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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    CHappy chasing a lot lately. Needs to bring that swing back in the zone
  2. John_Havok
    Varsho! Jonn +2 +1
  3. John_Havok
    If ya cant layoff a fastball at your eye level... this is going to be a 90 minute game
  4. John_Havok
    You were saying ...
  5. John_Havok
    Picking is locked
  6. John_Havok
    To a point... they are. But xFIP is still a decent first glance # for the vast majority of pitchers.
  7. John_Havok
    It's not that you need to have faith in every stat like xFIP you just have to undertand what type of pitcher would typically beat those numbers. Pitchers that have somehow mastered the soft contact result are exactly those types. Knuckleballers fall into that category too. The reason xFIP works well for the majority of pitchers is because most guys haven't figured out the soft contact thing because they can't. Some pitchers get the soft contact results far more often than others due to having mastery of a trick pitch, like a knuckler, or thorwing the kitchen sink like Bassitt where hitters really have no clue what's coming and and up with weak contact. Very few pitchers can do this, and those pitchers also find themselves walking a pretty thin tightrope from being usefull... to useless. It takes one small dip in command and they get annihilated.
  8. John_Havok
    May 12 Vladdy - 1 Point - Dylan Bichette - 1 Point - JohnHavok Chapman - 2 Points - Stangstag Varsho - 2 Points - Jonn Springer - 2 Points - Spanky Belt - 3 Points - JaysAllMighty, JaysBlue Kirk - 4 Points - WryNGinger, wilko Merrifield - 5 Points Kiermaier - 6 Points Off the bench: 10 Points
  9. John_Havok
    Bassitt is the kind of pitcher who would probably always be a beater of those metrics too (xFIP or xwOBA) since he lives by soft contact rather than swing and miss. He'll be that way until he loses that last degree of command that makes his pitches crushable more often.
  10. John_Havok
    Tonights game scares the f*** out of me for the hitters. Only Varsho and Belt have even faced Strider before.
  11. John_Havok
    Horwitz is basically Ryan Noda if you cut Noda's K rate by a third, but also reduce his power by a ton. If Oakland didn't already have Noda, they'd probably give up something for him.
  12. John_Havok
    He wouldn't hold up well at all most likely. We saw what Kirk looked like down the stretch last season and Jansen had 2 month long stretches on the injury list early in the season. Kirk's body type just will not hold up over long periods of being played as a catcher.
  13. John_Havok
    Kirk and Jansen pretty much represent the high floor and high ceiling. I don't think there's much to argue that Kirks floor is higher with his contact ability and average-ish power, whereas Jansen can go on a heater for a few weeks and (if healthy) would be a legit 30 HR threat at his peak, but is also prone to cratering for stretches. Small rolling hills Kirk vs high peaks and low valleys Jansen.
  14. John_Havok
    The way they calculate the average sprint speed is good though. defined as “feet per second in a player’s fastest one-second window” on individual plays. For a player’s seasonal average, the following two types of plays currently qualify for inclusion in Sprint Speed. The best of these runs, approximately two-thirds, are averaged for a player’s seasonal average. * Runs of two bases or more on non-homers, excluding being a runner on second base when an extra base hit happens * Home to first on “topped” or “weakly hit” balls. Basically they only take the plays where players are actually trying to run hard, and average those out.
  15. John_Havok
    And acceleration. Dude seems to get to top speed in 2 or 3 strides.
  16. John_Havok
    Horwitz cannot play a passable OF.
  17. John_Havok
    Exactly. Deciding not to throw when you shouldn't be throing is a surefire way to reduce throwing errors.
  18. John_Havok
    Would make punting Bass very very easy.
  19. John_Havok
    Yes, their pitching will catch up with them eventually but that offense is legitimately nuts. Their defense is also pretty putrid. They're a good team, but its still early enough that variances and luck are playing a role.
  20. John_Havok
    Orioles just took 2/3 from the Rays. Rays keeping up their tradition of beating terrible teams and losing to good ones
  21. John_Havok
    What bad couple of weeks? they've won 4 of the 6 series they've played since leaving Houston.
  22. John_Havok
    Building the farm for a sustainable winner doesnt simply mean keeping every prospect they ever have. It means a combination of keeping them and bringing them up (Bo, Vlad, Kirk, Espinal, Jansen, Biggio, Manoah, Romano, Pearson, Mayza) or trading them for other assets which they did to acquire Berrios and others.
  23. John_Havok
    no no a re-tool.
  24. John_Havok
    Doesnt matter. Harper + Bo = game over
  25. John_Havok
    This is a puzzling move.... tie game in extras and you sub out your best outfielder?
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