the organization amongst the players where your teams becomes a desired destination and players seek out the opportunity to play there
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While the opinion of the cap ruining hockey is extremely debatable... In hockey there are only 1 level of pro below the NHL where they even have control over a player's development. In baseball there are 5. A team with solid drafting and development could still compete with the biggest spenders with a hard cap because it levels out that teams largest advantage, assuming the lower tier teams were willing to allocate the resources necessary to develop players at the highest level AND the bigger spending teams didn't just reallocate a chunk of what they didn't spend on the roster to also improve their development. A cap floor likely wouldn't change the landscape a HUGE amount, but it would certainly put even more pressure on every team to improve their player development systems.
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This is never how low spending owners think (at least, IMO). If I'm forced to spend 80 million more (random # i pulled out of my ass) than I want to, I want to guarantee the gap between me and the highest spending is as small as possible. The main revenue sharing between teams is local and national revenue streams, not CBT penalties. Plus, CBT doesn't all go to revenue sharing, it also goes to player retirement funds and player benefits.
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Bregman's quad issues from 2021 resurfaced in 2025. Recency issues are still similar. Neither can run well anymore.
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Games played 2021 - 2025 Bo - 673 Bregman - 666 Seems like their recent injury history's are nearly identical.
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Nicholson-Smith: "Not a Lock" Blue Jays Sign a Bat
John_Havok replied to Leo Morgenstern's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
This aged well. BNS really had his finger on the pulse -
Kazuma Okamoto and the Toronto Blue Jays are in agreement
John_Havok replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Feels like another move is coming soon. The IF/OF is getting more crowded by the day Need a DFA also, probably another arm -
I agree, but ownership as a whole would never agree to a floor without a cap. The low budget teams ownership would never accept having to increase their payrolls guaranteed without seeing guarantees that big spending teams have a hard limit.
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I would be shocked beyond belief if a salary floor happened without a hard cap. The two have always gone hand in hand.
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The one and only player interview we got on our old Breaking Blue podcast. Legend
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Yonge and Bloor? Just name the time ya bike
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As is tradition around here, out with old 2025 thread and in with new 2026 version. Lets run it to the World Series again this year boys!
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2 year minor league deal, same as that other dude they just picked up, Enright. Same reason too as Wincky just had internal brace surgery so will be out all of 2026
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Blue Jays, Nic Enright Agree to Minor League Deal
John_Havok replied to Leo Morgenstern's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
No risk signing, probably doesnt move the needle much either way in 2027 but, why not? 54 degree arm angle one of the steeper ones in mlb
