Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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2019 World Series - Astros vs. Nationals
Laika replied to Ex Player's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I don't think this is going to change anything - the Nats built a very expensive and fragile roster and it worked out but it was so f***ing lucky. They won the lottery when it comes to avoiding significant injuries to good players. They had essentially no good players suffer a significant injury this year, unless I am forgetting something. Rendon, Soto, Robles, and even Adam f***ing Eaton all got 617+ PA. Trea Turner broke a finger and missed a couple of weeks. Their top 4 pitchers all made 27+ starts and Strasburg/Corbin had clean seasons. We've seen teams built like this in the past - expensive, old, good, and thin - and it very rarely works out. One quad strain for Rendon plus some elbow inflammation for Corbin and they might not even make the playoffs. This is not a template and it should not / will not alter any trends. -
No, he is not enough of an upgrade over Rowdy Tellez.
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Fun fact from elsewhere: only four NHL teams have a power play % beginning with a 3. Boston (36%) Edmonton (33%) NYI (30%) Ottawa (3.7%)
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Steamer ® on Fangraphs is rest of season Steamer. It’s a model of the projection that updates with in season data. At this point it’s, as far as I know, the best thing to look at if you just want to see a decent 2020 projection (rate stats)
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As far as roster construction goes the importance of positional versatility decreases as the quality of the bat increases. Smoak projects to be about 10% better than a league average hitter - you could reasonably do as good as that by platooning versatile players through a 1B/DH position. Edwin projects to be about 27% better than a league average hitter - it still might make sense to go with more versatile bats, depending on how well they can hit, but it's likely that prioritizing positional versatility over someone that good at hitting would mean sacrificing offense. Thinking about signing those two players is not a congruent decision making process
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MLB considering large reduction in number of minor league teams
Laika replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
It’s not readily apparent that the draft even needs to shrink. Every team could lose an affiliate, the intake of players into the orgs could be kept essentially at the same volume, and teams could just adjust by releasing players more quickly when they suck in the low minors and promoting succeeding players a wee bit more aggressively. Basically, you just turn up the tempo on the whole system. The same amount of kids enter but the fat falls off more quickly. So much of an mlb org’s minor league system is dead weight and roster filler - guys who have no chance of making it and are arguably being taken advantage of by teams preying on their hopeless MLB dreams so they work for slave wages and support the games for actual prospects -
MLB considering large reduction in number of minor league teams
Laika replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Honestly it makes all the sense in the world. -
I'm not, he's just a great target A long term commitment to someone like Nick Catellanos could actually be a terrible idea. I could see him being a below average position player There are no viable 1B/DH options on the projected roster aside from Vlad. Just a handful of poorly projected OF or Util types who could cycle through the open position.
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And we're back to being agist. Taking playing time from Rowdy should be completely irrelevant. It's a wide open roster spot. You're basically saying you'd rather punt it than have Edwin there. Asinine.
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I mean you think a club coming off a 95 loss season would need to make obvious, clear upgrades but I guess not?
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Those are the mid-point of pre-2019, three year projections (from an outdated projection model that is one of the worst). So they mean less than nothing. It's not just vacuous numbers - those actually represent information of negative value. Referencing them does harm to the discourse. At this point, I will assume that Rowdy's dad is paying you to pump up his tires online or something.
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I will not rest until Rowdy Tellez is off. the. f***ing. roster. He is a human symbol of all of the wrong (risk-averse, pussy-assed) decisions the FO could make in the future. If he is on the 2020 roster we all might as well abandon the organization with our fandom. It will be a canary in the coal mine moment. One fat, lumbering, replacement level canary.
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Jim, a 91 wRC+ in any season for a 1B/DH is f***ing horrendous. It's a "go to the KBO you plug" level of production.
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It's also possible that TJ Zoinks could improve while [insert any SP target] falls off a cliff. Don't sign anybody!
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Pointing to Edwin's age as the biggest reason to not acquire him is extremely narrow-minded, and consequently quite stupid. Tellez projected wRC+ is like 95 Edwin's is like 127 Projections factor in the aging curve You're looking at a projected 2-2.5 win upgrade, over a replacement level player and arguably the 2020 Blue Jays' worst projected position. And Edwin's age makes the potential acquisition one of the most efficient imaginable (there is essentially zero downside). Also would be a huge PR win for whatever that's worth. Further, any argument like "they should spend on pitching instead" is f***ing stupid. The team has one of the lowest payrolls in baseball - there is zero reason to limit spending to certain portions of the team. Spend all over and upgrade the team in any way possible.
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Ensuring that competitors actually have to pay market rates for talent is itself a good reason to bid. Or we can just say that only losers try, and continue to watch teams like New York and Houston kidnap talent like Brantley, DJL, etc.
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Could not disagree more. Have a nice weekend, Jim.
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The best thing about a 37 year old is that he probably only takes a one year deal. It’s a win win. Upgrade on Tellez, good PR move, short term commitment. Edwin was pretty good this year. Don’t be agist. There is essentially no reason not to do it... although Rogers will find $15M reasons not to do it probably.
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Is this an inside joke or do you not know your punctuation?
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He can’t be because he wasn’t taken 17th overall also that's racist
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He’d be a star. Even if he’s just a shittier version of Hamilton the draft pick would be a resounding success
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Yup - what you have done is an order of magnitude sadder than what BTS did and the irony is wonderful. Dunking on stupid Fangraphs writers is entertaining though!
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Amazing. He spiked the Beede bold prediction!
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* Jules Mayweather
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ALCS Series GDT - New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
Laika replied to Orgfiller's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
As opposed to not regretting blowing a playoff game?
