Cal Quantrill and Gavin Lux and Dylan Carlson, all disappointments in their own right, are like the 2nd to 4th best players taken in R1.
Will Smith the only standout.
Could be an 80 to 90% failure rate in the first round based on your line in the sand.
There are three players in the 2nd round better than all the players in the first round! Bo, Reynolds, and Alonso.