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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. I trust Mark. I believe in Ross.
  2. Most serious suggestions have them then flipping a catcher or two in trade. It's a little too convoluted for me to give it serious consideration. I think this front office is "open to anything" and they are probably laying the groundwork just in case for some big move that has them signing Realmuto and flipping Jansen or Kirk, but that has to just be soooooo far down the list of things likely to happen. They'd have to miss out on a lot of free agents and for some reason feel like they need to spend big money this offseason (use or lose it budget confidence? I dunno).
  3. I really think Eno is right - Toronto is keeping tabs on all of the bats because they want to be able to catch a nice deal at the end of the offseason, if there is such a deal. I don't really think Toronto is going to go hard for any of these big bats. I do think they will spend, I just think it will be distributed - something like Sugano, Justin Turner, and a nice reliever or two. They are in on everyone because they have roster flexibility. The players they end up with will be the guys who are willing to sign value contracts.
  4. Pretty interesting that Eno even has Sugano in his top 10 free agents list. Comps him to Tanaka, says his outcome range is #2 SP to #4 SP.
  5. Tomoyuki Sugano, Starting Pitcher Though there are a fair number of similarities between right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano, who just posted from the Yomiuri Giants in Japan, and Tanaka — they had near-identical NPB stats, and Sugano is a slider-first guy with a good split-finger — there are two key differences. The first is that Sugano hasn’t played in America with the ball the way it is now. That means there’s more variance to his outcomes, which is both good and bad — he could be better than Tanaka; he could be worse. That variance might make him more attractive to a team willing to roll the dice that they get a No. 2 starter at a No. 4 price. The other is that the posting fee is not counted towards the luxury tax, which means that teams close to the luxury tax are incentivized to go get a player like this. That would normally mean that Sugano would be headed for a team like the Yankees, Cubs, Dodgers, or Red Sox. Here’s the thing, though: The only team within $30 million of the luxury tax is the Dodgers, who have the big leagues’ second-best starting rotation by projections, and boast Rookie of the Year candidate Tony Gonsolin as a sixth starter right now. And they’re so close that if Sugano ends up costing what the crowd has projected on Jon Becker’s aggregations, they wouldn’t have much wiggle room to sign a third baseman afterward. So maybe we can focus on teams that would be interested in potentially adding a No. 2 starter at a below-average cost. That sounds like Toronto and San Diego here. Are there aspects of those cities that might matter? The team? Or will it just be who is willing to spend the most money? This will be fascinating to follow, but it seems as if there are probably four finalists right now. Finalists: Padres, Blue Jays, Yankees, Dodgers Winner: Blue Jays sign Tomoyuki Sugano to a five-year, $50 million contract, plus a $9.4 million posting fee
  6. Voldemort
  7. Yeah I was just looking at the stats for the three Rangers prospects and it's easy to imagine them all becoming good players. Frigging Tampa Bay.
  8. I dunno, those type of trades will still happen. Hindsight just makes some of them look horrendous. The White Sox just traded six years of a SP who projects for 2.4 fWAR in 2020 for one year of a SP who will make $9M and projects for 3.2 fWAR in 2020. Imagine how bad that trade will look if Dane Dunning improves?
  9. So weird. The Phillies look like a current product of Dombroski, not a team that would be looking to hire him.
  10. Scorched earth needs to include the front office and probably ownership. Sell the whole team. A lot of the Rockies terrible FA signings in past years smell like ownership meddling, at least to me...
  11. Yeah they have to go scorched earth - I see no other way, especially in that division where the Padres will be good for years.
  12. On this subject of terrible organizations...
  13. Looks like he made an error, struck out, hit a hard RBI single.
  14. And Emerson Hancock. They have a fantastic farm system, no doubt, but it doesn't take much for a prospect crop to disappoint. If Gilbert blows his arm out and Kelenic or Rodriguez end up as just an average player that probably normalizes the whole crop. Noelvi Marte is a high risk prospect even right now and Rodriguez is far enough away that he has to be considered at least moderate risk. Toronto had a similar crop a year or two ago: Vlad and Bo were comparable to Rodriguez and Kelenic. You could probably have comped Marte to someone to Groshans in context. Pearson might have been better than any of their current P prospects.
  15. Yeah the automated emails are the main plus. It's also nice to have everything in one place though - you don't need to look at the free agent list, your pre-rankings, the draft order, and this BJMB, all in separate places.
  16. But I really like the front office's gumption!
  17. Narrator: The Mariners would win 61 games in 2010. With the 2nd overall pick in the 2011 draft they selected Danny Hultzen, who would never throw an MLB pitch for Seattle.
  18. #6 org https://blogs.fangraphs.com/organizational-rankings-6-seattle/ LOL check the top comment on this article with the number of downvotes
  19. I don't think the Jays even want Realmuto.
  20. It's true, the M's should be in the first category. Big losers. I forgot how high some of their recent payrolls were
  21. Angels Rockies Orioles Pirates Debatable: Reds Tigers Marlins Mariners Rangers Mets Diamondbacks
  22. TBH I kind of enjoy the endless suffering of the Angels. Baseball needs loser teams and there are only, what, five true loser franchises right now? I do hope Mike Trout gets traded and wins a world series when he's 37 though.
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