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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    With Rivera gone the "mistakes" from 3rd have already been cut by 80%
  2. John_Havok
    They're also considering mound visits being reduced to 4 from 5
  3. John_Havok
    That's just one of those statements that is technically true, but the devil is in the details. a ton of the income Rogers takes is undoubtedly related to the Jays and the massive exposure the Rogers brand gets from owning them and the network
  4. John_Havok
    Hopefully Espinal Parsons, Heineman and maybe Lukes?
  5. John_Havok
    Well salary dump yes, but he also has been straight trash. His xFIP is awful. I'd still consider claiming him but I'd also probably try to DFA him right away to send to AAA
  6. John_Havok
    Yes, i had considered that the way it could work would be signing a great FA pitcher with Kikuchi then being the defacto 5...however that still leaves a problem with depth IF a trade of Manoah happens for a bat. Then you're still looking at scrap heap minor league deals where guys know they have virtually no shot at a major league job unless someone gets hurt. Not the worst situation to be in I guess, but when that's the case you don't get to pick and choose the signees, you get to pick the leftovers in January/Feb nobody else wanted. I think in that kind of scenario it would make more sense to sign both a big name starter and another middling guy and trade Kikuchi for a bat while his value is higher, keeping Manoah to pitch at AAA alongside Tiedemann and whomever else they can scrounge up. And yes Ohtani signing would be so huge. It's probably pipe dreaming, but the marketing he could be a part of for Rogers would be unparalleled
  7. John_Havok
    Generally true but, the Jays only need 1 ML arm, the depth they are looking for right now are guys that would sign minor league deals and come to ST to compete for the 5 spot. Trading Manoah doesn't really change that since Manoah is far from guaranteed to have the 5 spot locked down. Trading Manoah just means now you're still looking for a 4-5 and then multiple minor league deals. It would make more sense to trade Kikuchi for a bat and then fill his spot with the free agent market given what's out there
  8. John_Havok
    The thing is, Ohtani fits so perfectly with the Jays needs both this year and beyond that it makes a ton of sense for Rogers to back up a dump truck full of cash on Ohtani's doorstep and dare him to say no
  9. John_Havok
    Naw, just wondering how long it will take MLB to correct the obvious gaming of the system, like they did back when teams got to the Type A/B free agency thing. Anthopoulos in Toronto was a perfect example but there were many others. MLB realized there was a problem and corrected it. It could be something simple like if you get the extra pick for the rookie thing, you forfeit your competitive balance pick(s) or something.
  10. John_Havok
    Lol, so a team that won 100 games will now get what… 4 picks in the top 40? Keep ‘em rolling in, it’s the only way they’ll ever compete
  11. John_Havok
    That is a problem yes. That's why I envision a very quiet offseason on the trade front. They'll be a few FA signings but nothing exceptional and maybe a few stop gaps picked up. Unless there's a blockbuster trade that nobody sees coming...
  12. John_Havok
    This is true, but I really dislike the idea of trading Manoah right now unless it's a clear win in return. The rotation depth of the Jays right now is pretty thin. Sure they can roll out 1-4 with the best of the teams in baseball but past that it's Manoah, Tiedemann and Francis in house, and Van Eyk if you really squint and get desperate. Trading away from that already thin depth wouldn't be wise imo.
  13. John_Havok
    Well yeah, you're not delusional
  14. John_Havok
    Oh stop pretending like it matters to ya. Newfies have thicker skin than that b'y!
  15. John_Havok
    Semantics and details are two very different things
  16. John_Havok
    I think the whiff rate is more yellow than red at this point since it’s definitely better than his first few post injury seasons, but worse than his excellent seasons. If we had access to the bat speed data Tango was working on recently, it would be easier to categorize. I noticed though that his in zone swing rate was down, out of zone swing rate was up. I think his swing decisions are largely responsible for part of the whiff issues, swing at more strikes, whiff rate probably goes down.
  17. John_Havok
    I don’t think I’d want him at 6/150 either, even though one could comfortably argue that’s what his value would be given his performance. But them one could argue the other way also and expect age related decline both offensively and defensively. Those are valid arguments against. A non-valid argument is saying Chapman is a “no-bat” 3b.
  18. John_Havok
    It’s really just a symptom of how fans perceive offensive value vs defensive value. Fans perceive offense to be far more important than defense because it’s easier to see where the value comes from. There is some truth to that too since a guy who puts up a 7fwar season will almost always have more value from offense than defense. It’s just that guys like Chapman, because they’re so prolific on defense and just “above average” with the bat, it’s difficult for fans to understand why he would be worth 150million over 6 years, when defense has always been cheaper to acquire. If you ran polls with fans, you’d probably find they’d rather have stellar offense with below average D over stellar D with above average offense. I can’t really say that’s wrong… but if at the end of the season the overall values end up similar, how can one argue that player B shouldn’t get as much as player A?
  19. John_Havok
    This is the first good burn I’ve seen from you in months.
  20. John_Havok
    You have an odd definition of "no bat" if Chapman is in that category for you
  21. John_Havok
    f***in herpes man….
  22. John_Havok
    I doubt there was more than 5 posters here who even knew there was a guy named Lantigua in the system, let alone which level he was at or his stats. I figured they might have added him to the 40 man via before the rule 5 draft but I guess not.
  23. John_Havok
    Yeah, i think the "priority" just refers to them figuring out their line in the sand regarding him first, before focusing elsewhere. I'd put the chances of Chappy returning to the Jays at like 5% or lower.
  24. John_Havok
    He managed Texas for 8 years and was there for their WS appearances in 2010 and 2011, so ... he'll probably do okay. Second time around he's probably learned a few things. If I remember rightly, he only stepped down from Texas due to wanting/needing to reconcile with his family after cheating on his wife with a reporter and that wasn't going to happen with him as a full time MLB manager.
  25. John_Havok
    Not a be-all-end-all… but, when HRs happen, runs are scored 100% of the time. Horwitz is trending to be the 0 calorie lite version of John Olerud lite. Maybe what…12-14 HR at the MLB level projection right now over a full season? He’d have to hit a shitload of doubles to even be 2-3 fWAR given his positional defense and lack of baserunning value. Think Nate Lowe 2023 but with even less power and probably worse defense….as his ceiling. Lowe hit 17 HRs, 38 doubles. Horwitz would need to hit 50+ doubles to even keep that level of offense up.
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