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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    I have a fairly non-scientific approah to this. take last years win totals and then add and subtract around 10 wins to get a decent range of "woulda coulda shoulda" outcomes, check the team to see if anything major occurred that would drastically change anything. If not, expect something roughly similar.
  2. John_Havok
    Oddly enough, SS is Espinals best position so far in limited sample size. 4 OAA in not even 100 attempts. Yes yes i know... small sample, s*** could go either way. Maybe when i said "best" defender, i should have clarified or used a different word. Espinal is above average at 3 different IF positions. He plays them all very well and his versatility makes him far more valuable than he is given credit for.
  3. John_Havok
    Here's the numbers: Chappy career at 3b for OAA - 2523 attempts, 74% success rate with 72% estimated success rate. 50 OAA Espinal career at 3b for OAA - 275 attempts, 75% succes rate with 73% estimated success rate. 4 OAA Sample size differences are large enough that a true comparison isnt really possible, especially without the breakdown of the 1 star to 5 star play ranges that could happen in those extra 2250 attempts
  4. John_Havok
    Big difference between "could win" and "will win" The Jays are very capable of winning 100+, whether they do will depend on many factors that aren't exactly super predictable.
  5. John_Havok
    Yeah, and certainly dont mean to say that Chappy isn't great. I just think Espy is probably his equal if not better, problem is... Espy doesn't have enough stick to play everyday. in the 3 years that Espinal has played, he has been 89th, 90th and 96th percentile as a defender in OAA. That's about as legit as it gets. Just sorted the OAA Leaderboard with minimum 250 attempts from 2020-2022 - the Blue Jays have 4 of the top 30 on their team this season. Varsho(16th with 23), Chapman (21st with 19), Kiermaier(26th with 18) and Espinal (30th with 16). The gap is not huge. Chappy had 1169 fielding attempts, Espinal just 745. Merrifield is 40th on the list also.
  6. John_Havok
    Varsho stung that one too, too bad it was right at the CF.
  7. John_Havok
    Espinal is probably the best defensive IF on the Jays entire roster, yes, even better than Chapman.
  8. John_Havok
    I missed the eye test, but here's the raw data
  9. John_Havok
    Affected Blue Jays games for the Apple TV s*** through June 30th (last half of the season schedule hasn't been finalized yet) Friday, April 21 Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees 7 p.m. ET Friday, May 19 Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays 7 p.m. ET
  10. John_Havok
    I saw this same thing, but I have not seen this number actually verified yet. Would be astounding if accurate.
  11. John_Havok
    It really was completely polar from game to game and day to day. Towards the end though, all the games were pretty great. The only real stain on the WBC this year was the 2 higher profile injuries that people will always whine about, even though both were really just freak accidents.
  12. John_Havok
    Do we have anyone here dumb enough to fall for that?
  13. John_Havok
    This is the lineup I think we see for the majority against RHP. Pretty much bang on what I expected, except that Merrifield and Biggio won't likely be a super strict platoon at 2b
  14. John_Havok
    Ffs, I could have sworn last time I looked they had him at having no options left. He still has all 3 minor league options. Rough day, I just wrote my organic chemistry midterm and had all those nucleophilic substitutions, molecule chirality and radical reactions stuck rattling around in my brain. Don’t mind me, nothing to see here I’m still on team Lopez
  15. John_Havok
    Nootbaar absolutely needs a chocolate bar to be named after him. If not, society has failed.
  16. John_Havok
    I have 2 to identify with now. Lethbridge College Kodiaks and University of Lethbridge Pronghorns. I am both predator and prey.
  17. John_Havok
    I have the same thoughts. His only real plus over Lopez is slightly more power and left handed.
  18. John_Havok
    It's definitely more of a US thing to get all attached to the university or college's athletcis program. People claim to be a Bulldog or a Fighting Irish until they die just because they went to school there. Identifying with the uni sports team just isnt as big a deal in Canada.
  19. John_Havok
    Oh yeah he's on a minor league deal so I guess a DFA wouldnt come into play. He's probably the kind of guy though that could request his release and get it if another team came calling and had a spot for him on their 26 man roster. Or maybe a trade for cash or something other minor leaguer. He's not worth much in trade. Edit... no I was right he is on the 40 man. They cant send him to the minors without exposing him to being claimed, so... he could be DFA'd
  20. John_Havok
    C Carson Kelly of the D-backs will be out a while, Looks like Moreno might be their starter right out of the gate. Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Carson Kelly has suffered a fractured right forearm, manager Torey Lovullo told reporters on Tuesday. Lovullo didn't say how long Kelly would be sidelined with the injury, but it figures to be a lengthy absence. Kelly suffered the injury on Monday when he was struck by a pitch during a spring training game against the White Sox.
  21. John_Havok
    I like Lopez as the 26th man, but Lukes has been impressive and probably deserves a bench role as well. I could see them going with Lukes initially since Lopez has options, and there would still be enough defensive flexibility that the roster wouldn't suffer, but it's really hard to say the Lopez wouldn't be the optimal 26th man given that he can play anywhere with average to above average D, runs well, and might run into a HR every month or so. Lukes for certain has the power edge over Lopez but even then it's probably below average power at the MLB level, but ... with only being an OF, when there's already ... 4 capable CF and 1 corner guy on the roster and he's not better defensively than any of them except probably Biggio... he'd basically be a pinch hitter/runner and never really see the field except in blowouts. I'm on team Lopez, and I wish Lukes the best of luck in grabbing a bench role elsewhere if he ends up getting DFA'd
  22. John_Havok
    Full list of the recent reassignemmets: OF Zach Britton OF Wynton Bernard C Phil Clarke UTIL Ernie Clement LHP Brandon Eisert RHP Julian Fernandez LHP Paul Fry RHP Drew Hutchison RHP Jackson Rees C Andres Sosa Optioned: INF Addison Barger Hutchison appeared in three spring games with the Blue Jays, allowing 15 hits and nine runs over 7.0 innings. He recently sustained a minor oblique strain and was listed as day-to-day. The 32-year-old had a 3-9 record with a 4.53 ERA in 28 games (18 starts) with the Detroit Tigers last season. He spent most of the first four seasons of his career with the Jays, posting a 4.92 ERA over 73 starts. Barger, 23, has impressed during spring training, hitting .294 with one home run and six RBI over 15 games. He slashed .308/.378/.555 with 26 home runs and 91 RBI across the minors last season
  23. John_Havok
    That’s not a given at Votto’s age and him coming off shoulder surgery
  24. John_Havok

    NHL Thread

    John_Havok replied to GD's topic in Other Sports

    I wonder what the lead up to that was. I watched the vid but they only showed about 15 seconds before the fight, Schenn gave him a good crosscheck in the arm and Ehlers went down, play goes on a bit they they go at it. It looked like Schenn was getting some sort of revenge on Ehlers with that crosscheck, but I wonder what Ehlers did first.
  25. John_Havok
    Votto doesnt seem like the kind of guy who would ever ask to be traded either. I remember him saying something like asking for a trade isnt something he would do. And I found the quote, it was from last year. “I have never once in my career asked or even whispered anything like [being traded],” Votto said. “I’ve been loyal to this uniform, to this city, to the contract that I signed. On my side of things, it’s never been something I’ve ever really prompted. I have a responsibility to the person that signs my checks.”
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