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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Qualified catcher seasons since 1990 where the catcher was 23 or younger and was an above average hitter 1994 Pudge 112 wRC+ 1997 Kendall 119 wRC+ 2005 Mauer 108 wRC+ 2006 Mauer 141 wRC+ 2013 Sal Perez 106 wRC+ 2022 Kirk 129 wRC+ look at this f***ing company, lol. hall of famer, probable hall of famer, 37 WAR career catcher, and then the worst of them is a 7x all star you simply do not trade this guy unless the piece coming back is also a young player under control for many years who has a chance to be SPECIAL
  2. For Garcia he's basically projected to be the almost exactly the same as 2022 so I buy that 100%. He doesn't have amazing stuff so I don't think there is any breakout potential. I don't know why anyone would expect less than those projections from Kirk. He's one of the best hitting prospects to come up this millennium, based on stats alone. And he just turned 24 this week. Happy birthday Kirk!
  3. It's incredibly easy to make this too. 1. Pull the guaranteed money from Baseball Reference. 1a. If player is not guaranteed, just make up a salary for their arb years based on their WAR projection. 2. Project WAR across years of control. You can just use Steamer for the upcoming year and then age based adjustments. 3. Pick a $/WAR figure. Done. Trade value!
  4. Nah they'd prefer to push text based "trade analysis" from social justice warriors
  5. It's just an extremely rough tool Most of the time it's reasonable enough but in this instance it's clearly wrong I wish there was a way to do this on Fangraphs. It would not be hard for them to build out. Maybe where you could select the projection system to use.
  6. Probably their projection model is not up to date. Website also has no info on their projection model other than to say they "do their own" and don't share how they do it. If you look at current projections for these guys Steamer (recently put on Fangraphs) has Kirk as twice the player as Garcia in 2023. I don't see how Garcia is worth even 75% of Kirk. Common sense! He's a pitcher!!!
  7. Anderson pitched 16 innings in AAA guys. There is quality data from that sample on his stuff. He's likely not worth an MLB roster spot. Simple.
  8. If they refuse to do O'Neill for Jansen then they can find a new trade partner. Kirk for O'Neill would be highway robbery. Hicks has no real value. Negligible value. Same with Alex Reyes. I mean I'd take either as a kicker but they don't move the needle.
  9. Anderson got murdered in AAA this year with no strikeouts. The Rays would only do this if his stuff was horrible.
  10. Thornton + Hatch + Kay were all interesting enough and worth keeping heading into 2022. At some point during 2022 it became obvious that they were cooked, useless... but the team still had to keep them around because you need arms. Saucedo + Griffin + Gage + Lawrence are all utterly replaceable. I think most of these 7 guys are off the 40 by the end of the offseason. Maybe a couple survive, like Hatch and Saucedo if they have options.
  11. well not necessarily Moreno as a 2B/3B only happens if Jansen stays and no C get dealt
  12. A lot of these seem too light
  13. Laika

    NHL Thread

    I retract this statement oops it was much worse than this
  14. Really, if Toronto is extending someone Bo should be the priority. This is your cornerstone, franchise player.
  15. I think it makes sense. Vlad was bad, bad, then great. Bo has been extremely good from day 1. In his debut season he played at about a 4.2 WAR pace. Next year, 4.0 WAR pace. Next year, was worth 5.1 WAR. This year was worth 4.5 WAR. A stud from day 1
  16. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Yeah he was f***ing fourteen or something. It’s horrible but I know tons of people who did s*** that egregious at that age or younger.
  17. Laika

    NHL Thread

    I am generally against these social adjudications that ruin peoples lives forever because of stuff they did as a minor. Obviously the older the kid was or the more egregious the thing they did was, it can change and be justifiable I dunno
  18. Laika

    NHL Thread

    That’s not the point.
  19. The advanced teams would cream their pants for Danny Jansen. Do you guys understand how bullish his 2022 statline is? He upped his barrel rate to 13.1% Career best hard hit rate And somehow dropped his whiff rate and K rate, the K rate to a career low while maintaining his .250 ISO from 2021 Normally when guys decide to pull for power they strikeout more because they have to get the bat out earlier. Not Danny...
  20. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Brad Marchand has more testosterone than Auston Matthews
  21. Laika

    NHL Thread

    The peak of the NHL was when Patrick Roy fought Chris Osgood.
  22. Phillies still have a shot here. Wheeler - Valdez is a coinflip win Saturday and roll the dice with Ranger Suarez, man of destiny, on Sunday. If Suarez wins game 7 his postseason performance will be one of legends.
  23. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Hockey was 1000x better when there were huge hits and hip checks and fist fights all the time The sport sucks now and there is no tension most of the time
  24. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Huh? It’s part of every sport
  25. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Spanks used to be a brawler. There’s no way he can defend this
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