Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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Wacha's K/BB was great in 2020.
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
Laika replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Biggio's top ZiPS comparison this year was actually Lou Whitaker, which is pretty cool. The K rate might not track but a lot of other things seem to. -
^^ I guess the Sandlot plot is based on the Mazeroski ball?
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If JTR is truly asking for $200m then his agent probably f***ed him out of like $30m+. How do they not read the market and just take the Mets best offer? Chance they got greedy, lost the Mets, and now will have to settle for like $90M from the Phillies or something.
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I think Toronto has JO high enough on their preference list. They wanted him last year.
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Odorizzi should be better than Walker. There are a number of buy-lows and old guys: Kluber, Quintana, Porcello, Archer, Richards, Happ, Shoemaker, Dick Mountain, etc. Whether any of them are preferable to Walker is hard to say. I am not a huge fan of Walker's indicators from 2020 but he is the youngest option (him, Rodon, and Aaron Sanchez are all 28).
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Lots of *******s are in the Hall of Fame. I don't see why that is a good argument for letting in huge *******s going forward. Don't talk to me about "precedent" unless I am wearing my wig.
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No but it seems like Toronto has loftier targets than Walker, and Walker might be looking for too much money. He might end up with Toronto if they both are super sad and take their 10th choice to 2021 prom.
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I have always thought the Hall of Fame should be a historical place and it should have a separate wing for these delinquents. Elect them because they are great players and their stats warrant election, but do it under a separate ballot, don't give them a speech, and record the controversy on the same plaque as you record their accomplishments. Some of these guys legitimately don't "deserve" to be in the clean wing of the Hall. Schilling is not kept out because of his politics - he is kept out because he is objectively a nasty, intolerant loser. Mariano Rivera is one of the most conservative people imaginable but he's not a POS so he was a unanimous selection.
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I also like Stripling but I'm not sure it's fair the say that he was a strong middle rotation starter for a contending team. There were parts of seasons where he looked like that, but he also pitched out of the pen a lot and in a lot of starts he was not asked to go deep. The way for the Blue Jays to optimize Stripling might be to use him in the exact same way.
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When MikeM says "there are a lot more proven MLB arms out there" I don't think he realizes how quickly the SP list thins out. To me it's Bauer, big gap, Tanaka and the risky Paxton, big gap, and then a bunch of players who you can clearly prefer Sugano to consider cost.
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Sugano and all the recent Japanese pitchers to come over. NPB stats. Is it possible he has the best command profile of any of them?
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Yamaguchi was significantly worse in NPB than Sugano: (Sugano on the right) 3.75 vs 2.63 RA9 0.8 vs 0.6 HR/9 2.54 vs. 4.58 K/BB 1.24 vs. 1.03 WHIP Sugano has never had a BB/9 over 2.1. Gooch never had one below 2.7. Completely different pitcher archetypes. Sugano is a pure SP who can pitching and control the zone. Gooch wasn't even a starter his entire career in Japan; he is a pitcher with shotgun command but effective secondaries (at least they were in Japan). It's silly to try to project a player based on one comp anyway, but if you're going to you don't just comp two completely different types of pitchers. It's silly to look at positive comps too but at least Sugano's numbers are a lot closer to Maeda or Tanaka's in NPB. Note that even Kikuchi's career NPB stats are worse at a glance than Sugano's...
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If Gausman is this good going forward he could be one of the best SP available at the deadline.
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You need to stop listening to these radio stations, lmao.
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Yeah but they still say heyyyy
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
Laika replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
They are talking about high school. I think he went to a private high school so probably not "big time Texas football" Regardless, Biggio might be a good anecdote for not making kids focus on one sport. He played baseball and football all through high school - that was probably great for his athleticism, generally speaking, and his sports brain (save and except any concussions or brain injuries!). I know this is a bit ironic but if all he does through high school is play baseball, does he still do all these little things right and perform beyond his physical tools? -
Sugano probably signs first though Can't see the Yankees moving on to secondary targets while DJL and Bauer are still possibilities. I dunno though.
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General 2020 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
Laika replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
He hasn't played off of 2B long enough for any of those numbers to matter. He's crazy smart on the field. There's really no doubt in my mind that he could play various positions adequately.... remains to be seen whether he has the pure speed for CF or the arm for 3B, though, if we are talking about him being average or better at either of those -
Will probably just leave it because our in-season qualification numbers are pretty low. 10 and 3.
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The Dahl steamer projection does not pass the sniff test for me. He was above replacement level for three years, then bad for 24 games in 2020, and he's a pre-prime player. ZiPS says 0.7 fWAR in 429 PA and a 101 OPS+ which seems more reasonable to me but is still mediocre enough to support connorp's point. I think $3M is a little bit light based on the potential. If he was a free agent coming over from the KBO with no domestic track record I bet he gets more money. But MLB teams are probably anchored to the arbitration projections, in a bit of unspoken or subconscious collusion.
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For the record, nothing remotely interesting was stifled.
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Really not interested in knee jerk opinions about the Cleveland name change. The team is doing it after years of deliberation, everybody has their thoughts about racism and team names... I don't see how anything bemoaning the change typed onto this message board ends up being positive so I'll be liberally deleting any posts complaining about it
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In a league with a healthier labour dynamic the decision was made months ago with no deliberation. There are probably like five total stakeholders who don't want the universal DH in 2021... a minority of NL owners and Madison Bumgarner
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So the Rangers must love Lowe. His MiLB numbers were bananas... but so were AJ Reed's.
