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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    It's a unique offseason with Ohtani and Yamamoto slowing everything up at the top end of the market. The teams making all the moves right now are pretty much dumpster diving and trying to grab guys they can trade at the deadline.
  2. John_Havok
    I agree Belli would be the ideal fit, but his contract demands are pretty steep for a guy with enough caution tape on his profile that it looks like a crime scene. I can buy the defense and the baserunning as being above average, I’m not sure I’m sold on the bat being exactly what it was last season or better. Maybe he’s found a system that works for him where he’s able to put far more balls on play at lower EVs but still let loose on the cookies he gets. He’s definitely a risky signing but it could pay off pretty well also
  3. John_Havok
    Yeah, looking at most fans comments online you'd think Gurriel Jr re-signing in Arizona was worse than the Jays missing out on Ohtani.
  4. John_Havok
    Why do I get the feeling that a "walk in Gaia with the balancing pup" is a euphemism for an acid trip
  5. John_Havok
    well you havent came up with an remotely plausible one, they're pretty easy to dismiss.
  6. John_Havok
    Analysis of stats been around for 80 years, it's just advanced exponentially in the past 20-30 thanks in large part to advances in technology and expanding how people look at the game, especially using economic strategies like the Moneyball line about front offices should be looking to buy runs, not players, and realizing where those runs actually came from. A relatively simple shift in that school of thought changed MLB drastically.
  7. John_Havok
    Naw just simply looking at the peripherals, and noticing the same flaws in both guys from a hitting standpoint. Both whiff alot, both make loud contact when they connect. Teo probably still has a higher upside bat only, but Chappy has a higher floor with the bat and a clear edge everywhere else. Their careers are kind of mirror images of each other's with the bat. Chappy was far better in his first few seasons and dropped off the most recent 3 (clearly injury related), Teo is the opposite but relatively injury free. Both have nearly identical career WRC+
  8. John_Havok
    I think a good comparable of Teo, when you’re looking at risk profile is Chapman. High whiffs, high K, big power and loud contact when he does connect. Thing is, Chapman walks at double the rate,still runs the bases well and is a major plus on D. Teo is average D at best, (likely below average) and still bad baserunner. He’s a passable option if every other well of options runs dry but he wouldn’t be a priority get for me. I don’t even know if I’d want to give him Gurriel Jr money tbh. May end up having to, but I think a 1 year pillow deal might be the better option, with a club option or something.
  9. John_Havok
    It’s probably some nuance that’s missing from the explanation, you know how people listen to one thing but interpret it slightly different. To me it sounds like Whit was going to the plate with a 2 strike approach, whereas the Jays preached waiting until 2 strikes for that approach. That doesn’t seem overly egregious, but if that’s the mindset Whit has and it has been working (I didn’t look up any stats yet to see what his numbers actually are with RISP or “clutch” situations) then it would be foolish to mess with the mindset of its working. However, if it clearly wasn’t working, the coach needs to be able to show the numbers, “I see what you mean Whit but, look at these numbers, that approach hasn’t actually been working for you overall, so if you try it this way, we think you’ll be more successful” I’m not really a fan of a one-size-fits-all approach to hitting. There are general truths of course, but I certainly wouldn’t coach Espinal and Vlad Jr to try and do the same thing. same with Bichette, he’s just too different from everyone else in what works for him.
  10. John_Havok
    Being from Newfoundland is not a disability!
  11. John_Havok
    I guess it depends how much you believe in his career season being repeated a few more times. I'm not a believer personally, as I think his bat will be okay but his D will likely regress and baserunning will continue to be bad. He going into his age 30 season, but realistically he'll be 30 and a half before the season even starts. If that contact is what a 1.5 WAR projection is worth, I wish them luck. To me it seems like a playoff run overpay
  12. John_Havok
    We’re the Dodgers also suffering from desperation?
  13. John_Havok
    This board is part of his ongoing therapy regimen. Go easy on him.
  14. John_Havok
    Trade bait for the deadline, just like Will Smith and Stratton
  15. John_Havok
    Flaherty signing for 14 million to Detroit makes all the sense in the world for him, there’s no reason for the Jays to take that risk for Flaherty to be a #5. Manoah can be just as s***** for league minimum, or a shitload better with even a 50% return to previous form
  16. John_Havok
    Now I’ve seen everything, Tampa giving cash to the Dodgers in a trade. Friedman is a bigger GM ninja than AA.
  17. John_Havok
    I’d totally wear that jacket and shorts…it’s the shoes that really f*** up that look.
  18. John_Havok
    I think you missed the hint of sarcasm there
  19. John_Havok
    Teo also had the worst rates of all the bad hitters peripherals of his career last year. And for a guy with bad D and bad baserunning, it’s enough to create a lot of pause before signing him
  20. John_Havok
    Yeah watch it end up being 350 million in real dollars but like 210 for luxury tax purposes. Gotta hand it to them for taking advantage
  21. John_Havok
    He was placed on waivers and claimed 2 weeks ago.
  22. John_Havok
    Yeah but Sasaki won’t be like the usual postings we see since he would be under 25. He’d be subject to the annual international spending caps.
  23. John_Havok
    For Ohtani it’s about being paid little now in order to put a winning product on the field. The incredible side benefit being that he’s going to sidestep American income taxes on 97% of his salary over the next 20 years. For the Dodgers, it’s about paying a guy less and later for what he gives you now, and the side benefit is absolutely about boning the luxury tax system.
  24. John_Havok
    It does count, it's just spread out over more years
  25. John_Havok
    Not sure what the actual benefits are for a tennis player to have their residences in Dubai or wherever, but if they win prize money in a country, they pay taxes to that country on the winnings. Their residence country may have some tax agreements with certain countries that make tax rates different or something, but they do get taxed in the country they win any money in. I'm looking forward to the tax article someone is going to write in the next day or two explaining how this will work for Ohtani when he leaves California with 97% of his salary being unpaid and untaxed at the state and federal levels. Edit*** So, yes, places like Dubai and Monaco, they have 0 taxes to so they owe no additional taxes to those countries after they pay taxes to the country they won their money in.
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