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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Well I have quoted the decree by BTS. I am not sure about the order of discussions.
  2. Demotions are now sort of possible in our leagues now that we are in Fantrax. The threshold is simply that players cannot be MiLB keepers in the spring if they have at least 1000 PA or 50 (GS + half of relief appearances). But you can put a green flag player in your minors.
  3. Nothing wrong with a top 4 OF of Senzel, Winker, Aquino, Akiyama. A few big injury/failure risks there so I doubt anyone will end up blocked. Being said I would 110% sell Aquino if I was running the Reds. Sell sell sell sell sell sell sell. Kind of sucks for VanMeter to get squeezed like that, you'd think that a .455 wOBA in AAA would earn a guy some rope but I guess not in 2019/2020.
  4. Pick #55 in 2016 Cleveland picked Nolan Jones who is now a top 50 prospect. Cleveland didn't ask for anything for Atkins even though they would have been entitled under the CBA. That should have been a pink flag.
  5. Not sure if this post is supposed to be funny, but you ordered a wife off Slovenian Kijiji and then she just used you to get to America before predictably divorcing you and that is f***ing hilarious. Pure alpha move, dude.
  6. They really need to fix this in the next CBA. It's crazy that things like executives moving teams have anything to do with draft pick compensation, but he we are. f***ing Manfred.
  7. Larry Walker is going to make it, isn't he?
  8. I was asked about removing the compensation for player deaths (etc.) provisions. Seemed like a vote situation so I started a poll in Fantrax on it.
  9. Yeah we haven't decided how to track them on Fantrax yet. Still on the spreadsheet. Although we could probably just add a list to the Notes or Articles section.
  10. fWAR is starting point and works for most pitchers in most contexts but it’s far from perfect. For example it would underrate RA Dickey by like 50%. And I am kind of a dick
  11. Historically, sure. Although teams don't get awarded wins based on FIP. Going forward - lots of questions.
  12. You should research how baseball reference and fangraphs calculate WAR differently. You should always look at both versions for pitchers and turn your brain on for five seconds during that process.
  13. Mike Fiers has 8.0 RA9-WAR in the last two years compared to 3.3 for Porcello. bWAR is 6.3 to 4.3 fWAR 3.1 to 4.2 Mike Fiers might be good! f*** Steamer. I'll take, uh, neither in fantasy though.
  14. No that was the old CBA
  15. Really? f***, I did not know that
  16. Nope. Dodgers get that pick now.
  17. What’s his role and who does he bump? -12 outfielder in his career. Sucked in 2018 too. Outside of his one strong season he has like 1 total WAR in parts of four years. I think he’s just one of those guys that only seems exciting ostensibly and it’s due to previous fantasy baseball value and perceived upside
  18. The moves this offseason are just a response to their situation, nothing wrong with the moves though. Dickerson is a good deal in a nutshell. Matt Kemp won't play. Nothing wrong with making Garret Cooper fight for playing time. None of these acquisitions are really blocking anyone - there will be plenty of playing time in Miami.
  19. Unless he has a strong 2020 with zero health blips, Paxton will probably be thought of much like Ryu was. Great pitcher but age + lack of a durability track record will limit the amount of risks teams want to take. That's market dependent though. If Paxton is the most attractive arm on the market the story is different.
  20. I don't get how it's even close. Ozuna has demonstrated 5 WAR upside and actually has the best single offensive season of the two. He's worth twice as much as Castellanos so if the money is close it's a no-brainer.
  21. 2005 team had 80 wins but deserved 88 wins by run differential. Unluckiest team in the league. 16-31 in one run games - worst in the league! 2008 had 86 wins but deserved 93! Again, tied for the unluckiest team in the league.
  22. Well I couched the statement as "almost by definition" because there are rare exceptions for exceptional players or players who have had skill changes, etc. None of those apply to the Marlins deal. Stanton is an exceptional player but his contract is also unique in that there is, or at least was, an expectation that he will opt out after 2020. It's actually part of the deal that if he does NOT opt out Miami has to pay the Yankees like a $30M penalty.
  23. Reyes and Buehrle were free agent contracts. Almost by definition they projected to have no surplus value; they were each non-assets in a nutshell. Johnson was the only one who realistically could have brought the Blue Jays some trade profit, if he beasted in 2013 like he had in two or three prior seasons. If Toronto tried to trade Ryu right now and asked for nothing in return they would get no interest. Non-asset. Reyes and Buehrle were the same thing. It's definitely not just hindsight. Many people (mostly here, it seemed) panned the trade from the jump, realizing how bad it was on paper and pointing out that AA was likely just setting money and prospects on fire. To me the trade only ever represented that our front office was kind of stupid and way behind the times. Some people like you didn't like the trade but were excited to watch the players / were excited that the team was trying to win. It's actually a small miracle that the team ended up making the playoffs in two subsequent years after such a disaster. Goes to show that you do not need to be anything close to perfect to win in the AL East anymore.
  24. Johnson was arguably the main point of the trade for Toronto. I doubt it would have happened at all without him. God that trade was so obviously horrendous from day 1
  25. Doesn't really change anything. He probably wouldn't have debuted but look at every other college SP from 2018: Gilbert - reached AA in 2019 Singer - AA Bubic - A+ Lynch - A+ Kowar - AA McClanahan - AA Rolison - A+
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